Texas vs. Oklahoma Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

The Cotton Bowl will be electric on Saturday afternoon in Dallas as the No. 1 Texas Longhorns face off against the No. 18 Oklahoma Sooners in the 95th installment of the Red River Shootout. The Steve Sarkisian-led Longhorns will look to maintain their perfect season after logging a comfortable, but non-covering 35-13 win over Mississippi State in their SEC debut. On the other hand, Brent Venables’ Oklahoma squad pulled off a dramatic fourth-quarter comeback last time out, defeating Auburn 27-21 to even their conference record at 1-1 after dropping a tough one to Tennessee the week prior. 

Initially listed as 7.5-point NCAAF odds favorites on the Caesars Sportsbook “Game of the Year” lines, the Longhorns hit the board whopping 15-point favorites on the Week 7 rerelease with the total set at 51.5. Current action reports find OU taking in 60+ percent of the bets and money forcing a market correction down to +14 with the Longhorns hogging 90+ percent of the moneyline handle. Though total bettors have sided with the over at a near 70% clip, the number to beat has been reduced a full point to 50.5.

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Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners CFB Same Game Parlay:

Normally when the Texas Longhorns square off against the Oklahoma Sooners, all preconceived notions about the teams are thrown out the window with college football fans expected to expect the unexpected. Taking a look at the box scores from a number of recent matchups, CFB bettors have been able to bet the over, take a nap, and wake up to more money in their accounts with the last four matchups playing to an average of 78.5 points per game. This year’s throw down has a different flavor to it however. One only has to look at the Over/Under for Saturday’s game to get an idea of where I’m heading. Here’s a list of the closing totals for the last 10 Red River Shootouts: 61.5, 65, 65.5, 74.5, 77.5, 79.5, 59, 61.5, 72.5, and 60. See a trend? Defense has more or less been optional regardless of the total splitting with 71.0 points scored on average.

Texas, for all intents and purposes, is the only team in this matchup that I believe has a chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff as a top seed. While yet to run up against an opponent that can truly test that theory—yes that includes Michigan—there’s something just a wee bit different about this year’s edition from the ones of years past. That stems solely from the junkyard dog mentality the defense has taken on under Pete Kwiatkowski who has his kids flying around the field making plays in the backfield as well as the secondary. Again, the caliber of opponent faced has more or less been laughable, but the Horns have been dominant defensively, allowing 228.2 yards (#3) and an average of 7.0 points (#2) per game. The unit has tallied 13 sacks (2.4 per game) and intercepted seven passes en route to logging 1.8 takeaways per game (#23).

Along with stuffing opposing ground games to the tune of 107.0 yards per game (#30), it’s also held opposing quarterbacks to an 88.4 QB rating (#3). After being forced to look to the air due to falling behind early, are we really buying into Michael Hawkins Jr. having it in him to lead Boomer Sooner back into this one with his arm? While Quinn Ewers could come into this start a bit rusty having not played for a few weeks, it’ll all click at some point. The Texas offense will be fine. Oklahoma could get after him early on, but the Sooners pressure will dissipate the further the team falls behind. Now I don’t expect this to be one of those runaway Texas victories like it administered back in 2022 (49-0), but the win will still be of a convincing variety that finds it ahead of the number once the clock reads double zeroes. The offense will do more than enough, but it’ll be the defense that steals the show when it’s said and done.

• TEXAS LONGHORNS (-14)
• UNDER 50.5
• OKLAHOMA SOONERS UNDER 17.5 TEAM TOTAL

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