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November 1, 2024A huge showdown is set to go down in the Big Ten early Saturday afternoon when the No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes and No. 3 Penn State Nittany Lions collide in Beaver Stadium with the winner put on the inside track towards qualifying for the B1G title game. James Franklin has led his kids to a single win the 10 times he’s run up against the Buckeyes since taking over in Happy Valley and is well known for coming up short in just about every big game (1-12 L/13 vs. Top-5 teams). Ohio State ran its win streak to seven straight in the recent rivalry last season by disposing of the Nittany Lions 20-12 in “The ‘Shoe” as 4-point favorites. Though current action reports relay CFB bettors gravitating towards the home dogs with 70+ percent of the bets and 56% of the money, BetMGM Sportsbook linemakers have been remiss to move off the 3.5-point opener. That’s not the case in the total market that’s seen 2.5-points trimmed off the NCAAF odds with 60% of the tickets and 75+ percent of the handle in favor of the line move. The under has cashed at a 4-1-1 clip in the last six meetings with 54.2 points scored on average.
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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions CFB Same Game Parlay:
I personally won’t be getting involved in Saturday’s showdown between these teams as I already have a betting interest in how the game plays out. Before the season kicked off, I invested in the Buckeyes exceeding their 10.5-game season win total knowing full well cashing that ticket could possibly come down to this early November trek out to Happy Valley. I also hit the over of the Nittany Lions 9.5-game win total, but would still feel pretty good about it cashing in having more leeway with PSU having four more games to secure three wins. That isn’t the case with the Buckeyes who with a loss on Saturday would squash any chance of the team winning the necessary 11 games needed to cash the ticket in. That being said, I still believe OSU to be the better of these two teams and will show the college football betting world exactly just that come Saturday, November 2.
With the Buckeyes coming in the healthier of the two teams, this one ultimately comes down to the coaching staff getting its kids motivated to go into enemy territory and score a huge win that would help pave the way towards making more noise come the postseason. A tough sell no doubt with Ohio State 6-1 SU but only 3-4 versus the closing college football betting lines and already failing to come through as road chalk against an upper tiered opponent by dropping a tough 32-31 decision to the Oregon Ducks in Autzen as 3.5-point favorites. I’m still not over that one! The defeat moved Ryan Day to 15-4 SU the last 19 times he squared off against a ranked opponent. An impressive record no doubt, but keep in mind he’s only managed a 2-5 SU record over the last seven instances. Many of those L’s have come against Michigan, but it’s a trend the Columbus faithful has grown wary of.
Drew Allar, Beau Pribula—it doesn’t make much of a difference to me. The talent disparity the Buckeyes possess in this matchup goes way behind who ultimately navigates the Nittany Lions offense. It’s a matter of finally rising up and letting it be known just how big an advantage Ohio State holds! The 1-2 backfield punch of TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins shouldn’t represent the 35th ranked rushing attack in the country. It’s high time the offensive line started dominating like it was expected to heading into the regular season! Jeremiah Smith, Emeka Egbuka—PSU’s top-20 ranked pass defense is yet to run up against anything like that duo! Will Howard only needs to be the straw that stirs the drink, and I don’t foresee the Buckeyes offense needing to come up with a bevy of explosive plays to win this game, and do so by margin. I’m always one to play into streaks rather than bet against them, so I’ll take the road favorite here and expect Franklin’s M.O. of struggling in big games to persist.
- OHIO STATE BUCKEYES -3.5
- OHIO STATE/PENN STATE UNDER 45.5