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October 4, 2024Missouri vs. Texas A&M Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
I placed my bets earlier in the week, taking the Missouri Tigers plus the 2.5-points and Under 48.5 for their top-25 matchup against the Texas A&M Aggies. Unfortunately, both recommendations turned out to be liabilities for BetMGM Sportsbook, with Missouri taking in over 65% of the bets and just short of 60% of the money, while the under was being backed with upwards of 70% of the handle. While the closing NCAAF odds saw the Tigers go off the board as 2.5-point underdogs, the total was bet down a full point to 47.5. I could live with the latter, but wasn’t thrilled to see oddsmakers resistant to moving off the 2.5 with so much action coming in on the visitors. I missed the first half because of my kid’s soccer game, but when I checked the halftime score and saw Texas A&M leading 24-0, I was speechless. Seriously, Drinkwitz—Muck Fizzou!
Clearly, Missouri wasn’t prepared for their first road test. The Tigers were outgained 512-254 and allowed A&M to rumble for 236 yards on the ground at 6.6 yards per rip. Le’Veon Moss had himself a standout day, racking up 138 rushing yards and three touchdowns, including a 75-yard scamper to paydirt on A&M’s first play of the second half. Missouri was never in a position to cover let alone win the game, and to make matters worse, the Tigers decided to kick a field goal with only eight seconds left in the fourth quarter to cut the deficit from 34 to 31. The head scratching decision to do so pushed the combined score over 49 points, handing me one of the more absurd total beats of my handicapping career and busting my recommended same game parlay at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Missouri vs. Texas A&M Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
A big one is set to go down in front of the 12th Man early Saturday afternoon when the No. 9 Missouri Tigers and No. 25 Texas A&M Aggies lock horns for the first time since 2021 when the latter went into Columbia and scored the 35-14 win and cover as 11.5-point favorites. Mizzou enters this tilt off a huge scare in its SEC opener against Vanderbilt whom it needed double overtime to log the 30-27 victory over the Dores in a game it closed 17.5-point favorites to win. Texas A&M scored its second conference win of the year in Arlington last week over Arkansas whom it defeated by a 21-17 final count, but in the process, failed to cover the closing 6.5-point spread.
The NCAAF odds for this SEC clash opened with the Aggies installed 2.5-point home favorites and the total lined 49.5. Current action reports relay heavy support in favor of the road team with Mizzou taking in nearly 80 percent of the bets and 60+ percent of the money. Even so, BetMGM Sportsbook has been hesitant to move off the opener. Total bettors look to be of the belief points are tough to come by with nearly 90 percent of the tickets and 85+ percent of the booked handle forcing a one-point line move down to 48.5.
Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.
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Missouri Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies CFB Same Game Parlay:
Neither of these teams has moved the needle to this point of the college football betting season for CFB bettors. Though undefeated at 4-0, the Tigers enter this tilt 2-2 against the spread having failed to cover each of their last two games played against Boston College and Vanderbilt. Since dropping the season opener at home to Notre Dame, the Aggies have rattled off four straight wins but only managed one point spread cover during that stretch that came in the form of a 33-20 win in the Swamp as 3.5-point favorites. Neither respective resume comes off as impressive, but alas, each ranks out amongst the Top-25 teams in the country with each holding out hope at qualifying for the expanded College Football Playoff.
I’m not too sure what the Tigers have done to this point to deserve being ranked the ninth team in the country. That being said, I have this funny feeling that the team more or less went through the motions knowing full well it didn’t need to expose its full hand to invade College Station unscathed. While A&M already has two SEC wins in the coffers, I’m still not at all impressed with what Mike Elko’s kids bring to the table. We already faded the Aggies in their home opener against Notre Dame largely due to A&M’s ineffectiveness on the offensive side of the ball. Not much has changed in that department since with Texas A&M owners of the nation’s No. 71 total and No. 70 scoring offense. It makes no difference whether it’s Marcel Reed or Conner Weigman lining up under center—the unit stinks!
Missouri on the other hand possesses a veteran-laden offensive attack that hammers out a balanced attack with Brady Cook under center and the steady Nate Noel in the backfield. Texas A&M rates out in the middle of the pack at generating defensive havoc which finds it ranked in the middle of the pack against both the run (#55) and pass (#64). When Noel isn’t averaging his customary 6.4 yards per carry, Cook has been able to target the dynamic duo of Theo Wease and Luther Burden downfield for chunk yard plays. Though this is Missouri’s first road test of the season, I expect the team to be razor sharp and fully locked in coming off the bye. I think we get the full package from the Tigers in this one after Drinkwitz and his staff laid in the weeds the first four games. Should that come to pass, I don’t foresee the home team having enough in the tank to hang with Mizzou for a full 60.
- MISSOURI TIGERS (+2.5)
- UNDER 48.5