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October 11, 2024Ohio State vs. Oregon Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
Ohio State’s running game and defense couldn’t withstand the pressure of a tough road matchup against the Oregon Ducks, resulting in a disappointing 32-31 loss that equated to us failing to cash any of the three recommended legs of the same game parlay. Despite deserving to be on the same field as the Ducks, Ryan Day’s kids failed to execute when it mattered most. The Buckeyes seemed in control early, scoring three touchdowns and taking a 21-15 lead with contributions from multiple players. However, a late first-half 48-yard touchdown pass from Oregon’s Dillon Gabriel to Tez Johnson shattered Ohio State’s momentum, in turn dashing our hopes of cashing a ticket on the under of Oregon’s 24.5-point team total.
The Ohio State Buckeyes regained the lead early in the third quarter giving us a glimmer of hope towards toppling the 3.5-point NCAAF odds but struggled offensively the remainder of the game due to a key turnover and poor third-down efficiency (4/12). Oregon eventually took a 32-31 lead with 1:47 remaining giving Ohio State more than enough time to pull out the last second win, but clock mismanagement and a strategic penalty taken by Oregon coach Dan Lanning stifled any chance of the Buckeyes cashing moneyline tickets. In the end, Ohio State excelled running the ball as I expected, only it was TreVeyon Henderson that had the big game on the ground instead of Quinshon Judkins. I initially wanted to hit the over of the former’s rushing yards prop, but his offering wasn’t on the board at the time of the writing—do better BetMGM Sportsbook!
Ohio State vs. Oregon Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
College Football Playoff ramifications will be in play Saturday night when the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes and No. 3 Oregon Ducks lock horns in the Pacific Northwest as Big Ten rivals for the very first time. Ryan Day’s kids invade Eugene undefeated at 5-0 and 2-0 in B1G play after ripping through Michigan State and Iowa over the last two weeks beating their rivals by the aggregate score of 73-14 to log a pair of NCAAF odds covers. Dan Lanning’s troops have matched the Buckeyes 5-0 mark and also stand undefeated in conference play with a pair of non-covering wins tallied against UCLA and Michigan State. This will be the program’s first meeting since the Ducks went into the ‘Shoe and scored the 35-28 outright win as 14.5-point underdogs back in 2021.
The college football betting lines hit the board with the Buckeyes installed 4-point road favorites and the total lined 51.5. Keep in mind, BetMGM Sportsbook initially had Ohio State lined as 1.5-point favorites on their preseason “Game of the Year” offerings. CFB spread bettors have forced a market correction to -3 with the Ducks aligned with 51% of the bets and 60% of the money, while total bettors forced a northward 2-point move to 53 due to 63% of the tickets and 56% of the total handle in support of points hitting the board.
Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.
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Evidently, college football bettors are scoffing at the idea of the Buckeyes laying points in this fixture. I’m not sure why. Stacking these teams up against one another side by side, I
see a bonafide national championship contender with the Buckeyes and a wannabe with the Ducks. I’ve come away extremely impressed with the job Ryan Day and his coaching staff have done with their retooled roster on both sides of the ball. Chip Kelly has done a fantastic job calling a balanced attack with Ohio State ranked amongst the top-25 at both passing (#23) and rushing (#16) the pigskin. It’s amounted to the nation’s fifth-most potent scoring attack that’s dented scoreboards for 46.0 points per game! Not to be outdone, Jim Knowles has got his kids playing a stifling brand of defense with it giving up next to nothing both on the ground (#3) as well as through the air (#4) equating to the Buckeyes marching out the nation’s No. 1 ranked scoring defense (6.8 PPG). On top of all that, it’s conceded a 60% red zone scoring percentage to its opposition (#4) and averaged 3.4 sacks per game (#8).
We’ve already seen Oregon grossly fail to cover a huge number at home against Boise State. Oregon’s vulnerabilities were exposed after struggling to stop the run, allowing 192 rushing yards and three touchdowns to Ashton Jeanty. This bodes poorly for the Ducks against Ohio State’s powerful backfield duo, TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins, who have been unstoppable with the former averaging 8.0 yards per carry and the latter 7.8. As dominant Ohio State’s front wall has been, I don’t foresee the Ducks lacking run D having a prayer in stopping Ohio State from doing anything it pleases on the ground. I believe each Buckeyes ball carrier will be in line to topple their respective rushing yards props at BetMGM with the amount of running the football Kelly will have lined up for this one. Once Oregon overcompensates to stop it, Will Howard will have no issue getting the pigskin downfield into the waitful hands of Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka.
While the atmosphere in Autzen is a concern, I’m simply not sold this year’s version of the Ducks can take advantage of its home field advantage enough to hang with what I deem to be a Buckeyes outfit a tier, if not two, above. Ohio State simply has too many weapons for Oregon to account for, and Dillon Gabriel is going to have a tough time with what I believe to be an extremely underrated OSU defense. For reference sake, Oregon just allowed 250 total yards and 10 points to Michigan State in a 31-10 non-covering win. Ohio State held Sparty to 246 yards and seven points when they crossed paths a few weeks back. However, the Ducks did so at home while the Buckeyes made a mockery of the Spartans in East Lansing with 71K+ spectators taking in the 31 point drubbing. I firmly expect the Buckeyes to dominate on both sides of the ball and solidify their standing in the College Football Playoff picture.
OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (-3.5)
QUINSHON JUDKINS OVER 64.5 RUSHING YARDS
OREGON DUCKS UNDER 24.5 TEAM TOTAL