Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap

I’m still not over losing two of the three recommended parlay picks I offered up for last Sunday night’s showdown in the ATL between the Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons. I recommended taking the 3.5-points on the NFL odds with the home dogs and added passing yards props for both Travis Kelce and Kyle Pitts into the mix as poorly both stop units had been defending opposing tight ends through the first two weeks of the NFL betting season. Things got out to a fantastic start after the home team got out to a quick 7-0 lead after going on a seven play, 70 yard drive on its opening possession of the match. After Kansas City tied things up midway through the second quarter, Kirk Cousins and the Falcons responded with another five play, 70 yard drive that was capped off with a one-yard plunge into the end zone by Bijan Robinson to get Atlanta back up by seven. Kyle Pitts got Atlanta in a position to do so by ripping off a 50-yard reception allowing us to cash the over of his 38.5-yard receiving yards prop in one fell swoop.

This is the point where everything went sideways for us. With just 40 seconds left in the first half and the Chiefs having cut Atlanta’s lead to 14-10 on their previous drive, the Falcons got greedy and decided to pass. Bad idea! Kirk Cousins threw an interception, and Kansas City added a quick field goal before halftime, trimming the lead to 14-13. Those three points ended up being costly for our +3.5 ticket. The real trouble came in the third quarter when Atlanta lost two starting offensive linemen. While the Falcons’ front line is solid, their depth is questionable, and it showed. Unable to run the ball or protect Cousins, Atlanta only managed three more points the rest of the way. Despite this, they had two chances to win late. On the first, coach Raheem Morris chose not to kick a field goal, so of course the offense was predictably stopped on downs. Trailing 22-17 after logging a shocking 3 and out of Mahomes and Co., Morris had no choice but to go for the glory on their final drive. Atlanta should’ve gotten into the end zone, but the refs swallowed their whistles on what looked to be a blatant pass interference penalty that would’ve set Bijan up at the one with four cracks to travel three feet. Because it was the Chiefs, NFL bettors that took the points at BetMGM Sportsbook were robbed of the opportunity to cash the ticket in, and no, I’m not bitter. Not. At. All.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

The Week 3 installment of Sunday Night Football takes NFL bettors to Mercedes-Benz Stadium where Kirk Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons will welcome in the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. Andy Reid’s squad remained perfect last week after scoring a controversial win after Harrison Butker’s 51-yard try split the uprights propelling KC to the 26-25 non-covering win against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dirty Birds got into the win column for the first time in miraculous fashion staging a comeback for the ages against the Philadelphia Eagles under the Monday night lights. We only cashed one of three recommended NFL same game parlay legs last Sunday night with the Bears sneaking in to cover the number. Here’s to a better showing this time around – SLAM YOUR MAN!!!

The NFL odds for this non-conference bout hit the board with the Chiefs lined 4.5-point road favorites and the Over/Under (O/U) set at 47. Though Kansas City has been backed with 67% of the bets and 63% of the money per action reports at the time of this writing, the number to beat has moved in the direction of the Falcons which finds them listed as 3.5-point home dogs at BetMGM Sportsbook. The O/U has also undergone reverse line movement with it down a half-point to 46.5 even though 50+ percent of the tickets and handle are situated on the over.

Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Same Game Parlay:

I have no issue with the Chiefs’ ability to win games or how they go about it. Should a flag have been thrown on the game-deciding pass interference penalty in the final minutes? Absolutely. Daijahn Anthony was early—accept it and move on. That said, I don’t believe the Chiefs are as good as their 2-0 record suggests. If Isaiah Likely’s shoe size had been a bit smaller, they might not have covered the spread or even won outright against Baltimore in the season opener, depending on the Ravens’ two-point attempt. Kansas City was outgained by 99 yards in that game, and the same trend followed against the Bengals, being outgained 320-286. To make matters worse, the Chiefs lost Isiah Pacheco for the foreseeable future, leaving them dependent on Carson Steele, Samaje Perine, and Keontay Ingram in the run game. Without Pacheco, the offense risks becoming too one-dimensional, further complicating their path ahead.

If Kansas City is unable to move the ball on the ground against the Falcons 27^th ranked run defense, Patrick Mahomes is going to have a hell of a time throwing the ball into a secondary that just held Jalen Hurts and Co. to fewer than 180 passing yards. While I get that A.J. Brown wasn’t in the huddle, Jessie Bates III and A.J. Terrell did a heck of a job locking things down. Rashee Rice is likely to get the shadow treatment with the second-year wide receiver proving to be the biggest threat in KC’s huddle. That leaves Travis Kelce, who looks semiretired, as well as Justin Watson and rookie Xavier Worthy to pick up the slack. Atlanta’s D has been most susceptible to opposing tight ends, so this could be the spot Kelce prop and fantasy supporters have been waiting for.

The absence of L’Jarius Sneed in Steve Spagnuolo’s secondary has been glaring. After boasting a top-five pass D last season, Kansas City has plummeted to No. 31, allowing 256.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns (#24) per game. Compounding the issue is the lack of a consistent pass rush, with Chris Jones and the defense averaging just 2.0 sacks per game (#18). Kirk Cousins looked like his vintage self during his game-winning drive last Monday night, and Atlanta’s solid pass protection (#6) should give him plenty of time to find his receivers downfield. Kansas City’s vulnerability to tight ends has also been evident—after allowing 125 yards and a touchdown to tight ends in Week 1, they gave up another 151 yards to Bengals tight ends last week. Given that track record, Kyle Pitts could play a huge role in the Falcons pulling off this upset. Kansas City has been walking a fine line the first two weeks, and I expect tonight to be the night they pay for it.

• ATLANTA FALCONS (+3.5)
• TRAVIS KELCE OVER 48.5 RECEIVING YARDS
• KYLE PITTS OVER 38.5 RECEIVING YARDS

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