Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap

With 17 points on the board through a half of play, it looked to be a stone cold lock that the Houston Texans would go on to exceed their 23.5-point team total with relative ease. Leading by a pair of touchdowns through the first 30 and the Buffalo Bills looking nothing if not clueless, the home team coming out on top to cash our moneyline ticket on the NFL odds also looked to be in solid shape. This however is the NFL, and as the saying goes, anything can happen on any given Sunday. Wouldn’t you know it, C.J. Stroud and the Texans offense turtled once Nico Collins was bounced from the game with a hamstring injury in the first half. The reigning Rookie of the Year tried to force the issue, and paid for it after tossing a pair of costly interceptions that got Buffalo right back into the game.

Before you knew it, the game was tied at 20 even though Houston had outgained the Bills 425-276 and moved the chains on eight of their 16 overall third down opportunities. Then good ‘ol Sean McDermott reared his ugly head and ripped the heart out of the BillsMafia allowing the Texans to win the game in the most ludicrous of ways. While most NFL bettors expected the game to be decided in overtime, McDermott and Joe Brady had other ideas pinned on their own 3-yard line with 32 seconds left in regulation. Instead of testing Houston’s defense with short/intermediate passes to see if it can cook something up, Josh Allen reared back and went for the gusto. After three quick incomplete passes, Buffalo was forced to give the ball back with 16 seconds remaining. Setting up shop at Buffalo’s 46-yard line following the punt, Stroud connected on a quick 5-yard gainer putting Houston in position to win if Ka’imi Fairbairn could convert the 59-yarder. The dude nails 60-yarders in his sleep, so what do you think happened? He split the uprights—ball game! 

We cashed the moneyline ticket at Caesars Sportsbook, but sickeningly came up short on the Texans team total with Tank Dell MIA even though Collins was bounced from the game early.

Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

The ramifications of the Week 5 showdown between the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans will be felt the remainder of the NFL betting season regardless of NFL bettors still having a ton of pigskin to take in over the next three-plus months. Sean McDermott’s troops limp into NRG Stadium following a beat down at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens under the Sunday night lights. As for DeMeco Ryans’ troops, they had to fight tooth and nail just to get by the same Jacksonville Jaguars team Josh Allen and Co. bludgeoned by 37 points the week prior. As such, the NFL betting market is split on how to attack this pivotal AFC bout heading into Sunday.

The NFL odds for this showdown of MVP placeholders hit the board with the Bills installed 1-point road chalk and the total lined 46.5. Though Houston has only been backed by 35 percent of the money, it’s logged 50% of the bets which has seen the betting line remain stagnant over at Caesars Sportsbook. It’s been all one-way traffic in the totals market however with the over blanketed with upwards of 80% of the tickets and handle forcing a full 1-point market correction up to 47.5.

Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.

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Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans NFL Same Game Parlay:

To be blunt, I have absolutely zero idea as to why the Texans aren’t laying as much as a field goal in this tilt. My take is that linemakers are playing with NFL bettors’ heads lining the visiting Bills the favored side to come out on top due to the end results of the team’s respective tilt with the Jacksonville Jaguars being the root cause. Buffalo pasted the Jags 47-10 and never looked back en route to logging the 37 point triumph as what turned out to be laughable 6-point home chalk. Meanwhile, the Texans just barely escaped the wrath of Jacksonville needing to come up with a touchdown in the final minute to get out of dodge with the 24-20 non-covering win in tow. That being said, a closer inspection of the box score finds the Texans held up their end of the bargain outgaining the Jaguars 435-313 and racking up 26 first downs while moving the chains on 7 of 13 times third down tries. It also scored touchdowns on 75% of its four red zone appearances.

The key difference in this game was the Texans’ inability to contain a determined Trevor Lawrence, unlike Buffalo the week prior. However, there are three major distinctions here. First, Lawrence played with a chip on his shoulder after stinking up the joint the prior week. Second, Josh Allen is dealing with an injury, along with his star left tackle Dion Dawkins and primary target Khalil Shakir, both of whom are likely to play while banged up. Houston excels at pressuring opposing quarterbacks (#4), so Buffalo’s offensive line will face a tough challenge, much like last week when the Ravens got to their QB1 three times. With pass-rushers like Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter bearing down on him all game, this isn’t a favorable scenario for Buffalo’s offense.

The final major advantage for the home team is  C.J. Stroud and the Texans’ offense doing work against Buffalo’s injury-riddled defense. Since holding the Jaguars to just 147 passing yards a few weeks ago, the Bills have been hit hard by the injury bug, with Taron Johnson and Taylor Rapp both listed as questionable. Additionally, linebacker Terrell Bernard is still managing a pectoral injury, and most notably, co-sack leader Von Miller (3 sacks) was just suspended for four games. With Buffalo missing a key pass rusher and the secondary lacking vital contributors to its early-season success, Stroud could be in for another big day after throwing for 345 yards and two touchdowns last week. Given that Buffalo’s defense ranks just 13th in opponent red-zone scoring percentage, and Houston’s offense executes in the red zone at the fourth-best rate in the league (72.7%), Bobby Slowik is likely to exploit these weaknesses, repeatedly. The winner of this game takes a significant step toward securing the No. 1 seed in the AFC, and the winning quarterback will likely see their MVP odds shorten up at Caesars. By Monday, Stroud’s current 13-1 pay-off will be a thing of the past—act accordingly!

• HOUSTON TEXANS MONEYLINE
• HOUSTON TEXANS OVER 23.5 TOTAL POINTS
• TANK DELL ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER

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