The Genesis Invitational Odds and Picks
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February 16, 2022The West Coast swing on the PGA Tour for this season concludes this week with The Genesis Invitational in Los Angeles. A strong field is set to battle at Riviera Country Club with the top 10 in the latest World Golf Rankings all in the field. It is such a competitive field that only World No. 1 Jon Rahm is listed at single-digit odds to win the event. I said last week after coming off a perfect 6-0 with the matchups that there was only one way to go but it wasn’t too bad, as I went 2-2-1 with the matchups at the WM Phoenix Open. Let’s look at The Genesis Invitational matchup picks.
Defending Champion: Max Homa
WM Phoenix Open Matchups
Jon Rahm -125 vs. Patrick Cantlay
Dustin Johnson -125 vs. Collin Morikawa
Bubba Watson -126 vs. Max Homa
Justin Thomas -155 vs. Rory McIlroy
Hideki Matsuyama -130 vs. Rory McIlroy
Justin Thomas -120 vs. Dustin Johnson
Rory McIlroy -115 vs. Cameron Smith
Collin Morikawa -115 vs. Viktor Hovland
Hideki Matsuyama -115 vs. Xander Schauffele
Cameron Smith -190 vs. Brooks Koepka
Viktor Hovland -155 vs. Jordan Spieth
Scottie Scheffler -125 vs. Sungjae Im
Will Zalatoris -125 vs. Adam Scott
Sam Burns -122 vs. Matthew Fitzpatrick
Talor Gooch -126 vs. Seamus Power
Tony Finau -134 vs. Abraham Ancer
Paul Casey -115 vs. Russell Henley
Luke List -125 vs. Si Woo Kim
Joaquin Niemann -125 vs. Sergio Garcia
Marc Leishman -120 vs. Sergio Garcia
Talor Gooch -115 vs. Russell Henley
Max Homa -120 vs. Tony Finau
Maverick McNealy -120 vs. Mackenzie Hughes
Sungjae Im -140 vs. Paul Casey
Joaquin Niemann -120 vs. Jason Kokrak
Luke List -130 vs. Alex Noren
Cameron Smith -140 vs. Wil Zalatoris
Kevin Na -130 vs. Abraham Ancer
Adam Hadwin -120 vs. Patrick Reed
Jordan Spieth -120 vs. Brooks Koepka
Cameron Tringale -130 vs. Lanto Griffin
Adam Scott -120 vs. Bubba Watson
Tony Finau -135 vs. Corey Conners
Paul Casey -120 vs. Kevin Na
Thomas Pieters -115 vs. Cameron Tringale
Christiaan Bezuidenhout -125 vs. Patrick Reed
Abraham Ancer -130 vs. Erik van Rooyen
Golf Picks
Justin Thomas -155 vs. Rory McIlroy
Thomas has been kind of all or nothing in this event, as he finished second in 2019 and then missed the cut the last two years. He comes in playing really well and anything less than contention this week would be a major surprise. Rory hasn’t played in the U.S. for a while, but he has been playing in Abu Dhabi and Dubai. He has also played well in this event in the past, but his level of competition goes way up this week. I’ll take Thomas in this matchup.
Talor Gooch -126 vs. Seamus Power
Gooch played well until Sunday a week ago and then fell apart. He was still 10th in the field in strokes gained on approach and he has played well in this event with three straight top 20 finishes. Power has played better of late, but I still think Gooch is the better player and we get him at a good price in this matchup.
Paul Casey -115 vs. Russell Henley
Casey has not played in the U.S. for a while, but he has played well on the European and Asia Tours. He has finished in the top 40 in his last six tries in this event and his game carries over to wherever he tees it up. Henley struggled with his tee shots last week and I don’t know that he will get things turned around at Riviera. This seems like a short price to me, so I will take Casey in this matchup.
Luke List -125 vs. Si Woo Kim
In his last 24 rounds, List is fifth in strokes gained off the tee, fifth in strokes gained on approach, and fifth in strokes gained around the green. He has played well in this event in the past. We should know by late Friday how this matchup will turn out as Kim is usually all or nothing. He either contends or misses the cut. I think he misses the cut here so I will take List in this matchup.
Cameron Smith -140 vs. Wil Zalatoris
Smith has finished in the top six twice in this event in the last four years. He has been rolling along this season and already has a win at Kapalua. He seems underpriced in this matchup against Zalatoris. It has been a bit since Zalatoris played as he didn’t play at Pebble due to COVID, so he has been off since Torrey Pines. I’ll take Smith in this matchup.
Check out the latest The Genesis Invitational odds at SugarHouse Sportsbook.