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October 18, 2024Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
We were all in on the Minnesota Vikings coming out of this game against the Detroit Lions unscathed to remain the only undefeated team in the NFC entering Week 8 betting play. We also expected the match to be of a high scoring variety with Sam Darnold and Justin Jefferson playing key roles as to why. Things couldn’t have gotten out to a better start due to Dan Campbell being in a charitable mood early on after calling for the fake punt from his own 33-yard line. The Vikings blew it up—two plays later, Minnesota snagged a 7-0 lead after Aaron Jones busted one off left tackle to paydirt from 34-yards out. After Brian Flores’ defense forced another stop on the Lions next possession, the Vikings extended the lead to 10-0 following a nine play drive that was capped off with a 57-yard field goal from rookie Will Reichard; his first of three in the game.
Unfortunately, this is the point things went sideways for the home team with the Lions rattling off 21 straight second quarter points to take a double-digit lead into the locker room. Minnesota took possession to start the second half. Darnold and Jefferson hooked up three times with the final connection resulting in a 25-yard touchdown reception allowing us to cash that parlay leg in at BetMGM Sportsbook. More importantly, it moved Minnesota to within 21-17. However, Jared Goff would then lead a five minute drive that ended with a 21-yard scoring strike to reclaim the double-digit lead. The Vikings would score the game’s next 12 points to get out in front 29-28 with a defensive score in the mix. It then got a stop and had a shot to close the game out with the offense on the field, but Kevin O’Connell’s offense was unable to move the chains enough to salt the game away. Detroit took over with two-plus minutes remaining and got into position with 20 seconds remaining to kick the game winner. Detroit won 31-29 and scored the huge divisional NFL odds win to leapfrog Minnesota atop the NFC North standings. We came oh so close, but only ended up cashing three of the four recommended parlay legs.
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
While many NFL bettors will point to the Super Bowl rematch between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers as being the game of the Week 7 betting slate, I personally can’t wait for the huge NFC North showdown in the Twin Cities where the rested Minnesota Vikings will have their sights set upon snapping a three-game losing streak to the Detroit Lions who swept last year’s rivalry. If ever a letdown spot presented itself, this would be it after Dan Campbell’s troops went into Arlington and served up a beating for the ages avenging the controversial loss to the Cowboy from last year. Meanwhile, Kevin O’Connell’s men have had a couple weeks to get their bodies and minds right for this one knowing full well what a win could do for their division and Super Bowl title fates.
The lookahead NFL odds for this crucial divisional showdown hit the board with the Vikings laying 1-point and the Over/Under (O/U) set at 48.5. NFL bettors have hammered the visiting Lions with upwards of 80% of the bets and nearly 70% of the money yet the number to beat has jumped a half-point in favor of the home team. BetMGM Sportsbook has also seen heavy interest in the over with 70+ percent of the tickets and handle expecting points to hit the board forcing a market correction to 50.5. The over has paid out in each of these rivals last five overall skirmishes that saw an average of 53.8 points dent the board.
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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Same Game Parlay:
We were all over the Lions in last week’s trek to Dallas. I fully expected Detroit to dominate the proceedings due to its 1-2 backfield punch of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs knowing full well the Cowboys injury-riddled defense had no shot of slowing either ball carrier down. That proved to be exactly the case, as Detroit racked up 492 yards of total offense, with the running game accounting for 184 yards and the duo combining for 143 yards at nearly 6.0 yards per carry.
Set to run up against a Vikings run D conceding fewer than 68 yards per game (#2) and proving themselves against strong rushing teams like the 49ers, Packers, and Jets. I’m not at all sold the running lanes the backfield exploited last week will be there for the taking this time around. I fully expect Jared Goff to play a large role in the success, or lack thereof, of the Lions hanging another crooked number on the board with the unit going off for 40+ points in each of its last two games. To do so, he’ll have to work around the heavy blitz packages Brian Flores is likely to send his way with Minnesota bringing the heat with regularity.
As rock solid Minnesota has been at defending the run, it’s had issues against the pass in allowing 260+ yards per game (#30). With the weapons Detroit has at its disposal, it’ll get theirs. However, I firmly expect Sam Darnold and the Vikings offense to be way up to the task of keeping pace or setting it themselves knowing full well the Lions issues in the back-seven still remain regardless of making it a point to shore it up in the offseason. Carlton Davis got concussed last week. Brian Branch is still nursing a knee injury and playing hurt. Kyle Peko was just placed on IR, and most importantly, Aidan Hutchinson is done for the year. In other words, Darnold is likely to be throwing from a much cleaner pocket than he would have had the injury bug not decimated the Lions’ stop unit last week.
On top of all that, he just so happens to have the best wide receiver in the game at his disposal in Justin Jefferson, with Jordan Addison now likely fully healthy and it considered a possibility that T.J. Hockenson makes his 2024 debut. That’s simply too much firepower for a home team that knows a win on Sunday will not only keep its unblemished record intact, but also position it strongly to win the NFC North—having already beaten the Packers—and put it in a solid position to capture the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Minnesota has been dominant in its own digs (2-0 SU & ATS), and I expect that M.O. to continue in this spot against the Lions who just might invade Minneapolis a bit too fat and happy following last week’s destruction of the Cowboys.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-1.5)
OVER 50.5
DARNOLD OVER 249.5 PASSING YARDS
JUSTIN JEFFERSON ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
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