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October 4, 2024New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
This spot was one I had targeted well beforehand looking for the New Orleans Saints to go into Arrowhead and give the Kansas City Chiefs a run for their money. The Super Bowl champs were coming off three straight mentally draining and physical matchups against the Bengals, Falcons, and Chargers; all three of which could’ve arguably been lost. But they didn’t lose, and still went on to cover the closing NFL odds in each game. The fact that they were down both their RB1 and WR1 I felt had them susceptible to not covering, and possibly even losing this game outright. That, paired with New Orleans—coming off successive gut punch losses to the Eagles and Falcons—had me believing the Saints would pack their “A” game for Kansas City and be more than up to the challenge of running with the defending champs.
Everything looked like it would fall into place at the tail end of what turned out to be a scoreless third quarter. With the Chiefs on the Saints 2-yard line, we got the interception of Patrick Mahomes to cash a ticket at Caesars Sportsbook. It also prevented KC from adding on keeping our Chiefs under 24.5 team total alive, and honestly, in pretty decent shape. Nine plays after that huge big man pick and rumble out to the 35-yard line, Derek Carr tossed his second touchdown of the game to pull the Saints to within 16-13. We were in business, right? WRONG! Mahomes dumps one off to JuJu for 50 yards on the second play of KC’s next possession, and three plays later, the Chiefs were back in the end zone extending the lead back out to 23-13. New Orleans was then stopped on downs on KC’s 41-yard line on its next possession, and Carr was subsequently knocked out of the game with an oblique injury. Andy Reid took 6+ minutes off the clock right after and capped the drive off with Harrison Butker’s fourth field goal ultimately getting Kansas City out in front of its team total. Jake Haener did nothing with his opportunity and the Saints lost 26-13. Woe is me and anyone else that took the points.
New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
Week 5 NFL betting closes out under the lights of Monday Night Football when the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs welcome the New Orleans Saints into Arrowhead for an intriguing non-conference showdown that I think will deliver right from the opening kick. N’awlens will enter this tilt stark raving mad coming in losers of two straight gutwrenchers after kicking the season off with their hair on fire skunking Carolina and Dallas by the aggregate score of 91-29. Meanwhile, the defending champs return home one of only two undefeated teams in the league after going into Tinseltown and coming out with the comeback win and cover against the Chargers.
The lookahead NFL odds for this NFC/AFC clash opened up with the Chiefs laying 6.5-points and the total lined 46. Both the side and total have undergone market corrections since being rereleased to the NFL betting public. Current action reports find nearly 70 percent of the bets and upwards of 60 percent of the money going the way of the visiting team, forcing a full 1-point move down to 5.5 at Caesars Sportsbook. The total reopened 3-points lower at 43, and has seen mixed action funnel in with 80+ percent of the tickets backing the over but nearly 55 percent of the handle expecting points to hit the board.
Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Same Game Parlay:
This is a pivotal spot for the Saints, who could fall to 2-3 after starting the season with two of the most impressive wins in the Dennis Allen era. I can’t imagine New Orleans not pulling out all the stops to avoid that scenario. It’s not as if the losses were blowouts either. They had the Eagles on the ropes but failed to deliver the knockout punch, allowing Saquon Barkley and Co. to rally for a 15-12 victory. Then, last week, they went toe-to-toe with the division rival Falcons, taking a 24-23 lead with exactly one minute left. Unfortunately, 58 seconds was all Kirk Cousins needed to get Younghoe Koo in position for a 58-yard game-winning field goal. While Klint Kubiak’s offense cooled dramatically in both losses, the defense played its tail off and I expect more of the same tonight.
While it hasn’t been pretty, you have to give the Chiefs credit for starting the season 4-0. They probably had no business beating the Ravens in the opener, were saved by their defense against the Bengals, got some help from the refs in Atlanta, and took advantage of an injury-riddled Chargers team to secure the win and NFL odds cover last week. However, Rashee Rice, one of Patrick Mahomes‘ key weapons, was likely lost for the season, leaving a major hole in the offense. Tonight, I’m curious to see how Mahomes will fare against a Saints defense that’s struggled against the pass (#24) but has been stout against the run (#7) and has already recorded six interceptions. Mahomes hasn’t looked like himself so far, with a 52.9 QB rating and an average of 1.25 interceptions thrown per game. It’s never fun betting against the former MVP, but in this Monday night spot, we’ll be doing exactly just that!
As much as you’d like to think Kansas City will go all out in hopes of entering its Week 6 bye undefeated, I believe they’re just trying to get there without suffering any more injuries. It’s surprising they’ve managed to stay perfect despite fielding a skeleton crew over the past few weeks. While the Saints have their own injury concerns, the situation seems primed for a hungry New Orleans team eager to get back in the win column. Look for Derek Carr to be a calming presence having experienced the Arrowhead crowd many times throughout his playing career. I’m expecting a big performance from their defense, which currently ranks No. 1 in the NFL in red zone efficiency. Kansas City, down its best red zone target, ranks 24th in that offensive stat category. While it might seem impossible to fathom for some, the Chiefs will struggle to put points on the board for the second time in as many weeks. Mahomes’ errant passes will only make it tougher to win, let alone cover the NFL spread.
- NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (+5.5)
- KANSAS CITY CHIEFS UNDER 24.5 TOTAL POINTS
- MAHOMES OVER 0.5 TOTAL INTERCEPTIONS