MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, July 11
July 9, 2024NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds and Picks
July 9, 2024We ended up cashing three of four MLB parlay pick recommendations last Wednesday with Corbin Burnes’ start pushed back to the following day. All three same game parlay legs cashed in the matchup between the Giants and Braves with Atlanta coming out with the 3-1 win and Chris Sale earning the dub after tossing six strong innings with 9 K to register his eleventh win of the MLB betting season. The left-hander continues to be one of the favs to take home the NL Cy Young award at Caesars Sportsbook in his 14th season! The Mariners took a nice chunk of our bankroll last week, and it began with Logan Gilbert failing to exceed his outs prop against Baltimore in a game Seattle lost 4-1. Here’s to remaining in the black with this Hump Day’s assortment of SGP leg recommendations – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.
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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Same Game Parlay:
What is it with Pablo Lopez getting lit up like a Christmas tree in his initial start of just about every month? In April, he served up six hits and 3 ER to the Guardians in a game the Twins lost 4-2. He was dominant in May versus Boston whom he logged the win against after tossing six innings of 1 ER ball with 8 K, but then followed it up with four innings of 7 ER ball allowed to the Yankees in a match Minnesota fell 8-5 to fall to 5-6 for the season. Then most recently, Lopez got rung up for eight hits and 6 ER through just five innings against the Astros to move to 8-7 overall. So here’s the thing, three of those four opening month starts occurred against some of the most excelled offenses in the game. The White Sox would never be confused with a batting lineup that mashes the baseball!
In fact, no team has averaged fewer runs scored per game than that of Chicago (3.21) with the team also ranked second to last in the OPS department (.633) On top of all that, the Palehose have proven to be a bunch of free swingers evidenced by a 23.7% K rate for the year and 24.2% K rate over the last two weeks. That bodes extremely well for the Twins right-hander who’s gone for 6+ strikeouts each of the last three times he took to the starting bump. Lopez has also been his most dominant in day games where he’s the owner of a tidy 3.19 ERA and averaging a hefty 11.3 K per nine innings. In his last 23.2 innings thrown at the White Sox, Lopez has allowed 12 ER and struck out 32 total batters. Current Chicago sticks are only batting .225 against him with the righty sending nearly 30 percent of batters faced down on strikes. Look for Minnesota to pull out all the stops in the finale of this three-game set and accrue a 2+ run win against the MLB odds.
- TWINS RUN LINE
- TWINS OVER TEAM TOTAL
- LOPEZ OVER TOTAL STRIKEOUTS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Same Game Parlay:
The Blue Jays close the first half of what can only be described as a disappointing campaign on the road against the Giants and Diamondbacks. Luckily for them, both opponents have also failed to live up to expectations to this point of the baseball betting season. Chris Bassitt has however been one of the few bright spots with the right-hander 7-7 with a 3.43 ERA that’s backed by a rock solid 3.76 FIP. Toronto will undoubtedly be looking to ship the veteran off to a contender by the trade deadline if not sooner, so start No. 19 will serve as another tryout for any contenders on the World Series odds posted at Caesars to take a look at. With San Francisco largely possessing negative run values against the sinker and cutter per Baseball Savant, and those two pitch types his two most clamored to throw, a solid showing is likely coming off one of his worst showings of the season against the Astros in which he allowed 4 ER through five innings – he only conceded 8 total earned runs throughout all of June!
Opposing the righty will be Logan Webb. If you’ve been following my recommendations the last few years, you know he’s basically an auto bet for me whenever pitching in the friendly confines of Oracle Park. The righty clocks in 4-2 with a 2.13 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and .239 batting average against through eight home starts to date. The Giants have won six of those starts overall with the vet only conceding 13 ER through 55 total innings of work. While the righty has proven to be hittable, not many of those baserunners find their way across the plate. As such, I expect the offenses to have their fair share of issues early on with both starters slicing and dicing each opposing lineup by digging deep into their bag of tricks.
- FIRST FIVE INNINGS UNDER
- BASSITT OVER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED
- WEBB UNDER TOTAL EARNED RUNS ALLOWED