Alabama vs. LSU Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

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College Football Playoff hopes will be on the line Saturday night when the No. 15 LSU Tigers welcome the No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide into “Death Valley” for a pivotal tilt against the Week 11 NCAAF odds. Each team has had two full weeks to prepare for this put up or shut up bout with the victor improving their respective CFP portfolio and the loser forced to settle for a lesser tiered bowl game. Kalen DeBoer’s kids opened 3-point road favorites with the total lined 57.5 with the Tide out to take four of the last five meetings against their hated rivals. The CFB betting market looks to have eyes for visiting Bama and the under with 75 and 80 percent of the booked handle aligned with each bet, respectively. The point spread is yet to move off the opener posted at BetMGM Sportsbook, while reverse line movement finds the O/U up a full point to 58.5. LSU put an end to a five-game home losing streak to Alabama in a high scorer back in 2022 moving the over to 4-1 in the last five overall meetings that saw an average of 65.2 points dent the scoreboard.

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers CFB Same Game Parlay:

Alabama has already shown once this season that it can venture into hostile territory and come out victorious after going into Madison and spanking the Wisconsin Badgers 42-10 as 14-point favorites. However, Jalen Milroe and his mates have been unable to get the afterburners fired up on the road in SEC play where they’ve already absorbed losses at Vanderbilt and Tennessee as 23 and 3.5-point favorites, respectively. Though the Tide bounced back from the tough defeat to the Vols by taking the wood to Missouri in a 34-0 shutout win, I’m just not sold on Alabama’s ability to churn out enough of a balanced attack in this one that allows for it to come out unscathed. Yes, Alabama is fully capable of going off, but CFB bettors are yet to see it outside the boundaries of Tuscaloosa in conference play.

As for LSU, it’s tough for me to exhibit much of any faith in them in this spot after the way they treated my bankroll a few weeks back in College Station. My LSU and under tickets looked rock solid through a half of play with the Tigers holding a 17-7 advantage at the break, but then Garrett Nussmeier and the rest of the team pissed down their collective leg and got outscored 31-6 the rest of the way to fall by a 38-23 final count. The Tigers QB1 really disappointed me. While he ripped the Aggies for 405 passing yards and 2 TD, he also tossed a trio of costly interceptions that allowed for the home team to run away and hide. That being said, I still intently believe the home team has the more finished product under center in this matchup, and Nussmeier should have no issues taking it to an Alabama secondary that I believe to be by no means as good as its No. 34 overall ranking dictates—it’s beatable!

Save for Miami and Oregon, there isn’t a better offense on third down than that of the LSU Tigers who’ve moved the chains at a 50.0 percent clip. While Alabama ranks amongst the top-15 in opponent third down conversion percentage overall (31.2%), the output swells to 45.6 percent when playing away from Bryant-Denny Stadium. Whichever side is best able to proclaim its dominance will go a long way in deciding the final outcome of this crucial SEC clash. My money will be on the home team who’s converted at a 53.6 percent clip when in front of the hometown faithful. Personally invested in both teams’ win total odds, with an under 9.5 ticket on Bama and over 9 with LSU in my back pocket, I’m sticking with my preseason predictions and counting on LSU to bring me closer to cashing in on each ticket. We faded Bama in Rocky Top, so I have no issue doubling up here with an LSU team in search of a statement win.