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October 29, 2024LSU vs. Texas A&M Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
The Texas A&M Aggies overcame a 10-point third-quarter deficit against LSU with a major switch at quarterback, as Coach Mike Elko replaced Conner Weigman with Marcel Reed. The change proved effective, as Reed ran for three touchdowns in the second half, leading the Aggies to a shocking 38-23 victory to preserve their unbeaten record in SEC play. Reed energized the offense, guiding four consecutive touchdown drives and capitalizing on three second-half interceptions of LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier. The Aggies’ ground game was dominant, amassing 242 rushing yards, while LSU was held to just 24. Le’Veon Moss scored twice, and Reed’s versatility kept the Tigers on their heels, especially after a miscue on LSU’s field goal attempt and a failed two-point conversion. Elko praised the team’s progress and highlighted a unified, determined roster as they aim for their first SEC Championship berth. For LSU, Coach Brian Kelly emphasized the need for more discipline, especially with costly errors eroding their standing in the SEC title race.
While our positions on the LSU Tigers +2.5 and under of 53.5 looked rock-solid through the first 30 minutes of play, the Aggies second half adjustments and Tigers gross inability to counter those moves handed us brutal losses with both the side and total on the NCAAF odds. LSU led 17-7 at the break and looked to be in full command of the proceedings in front of the 12th Man. But that’s why they play two halves of football folks. The 23-point fourth quarter was tough to stomach knowing full well this game had all the ingredients of going over had LSU taken, mainly Nussmeier, taken care of the ball. The switch to Reed and it paying off so nicely for the Aggies certainly wasn’t on my bingo card. I’ll take my losses at BetMGM Sportsbook and turn the page.
LSU vs. Texas A&M Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
SEC bragging rights will be on the line Saturday night in College Station where the No. 14 Texas A&M Aggies will look to defend their house against the No. 8 LSU Tigers in a match filled with major College Football Playoff ramifications. These rivals have alternated wins and losses each of the last seven years with the home team coming out on the right side of the scoreboard each time. However, the Tigers came out the NCAAF odds victor six times with it last scoring the 42-30 win and cover as 11-point Death Valley favorites a season ago. Though the Aggies initially hit the board 3-point favorites to keep the recent trend intact, 80+ percent of the bets and 70+ percent of the booked money is riding LSU forcing a market correction down to 2.5 with heavier vig attached to A&M. BetMGM Sportsbook is yet to move the total off the 53.5 opener regardless of nearly 80% percent of the tickets being written on the over and the rivals combining for high scorers in three straight with 61.3 points scored on average.
Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.
Bet College Football at BetMGM Sportsbook
LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies CFB Same Game Parlay:
Raise your hand if you had either the LSU Tigers or the Texas A&M Aggies clocking in as the SEC’s last undefeated team heading into the CFB betting season. If it’s up, you either live in or on the outskirts of Baton Rouge or College Station, or you’re a bold faced liar. It was Georgia, Alabama, Ole Miss, Tennessee and Texas getting all the preseason pub entering the year! Regardless, it’s Brian Kelly and Mike Elko for all the Tostitos and I’m 100% here for it!
Both teams have traveled an identical path to get here with each dropping its season openers and following it up with six straight wins. The most notable for LSU was its 29-26 upset of Ole Miss in overtime as 4-point home dogs, while A&M counters with a 41-10 demolition of Mizzou in a game I mistakenly touted the Tigers and embarrassingly paid for it. It’s insane to think, but everyone in the SEC will be chasing the victor of this match.
My perception of the Aggies hasn’t changed since they served me up a huge helping of humble pie against Missouri. Did I say Muck Fizzou yet? Well, there it is. Anyway, I’m still not sold on Conner Weigman under center and will pay up to see if he can get A&M’s 107th ranked passing attack going against the weak link of LSU’s defense that’s served up 260 passing yards per game (#106). Le’Veon Moss is a specimen, and I learned of it after he shredded Missouri for 138 yards and 3 TD in early October. However, the Tigers defense has excelled against the run in allowing fewer than 110 yards per game (#23) and 3.6 yards per carry (#33). If the Aggies preferred aspect of the offensive attack is taken out of the equation, can Weigman’s arm rule the night? I won’t bank on it and recommend hitting the under of his passing yards prop into your same-game parlay over at BetMGM.
While I expect the home team to have issues hanging a crooked number on the board, it won’t be easy for the visitors either as solid a brand of defensive ball the Aggies have brought to the table. Garrett Nussmeier has proven to be a gunslinger spearheading the Tigers 8th ranked passing attack that’s shredded opposing defenses for 322 yards per game with the unit stepping back to pass an average of 41.7 times per game (#10). Though A&M has been average against the pass overall in conceding 227.3 yards per game (#68), it’s only allowed 198 yards per game through five played games in front of the 12th Man. With that, LSU will have no choice but to fire up the running game with the intent of marching out as balanced an attack as possible. This in turn should help keep the clock moving and set their QB1 up for the big play I have more confidence in him pulling off than that of his opponent under center.
This is likely to be a nip and tuck grinder all the way through. I expect the legs of both Damian Ramos and Randy Bond to be called upon numerous times, and it wouldn’t shock me in the least if one of the two ultimately goes on to kick the game winner at the gun. Either way, get your popcorn ready and enjoy what I expect will be a low scoring white knuckled brawl!
- LSU TIGERS +2.5
- LSU/TEXAS A&M UNDER 53.5