John Deere Classic Odds and Picks
July 2, 2024NFL Best Regular Season Record Odds and Picks
July 2, 2024We needed one more run from the St. Louis Cardinals to sweep last Thursday’s MLB parlay picks. Still, cashing six-of-seven parlay legs came with open arms after the Reds pounded Miles Mikolas for 12 hits and 9 ER to log the 11-4 win and force him out in the fifth to exceed their laughable team total with ease and push the combined score over the 8-run impost. The day got out to a fantastic start earlier when Shota Imanaga led the Cubs to the 5-3 road win over the Giants to avoid being swept with Jordan Hicks going for his customary 15 outs. Here’s to having another huge day at Caesars Sportsbook with a loaded pack of parlay legs on the Fourth of July – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Same Game Parlay:
The offensive ineptitude coming out of the Southside of Chicago is something to behold this baseball betting season. Though Luis Robert Jr. has put a jolt into the system since coming off the IL, the overall output has still been extremely tough on the eyes. No team has scored fewer runs per game than the White Sox, who as a team, are hitting .220 (#29) with only 75 moonshots reaching the cheap seats (#28). Just last week, Chicago averaged a league-low 1.7 runs per game which amounted to the under cashing in six of its seven played games.
That bodes extremely well for sinkerballer Ben Lively with the Palehose not exhibiting positive run values against his three most heavily used pitches per Baseball Savant. The right-hander closed the month of June 3-2 with a 3.42 ERA in allowing 23 hits (3 HR) and 10 ER with a K/BB ratio of 18:7 while averaging 15.8 outs per start. With Jose Ramirez and co 11-games over .500 against RHP ($860) and averaging 5.0 runs per game over the last week, I expect the Guardians offense to give Lively some breathing room running up against Drew Thorpe whose 5.3 BB/9 only finds him the owner of a 1.08 K/BB. Serving up nearly 1.0 home runs per nine innings, I fully expect Cleveland to play some long ball and win this one going away.
- GUARDIANS RUN-LINE
- GUIARDIANS OVER TEAM TOTAL
- LIVELY OVER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED
- JOSH NAYLOR OVER 0.5 HOME RUNS
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Same Game Parlay:
If ever there was a game on the July 4th slate ripe for a slugfest, this could be it with Roansy Contreras set to square off against what’s been a struggling J.P. Sears. Though the A’s left-hander ultimately helped Oakland score the 9-4 win over Arizona as +160 road dogs per the closing MLB odds last time out, his stuff still wasn’t crisp evidenced by the high sweepers and changeups thrown in the middle of the plate that Arizona, for one reason or another, wasn’t able to take advantage of. Though just 8-7 versus the 15 left-handed pitchers the Angels squared off against, they’ve scored an average of 5.3 runs per game and played to the over at a 10-4-1 clip in those contests.
While LA is likely to get theirs, Oakland is very likely to do the same against Contreras who will be coming out of the pen once again to make his second start of the season. He’s been at his absolute worst away from the Big A (5.79 ERA) and in day games (4.50 ERA) with the righty serving up 13 hits (1 HR) and 6 ER with a 10:5 K/BB ratio over 12 total innings. Current bats on the A’s roster are batting .421 against him lifetime leading me to believe the A’s flex their offensive muscles in a high scoring affair filled with fireworks. With Oakland just 1-6 (-$460) over its last seven games and proving to be one of the worst bets in the league (-$1266), it’s still exceeding season-long expectations in terms of surpassing its 56.5-game season win total odds. It’s also played better in front of its limited fan base in averaging 4.0 runs per game with positive regression on the over in the cards.
- FULL GAME OVER
- ANGELS OVER TEAM TOTAL
- ATHLETICS OVER TEAM TOTAL
- SHEA LANGELIERS OVER 0.5 HOME RUNS