Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

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Published by Mike Rose on October 18, 2024

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Week 7 NFL betting closes out under the lights of Monday Night Football with what has all the makings of a barnburner that pits Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens up against Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a heavyweight non-conference throw down. Each team came up with wins last week and looked pretty darn good getting the job done. John Harbaugh’s troops held serve at home against the Washington Commanders covering the closing NFL spread in a game that wasn’t nearly as close as the 30-23 final score indicates. The Bucs 51-27 curb stomping was a tough watch for anyone that took the points with Todd Bowles men making a mockery of the division rivalry.

The lookahead NFL odds for this non-con clash opened up with the Ravens laying 4.5-points and the total lined 47. Both the side and total have undergone market corrections since being rereleased to the NFL betting public. Current action reports find 65 percent of the bets and just north of 50 percent of the money going the way of the visiting team, yet the number to beat at Caesars Sportsbook moved a full point in the direction of homebased Tampa. In terms of the O/U, it’s been all one-way traffic on the over with 60+ percent of the tickets and handle forcing a 2.5-point market correction. Combined, these teams have played to the over in nine of their 12 played games with 56.9 points scored on average.

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Same Game Parlay:

I wasn’t a believer of the Buccaneers heading into the regular season. I’ll admit, I didn’t think Baker Mayfield would be able to string together successive campaigns like the one produced last season with Dave Canales moving onto Carolina. As it turns out, his move to a division rival was a blessing in disguise. New OC Liam Coen has flat-out killed it for the Bucs offensive attack with the unit entering Week 7 betting action ranked ninth overall and denting scoreboards for just short of 30 points per game. Mike Evans, and especially Chris Godwin, have lit things up with the duo proving to be one of the best wide receiver tandems going. The running game even got into the action last week with Bucky Irving and Sean Tucker going HAM much to the chagrin of Rachaad White player prop supporters and fantasy owners. While not likely to make quite the impact this week it did last running up against Baltimore’s league-best run defense, I fully expect Tampa Bay’s passing game to flourish much like it has since the season opener against Washington.

Reason being, Baltimore is the owner of a pass funnel defense that’s shown absolutely zero ability of preventing opposing offenses from shredding them through the air. Through six played games, only the Jacksonville Jaguars have been more charitable to opposing passing attacks than that of the Ravens who’ve been ripped for 276 yards per game and healthy 7.5 yards per pass attempt (#26). On the road, those outputs increase to 337.7 yards per game and 8.8 yards per pass attempt. Patrick Mahomes went for 291 yards and 1 TD in Week 1. Dak Prescott 379 yards and 2 TD in Week 3, while Joe Burrow exploded for 348 yards and 4 TD in Week 5. Just last week, rookie Jayden Daniels got Baltimore for 269 passing yards and a couple scores within M&T Bank Stadium! As stated earlier, this has barnburner written all over it and I fully expect Mayfield to be a primary lynchpin as to why.

But before we get too crazy and call for a Bucs runaway victory, let it be known that Baltimore will be in position to score their fair share of points as well. While Antoine Winfield is expected to return to the secondary following a month-long hiatus, Tampa still enters this matchup serving up 250+ passing yards per game themselves (#29). However, it’s only amounted to an average of 1.0 passing touchdown allowed per game. The unit is due a nasty dose of negative regression in that respect, and the battery of Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman, along with sprinklings of Isaiah Likely and Mark Andrews are all capable to make it a reality. Lamar Jackson is on a heater right now having shattered his passing yards props each of the last two weeks to go along with 5 TD passes. It helps when you got a runaway tank like Derrick Henry in the backfield opposing defenses have no choice but to take seriously.

I don’t expect any lead being safe Monday night. As long as the weather cooperates and we get a dry track for the entire game, neither defense is likely to make enough stops to keep the total score from soaring past the over/under. This matchup could very well come down to the last team holding possession securing the win. With that in mind, I recommend taking the points and betting the over in what I envision being a high-scoring back-and-forth affair, while also considering some of the player props listed below for added excitement.