Oregon vs. Oregon State Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

Oregon vs. Oregon State Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap

We failed to cash a single leg of the recommended same game parlay in the week 3 college football betting matchup between the No. 9 Oregon Ducks and Oregon State Beavers. I recommended taking the points on the NCAAF odds with the Beavers and also touted hitting the under of 51-points. Embarrassingly, I have to accept the fact that neither position stood a chance with both caps proving to be the absolute opposite of what truly went down on the field of play. Though Oregon State kept it interesting through a half of play, only trailing by eight points, the scoreboard had already been dented by 36 points at that point. I knew the side was in trouble but the total was cooked when Dillon Gabriel ripped off a 54-yard touchdown on a speed option along the left sideline. Honestly, I didn’t have much faith in my +16.5 ticket holding up even before kick-off with the number to beat getting steamed all the way up to +19 before going off the board +18.5.

Heading into the game, my main concern was Oregon State being forced to abandon their ground game. They managed to stay competitive in the first half, but when Oregon scored 17 unanswered points in the second half, quarterback Gevani McCoy had no choice but to let it fly. The end result was no points hitting the board throughout the second half which saw Oregon State lose this installment of the Civil Way by a 49-14 final count. Oregon would go on to cover all numbers across the board, outgaining the Beavers 551-316 in total yardage, with 245 rushing yards at an impressive 8.4 yards per carry. I feared Oregon could possibly flip the switch, and they did so in spectacular fashion. This performance also boosted Oregon’s quarterback back into the Heisman Trophy conversation, with his odds now at +900 over at BetMGM Sportsbook, placing him among the favorites.

Oregon vs. Oregon State Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

The Platypus Trophy will be up for grabs in week 3 college football betting action on Saturday when the #9 Oregon Ducks and Oregon State Beavers collide in the 128^th installment of the Civil War at the newly renovated Reser Stadium. Dan Lanning’s kids enter this tilt off a hard-fought 37-34 win and non-cover against Boise State as hefty 18-point favorites to get out to a 2-0 start to their respective campaign (0-2 ATS). Trent Bray has guided the Beavers to a perfect 2-0 start in his head coaching debut after his kids went into Snapdragon Stadium and shut the San Diego State Aztecs out 21-0 last week. Though the Ducks have come out on top in seven of the last ten overall meetings (5-5 ATS), the Beavers have defended their turf each of the last two times Oregon paid a visit to Corvalis making this former Pac-12 rivalry one of the more intriguing matchups on the week’s slate.

BetMGM Sportsbook opened the NCAAF odds for this non-conference tilt with the Ducks installed lofty 14-point favorites and the total lined 51. Though Oregon has taken in less than 20 percent of the bets and money per current action reports, the point spread has moved in the direction of the visiting Ducks with the number to beat fattening up to 16.5. The Over/Under has seen nothing but one-way traffic filter in on the over, but the 70+ percent of tickets and handle hasn’t forced any line movement with the opener holding. These rivals have combined for low scorers in three of the last five meetings held in Corvallis, averaging 69.0 points per game with an average total set at 65.7 points.

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Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon State Beavers CFB Same Game Parlay:

Oregon has grossly failed to live up to preseason expectations with it struggling to get by both Idaho and Boise State as decided favorites. The 24-14 win and non-cover against the Vandals came as quite the eye-opener considering Dillon Gabriel and his mates went off the betting board whopping 49-point favorites. Then last week, the Ducks never once found themselves in a position to cover the closing 18-point spread against Boise State after the defense allowed stud RB Ashton Jeanty to shred them for 192 yards and 3 TD while ripping off 7.7 yards per carry. While Oregon State doesn’t possess the caliber of running back the Ducks just ran up against, its 74^th ranked run D could be an issue again considering the Beavers boast a pair of running backs averaging better than 5.5 yards per carry. That problem area could be taken out of the equation however should the offense finally get going behind an offensive line yet to take shape.

So far so good to kick off the Bray era! While the Beavers have failed to wow in their two wins against Idaho State and San Diego State, new QB Gevani McCoy has settled in as the ringleader of the new look offense with Jamious “Jam” Griffin and Anthony Hankerson setting the pace as the new 1-2 punch out of the backfield. The former has turned his 38 carries into 249 yards and 3 TD averaging 6.6 yards per carry, while the latter has gone for 226 yards and 5.7 yards per carry with three tuddies. The Beavers ability to grind games out on the ground finds it entering the third week of the CFB betting season ranked No. 1 in average time of possession with the unit holding onto the pigskin over 41 minutes per game. The passing game has however failed to show an ability to move the ball through the air, so it’s been a bit too one-dimensional out of the gates.

I get the line moving in the direction of the Ducks heading into this matchup. Oregon was expected to be a strong contender to win the national championship, and they still are, with only Alabama (+900), Texas (+500), Ohio State (+350), and Georgia (+275) having shorter odds at BetMGM than Oregon (+1200) heading into this game. However, the team has yet to show the consistency needed to live up to those expectations. The switch could flip at any moment, possibly even this afternoon in Corvallis, but until that happens, I can’t recommend laying this kind of chalk—especially on the road in a hostile environment. The game could quickly get out of hand if Oregon State is forced to abandon its ground game, but I’m betting that won’t happen. I expect the Beavers to control the clock, shorten the game, and play the role of an annoying thorn in the Ducks’ side all game long.

• OREGON STATE BEAVERS (+16.5)
• UNDER 51

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