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Published by Mike Rose on November 1, 2024

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The Week 9 installment of Sunday Night Football takes NFL bettors to U.S. Bank Stadium where the Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings will each be looking to get back in the win column after coming up short last week. Indy saw its two-game win streak get snapped in Houston after dropping a tough 23-20 decision to the Texans as 4.5-point road dogs, while the Vikings fell 30-20 in Tinseltown against a Rams team it held multiple touchdowns leads over in the first quarter. The NFL odds for this tilt hit the board 6.5 in favor of the Vikings and got as high as 7 before it was announced Anthony Richardson would be benched in favor of Joe Flacco. The number to beat is currently being offered up at PROLINE+ at 4.5 with the total yet to move off the 46.5 opener. Action reports relay heavy interest in the Vikings and over with the former taking in 65% of the handle and the latter 80+ percent of both the bets and money.

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Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Same Game Parlay:

At 4-4 SU and moneymaking 7-1 ATS, the Colts come off as being a playoff worthy team. Currently just on the outside looking into the AFC playoff picture, this is a huge spot for Shane Steichen’s troops with a nasty schedule upcoming that includes the Bills, @Jets, and Lions after departing the Twin Cities. While owners of a below average offense, the inefficiency of the unit with Richardson under center was a primary reason why. With that bud nipped, it’s time for the offense to start hanging crooked numbers once again with Mr. Elite in his stead. Remember, Indy dented boards for an average of 27 points per game in the 2+ starts Joe Flacco made from weeks 4-6. Running up against the Vikings 30^th ranked pass defense and a healthy Jonathan Taylor in the backfield likely to do damage against the strength of Minnesota’s defense (#3), it’s understandable as to why the betting line has undergone a bout of reverse line movement.

That being said, the Colts’ defense is very much so beatable with it clocking in 28^th overall and ranking out in the bottom third of the league against both the pass (#24) and run (#30). Takeaways have played a role in Indy marching out the league’s 13^th best scoring defense in allowing just over 21.5 points per game. So too has the caliber of opposition and the timing of running up against its tougher opponents. Remember, Malik Willis led the Packers in Week 2 and Caleb Williams was making the second road start of his career a week later. Indy held the Packers and Bears to an average of 18.5 points in those games. Throw in matchups against the impotent and turnover prone Titans and Tua-less Dolphins, and it’s easy to see how Gus Bradley’s defense has limited scoring to this point of the NFL betting season. Tonight will however be a wakeup call running up against a pissed off Minnesota Vikings outfit coming off back-to-back losses in games it just as easily could’ve won.

Regardless of tonight being T.J. Hockenson’s 2024-25 debut, the Vikings already had more than enough in the tank to hang a big number on the Colts and win this game by margin. His addition only adds more firepower that a bad Indianapolis stop unit will be forced to deal with. Justin Jefferson is going to eat this Colts secondary up for huge chunk yardage! The Colts routinely forced to account for the best wide receiver in the game will in turn open gaping wide running lanes for Aaron Jones and Ty Chandler to gallop through. Injuries along Minnesota’s front wall are concerning, but not tonight. Sam Darnold will have a year and a day to target his pass catchers downfield with the Colts pass rush amongst the worst in the league (#23). On the flipside, Flacco is going to be a sitting duck against the Vikings blitz-happy defense that knows how to finish evidenced by averaging 3+ sacks per game (#3). Indy will get theirs due to Minnesota’s beatable secondary (#30), but his immobility will lead to sacks as well as a turnover or two. In this matchup of two of the best ATS cover teams in the league, look for the home team to hold serve and do so comfortably.