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A surprising battle of division leaders is set to go down in the Charm City in Week 6 NFL betting action when the Washington Commanders invade M&T Bank Stadium to run with the Baltimore Ravens. An intriguing pairing no doubt with Jayden Daniels the current -230 favorite to win the Offensive Rookie of the year Award and Lamar Jackson neck-and-neck with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen to take home a second straight MVP Award. This match marks the first between the franchises since 2020 when the Ravens went into Landover and scored the 31-17 win and cover as two-touchdown favorites.
The lookahead NFL odds for this non-conference bout hit the board with the Ravens lined 7-point favorites and the Over/Under (O/U) set at 49.5. Action reports from PROLINE+ find 56% of the bets going the way of the visiting Commies with 53% of the money attached to the home team. Even so, the number to beat has decreased a half-point to 6.5. The Over/Under has seen nothing but one-way traffic on the over with 70+ percent of the tickets and handle forcing a 1-point market correction up to 50.5. The total got as high as 51.5 before coming back down. Either way, total bettors are expecting both quarterbacks to put on a show and put a jolt into what looks to be a pretty dull morning slate.
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Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Same Game Parlay:
So are the Commanders overachieving, or is the coaching staff the elixir the roster needed to finally get it playing to its capabilities? You can argue both ways. What I do know is that I hit the over of Washington’s 6.5-game win total odds at the outset of the NFL betting season, and I’m even shocked to see four wins in the coffer through five played games. I figured it would be 2-3 to this point winning both games at home and dropping the trio on the road. It brings me great pleasure to see their adjusted in-season win total all the way up to 9.5 right now! That being said, I’m not entirely sure the team is anywhere near as good as its 4-1 SU and ATS records dictate. It defeated the Giants due to New York not having a healthy kicker at its disposal. Let’s not even discuss last week’s handling of the Browns—Cleveland’s a mess right now! While it disposed of the same Cincinnati team Baltimore needed overtime, and a whole lotta luck, to dispose of last week, are we convinced Washington has the passing prowess Joe Burrow and the Bengals utilized last week? I’m not sold regardless of Washington coming in owners of the league’s 14th-ranked passing attack.
Adding to the unknown as to whether Washington is ready to hang with the big boys or not is a defense—that while no doubt playing hard for new head coach Dan Quinn—still has a laundry-list of weaknesses that a Lamar-led attack will be able to exploit with regularity. The Commies are serving up 130 yards on the ground (#22) and hefty 5.1 yards per carry to opposing running backs. The assignment this week comes in the form of Derrick Henry who’s busted out of the gates with 572 rushing yards and 6 TD for his new team. Adding to the nightmare of keeping Baltimore in check on the ground is the dual-threat of Jackson who will undoubtedly test Washington’s ability to prevent opposing quarterbacks from using their legs. It passed that test with flying colors against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals a few weeks back, but it’s pretty safe to assume the Commanders won’t enjoy a double-digit lead a majority of this one. Once adjustments are made, it’ll open up passing lanes for Jackson to take advantage of against what I still deem to be a very beatable Washington secondary.
Having just climbed over the breakeven point and coming off a crazy overtime win in the ‘Natti, I expect all hands to be on deck for this non-conference tilt. Washington has been a nice story to this point, but I don’t foresee it going into another AFC North opponent’s house and coming out with a win, let alone an NFL odds cover. Look for Baltimore to get in, lean on its ground game, take the air out of the ball, then get out with the win and cover in tow.
- BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6.5)
- UNDER 50.5
