MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Friday, April 26

Last Friday’s MLB parlay picks kicked off with a bang after Brayan Bello easily led the Boston Red Sox to the series opening win against the Pirates and exceeded his total outs recorded prop by tossing six innings of shutout ball. MacKenzie Gore and the Nats failed to come through for us in a game started by Justin Verlander instead of Ronel Blanco; go figure they won the next two games of the series! Milwaukee’s bullpen let Freddy Peralta down huge blowing the save in the ninth, but the Brew Crew still managed to pull out the 2-1 win in extras. Let’s dive into tonight’s matchups and explore some potential winning strategies to keep our bankrolls booming over at Caesars Sportsbook – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves

I could be playing with fire here fading the hottest team in the Bigs in the opener of this three-game interleague set with the Braves, but I simply can’t resist. Logan Allen might enter his sixth start of the baseball betting season with an unblemished 3-0 record, but the right-hander’s underlying stats have been setting off warning signals since day one. His ERA clocks in at 5.06 with his FIP even higher at 5.52. On top of that, Allen is serving up 9.5 hits and 3.0 walks per nine innings all the while averaging just 2.33 K/BB. Those aren’t counting stats for a pitcher that should be unblemished with a handful of starts under his belt – talk about being well overdue for being paid a visit by the negative regression monster!

Firmly aware of the Tribe’s perfect 6-0 record against left-handed pitching as well as their 10-3 record away from Progressive Field, I still can’t ignore how seamlessly Chris Sale has situated himself within the Braves starting rotation and excelled going 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 3.40 FIP while logging nearly 10 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s held the Rangers and D’backs to a collective .200 batting average through 12.1 innings pitched at Truist, and is backed by the league’s No. 1 ranked batting lineup that’s also held its own against LHP in averaging 5.4 runs per game. 

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: BRAVES MONEYLINE + LOGAN ALLEN OVER TOTAL EARNED RUNS ALLOWED

Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers

While the Reds have treated our bankroll kindly in the early goings, this team still isn’t one to trust with it not playing with all its parts. That will change in the coming months with Matt McLain and T.J. Friedl expected to return. David Bell’s more or less been getting the job done with smoke and mirrors to this point, and the same can be said of Graham Ashcraft who through four starts stands 3-1 with a bloated 5.24 ERA and .253 batting average against. Those stats have been accrued against the Phillies (before they started hitting), Brewers, White Sox, and Angels. Texas will represent one of his stiffer tests to date. The last time he was challenged by a competent offense, the righty served up nine hits (1 HR) and 5 ER to the Brewers through 5.2 innings.

Nathan Eovaldi is the Rangers’ staff ace, and I expect him to come out determined to halt a personal two-game losing streak after getting peppered for 13 hits (2 HR) and amassing a poor 9:8 K/BB ratio over his last two starts at Houston and Atlanta. While it can hit the long ball (#12) and swipe bases (#1), the Redlegs’ offense has been cut of the all-or-nothing cloth. I’ll be banking on more of the latter in this one with Cincinnati having issues against opposing splitters per Baseball Savant. Backed by an offense that could send Ashcraft to the showers early, look for Eovaldi to be in a position to even his record up at 2-2.

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: RANGERS MONEYLINE + RANGERS OVER TEAM TOTAL + ASHCRAFT UNDER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

Things are starting to get real hairy for Joe Musgrove and his fantasy supporters. He tailed off tremendously at the end of last season, and the ineffectiveness looks to have carried over into 2024. Through six made starts, the righty has been rocked for 10.6 hits and issued 3.2 walks per nine innings all the while only averaging 6.6 K/9; nearly 2.5 fewer strikeouts from his career output! Even so, the veteran clocks in 3-2 albeit with a bloated 5.74 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Hopefully Caesars linemakers only look at the ERA and install him the favorite in the series opener with the Phillies.

Even without having his best stuff last time out, Aaron Nola still managed to tally eight innings of 2 ER ball with 7 K and only one walk issued against Chicago to move to 2-1 overall. The right-hander has led Philly to four straight wins against the Nationals, Cardinals, Rockies, and White Sox since getting lit up by the Braves in his season debut. While San Diego marches a formidable batting lineup to the dish that’s handled its business against RHP (#3), Nola’s limited current sticks on the roster to a pedestrian .191 batting average and logged a 12:3 K/BB ratio. The Friars also haven’t taken advantage of their home field advantage (6-8, -$344) and stand 1-3 in series openers in front of the hometown faithful.

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: PHILLIES MONEYLINE + PHILLIES OVER TEAM TOTAL

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