Week 1 NFL Line Moves & Betting Previews
May 17, 2024Charles Schwab Challenge Odds and Picks
May 21, 2024After kicking last week off with a small profit, we gave it all back and some with a disaster of a showing with last Tuesday’s parlay picks. We ended up cashing a single leg of the recommended same game parlays, and it had everything to do with a pair of home teams in the Rangers and Padres failing to show up. Most disappointing was the showing in Petco where the Friars, behind Dylan Cease, lost 6-3 to Cal Quantrill and the Rockies as decided home favorites per the closing MLB betting odds. May the baseball gods be kinder with tonight’s parlay leg recommendations at Caesars Sportsbook – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees MLB Same Game Parlay:
After putting forth a sluggish performance throughout the month of April, the Yankees look to be firing on all cylinders since the calendar turned to the month of May. In fact, no team has been hotter with Aaron Boone’s troops cashing in against the closing baseball betting lines in 13 of 16 played games lining their supporter’s pockets with a cool $1020 worth of profit. In the process, the Bronx Bombers have taken over control of the AL East and sit 2-games ahead of the Baltimore Orioles heading into Sunday’s finale with the White Sox.
Some live arms will take the bump throughout this extended series with the Mariners. After staring back at Logan Gilbert in the series opener Monday night, Aaron Judge and co. will set their sights on Bryan Woo with the right-hander looking to lead Seattle to a third straight win since returning from the IL. The right-hander has looked good through two starts holding the A’s and Royals to four hits (0 HR) and 1 ER with a K/BB ratio of 8:2 over 9.2 combined innings. This start however represents his first away from T-Mobile Park, and he’s been a completely different pitcher on the road (4.82 ERA) than at home (2.80 ERA) throughout his brief career. This won’t be his first go-round in Yankee Stadium after tossing 5.1 innings of shutout ball at New York last season, but I’ll pay up to see if he can excel like that this time around with the Bronx bombers fully healthy this time around.
Clarke Schmidt has been a godsend for the Pinstripes’ starting rotation with Gerrit Cole out of commission. The righty clocks in 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA and solid 3.44 FIP through nine made starts. He’s only allowed 7.5 hits and fanned nearly 10.0 batters per nine innings. While the 2.7 BB/9 are cause for concern, the M’s possess a middling walk rate (8.5%) and back it up with an eye-popping 27.9% K rate (#30) that finds the team on pace to go down in the history books with the most strikeouts in MLB history. Schmidt’s logged quality starts in each of his last two turns against similar free-swinging offenses in the Twins and Rays, so I expect him to be in line to tally a third straight and pitch through the sixth inning at home for the first time this year ultimately helping the Yankees score another May triumph against the closing baseball odds.
- YANKEES MONEYLINE
- WOO OVER EARNED RUNS ALLOWED
- SCHMIDT OVER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Same Game Parlay:
Though Garrett Crochet’s recent resurgence has seen him get the job done solely with his fastball and cutter, they’ve been good enough to see his May get out to a roaring start with the southpaw only serving up 11 hits and 1 ER with a 23:3 K/BB ratio through three starts and 17 combined innings. He’s tallied three straight wins after closing April out in a heap, and he should thrive in this spot against a struggling Toronto offense that’s only managed 3.7 runs per game over the last week. On top of that, the Blue Jays have struggled mightily against the 4-seamer and cutter with a number of bats possessing negative run values against each pitch type. Another solid showing for Chicago’s staff ace is there for the taking!
Jose Berrios and Yusei Kikuchi are the two reasons why Toronto currently ranks No. 9 in the quality start department, but it’s the latter that stands out for me with the southpaw in the midst of one of the best campaigns of his six-year MLB career. He’ll enter his tenth trip to the starting bump 2-3 with a 2.60 ERA and nearly identical 2.61 FIP letting it be known just how dominant the Japanese import has been to this point of the baseball betting season. In possession of a career-best 5.5 K/BB ratio, the lefty will be in line to cook against a Palehose lineup that goes down on strikes at a healthy 24.9% clip and managed a league-worst 2.6 runs per game on the road. Chicago can’t touch the 4-seam fastball evidenced by a number of bats owning major negative run values per Baseball Savant, and it’s showing against the curve has been lackluster as well. Those are Kikuchi’s two most favored pitch types – tonight could be a special start for No. 16!
- FIRST FIVE INNINGS UNDER
- KIKUCHI OVER TOTAL PITCHING STRIKEOUTS
- KIKUCHI OVER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED
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[…] ended up taking in a small profit with last Tuesday’s parlay picks after splitting both recommended same game parlays. Bryan Woo shocked the you know what out of me […]