UFC Fight Night Preview and Prediction
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February 22, 2022UFC Fight Night 202 takes place on Saturday night in Las Vegas with the headliner a fight between Islam Makhachev and Bobby Green. Makhachev is listed as a big favorite in this fight, so many bettors will be looking to bet some of the props rather than laying the 9-1 price. This fight is one of 12 fights on ESPN+. Makhachev is 21-1 in his career, while Green is 29-12-1 in his career. It looks to be a tough task for Green who will be fighting on short notice, as Beneil Dariush pulled out due to injury. Another key bout on Saturday night has Misha Cirkunov taking on Wellington Turman. Cirkunov is 15-7 in his career, while Turman is 17-5 in his career. Let’s look at some UFC Fight Night 202 prop picks for the bout between Makhachev and Green and the fight between Misha Cirkunov and Wellington Turman.
Makhachev vs. Green Prop Picks
There doesn’t seem to be much doubt that Makhachev will win this fight, but very few people are going to want to lay -900. Taking Green at a big plus price might be tempting, but it is hard to see any path to victory for Green. What this means is that props are the way to go in this fight. Makhachev has 21 wins in his career and ten of those wins came by submission. Green has 29 wins in his career and 18 of those wins were finishes, eight by submission.
If you like Makhachev to win this fight then I think taking him to win by TKO, KO or submission is the way to go. The UFC odds at FOXBET on that UFC prop was listed at -227. If you think this fight is going to be a complete mismatch then you may want to take a shot at Makhachev winning by submission in rounds 1, 2 or 3. You can get that prop at +150 at FOXBET. It is hard to see much value in taking Green in any of the props. If you think he has a chance to win the fight then you are probably just better off taking the big plus price on him to win the bout.
Cirkunov vs. Turman Prop Picks
The fight between Cirkunov and Turman is expected to be competitive, although neither fighter comes into this bout in good form. Cirkunov is 15-7, but he has lost five of his last seven fights. Turman is 17-5 but he has lost three of his last five bouts. Cirkunov has 15 wins in his career and 13 of those wins came by finish. Turman has 17 wins in his career and 11 of those were by finish. The UFC odds on this fight are basically a pick.
It seems very unlikely that this fight goes the distance so you could just lay the price and take the prop on the fight ending in a finish. That may be the best option available on this fight. You can bet on the fight not going to a decision and lay the -175 price at William Hill. Cirkunov said to the media that he doesn’t expect this fight to go the distance and what he said makes sense considering both of these fighters are known for their finishing ability.
These two fighters are known for their submissions and an interesting prop is available on either fighter winning by submission. You can get +150 on this prop at FOXBET. Another prop option for this fight is to simply bet on one of the two fighters getting the finish. You can get +140 at William Hill on Cirkunov winning this fight by KO/TKO/DQ or submission. You can get +300 on Turman winning by KO/TKO/DQ or submission. The only way you don’t win money by betting these two props is if the fight goes to a decision. This fight should be one that is decided by some sort of finish so taking a flyer on some of the UFC Fight Night 202 props could be the way to go.
Check out the latest UFC Fight Night 202 at top online sportsbooks.