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November 22, 2024It’s expected to be a dry track at Arrowhead Saturday afternoon when the No. 16 Colorado Buffaloes take on the Kansas Jayhawks with Coach Prime’s kids aiming to move closer to a College Football Playoff berth, while KU looks to play spoiler and keep its bowl game hopes alive. The Buffs rattled off a fourth straight win and eighth straight NCAAF odds cover after taking it to the undermanned Utah Utes in Boulder last week to move to 8-2 SU and ATS for the season. As for Kansas, it stormed Provo and crushed the BYU Cougars in a surprising low scoring battle to move to 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS the last four times Lance Leipold’s kids took to the gridiron. Linemakers at Caesars Sportsbook opened this bad boy up with visiting Colorado laying 2-points and the total lined 60. Each market been corrected since with the CFB spread up a full point to 3 and the O/U down a half tick to 59.5 with 70+ and nearly 80 percent of the money in favor of the line moves.
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Colorado Buffaloes vs. Kansas Jayhawks CFB Same Game Parlay:
Since getting skunked in their first true road test of the CFB betting season at Nebraska—a game we banked on back in Week 2, Shedeur Sanders and his mates have only been upended once the last eight times they took to the playing field. It occurred in a tough 31-28 home defeat to Kansas State in a match it still covered as 3.5-point favorites. The key to the Buffs’ revival has been the play of the defense which has shut opposing running games down to the tune of 138.7 yards per game (#56). Recently however, it’s held its last three opponents to an average of just 105 yards per game after stonewalling the likes of Utah (31 yards), Texas Tech (113 yards), and Cincinnati (171). Because of it, CU has only allowed 21.6 points per game on average over the last two months—good for a top-50 scoring unit. On the other side of the ball, Heisman hopeful Travis Hunter and the offense have been instrumental in Colorado’s turnaround, spearheading the nation’s No. 7 ranked aerial attack. The high-powered unit averages 34+ points per game (#26) and has ramped production to 41.3 points per game over the last three weeks.
The Jayhawks stormed BYU’s home digs last week having allowed Big 12 opposition to rack up 30.6 points per game resulting in 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS records. Because of it, the Jayhawks entered the match one of the biggest disappointments of the 2024 college football betting season. This is a team that entered the year with an 8-game win total and aspirations of punching a ticket to the CFP as conference champions. While none of that is possible now, it didn’t prevent Jalon Daniels and Co. from going into LaVell Edwards Stadium and posting the 17-13 outright win as field goal underdogs putting an end to the Cougars undefeated campaign. Most surprising was that the dub was pulled out by what had been an underperforming defense with it allowing 366 total yards, but forcing a pair of crucial turnovers and holding BYU to a miserable 3/10 showing on third down. Everything that Jayhawks fans hoped would click earlier in the season seems to be firing on all cylinders now with the team dead set on returning to the bowl season a third time in four years under the current coaching staff.
I swung and missed last week fading the Jayhawks and backing it with the under thinking BYU’s defense would be too much for Devin Neal and his mates to overcome. While that proved to be the case with Kansas mustering less than 250 yards of combined offense, the other side of the ball rose to the occasion. That however won’t prevent me from reversing course in this one. While I’d much prefer the game being held in the homebased confines of “The Booth,” I fully expect Kansas to make Arrowhead its home with all the pressure squarely on Colorado to emerge unscathed from this neutral-site clash and keep its College Football Playoff hopes alive. If the Buffaloes manage to pull it off, they’ll still face a determined effort from the Jayhawks, featuring a steady dose of the nation’s No. 22 rushing attack—a challenge Colorado has yet to face during its current winning streak. This matchup has all the ingredients for both teams to put on a show. Let’s not forget the buzz surrounding the Jayhawks at the start of the season, which still looms large in moments like this. With only one of their six losses coming by more than a possession, we’ll bypass the points and go with the moneyline instead pairing it with the over for this late afternoon same-game parlay!
- KANSAS JAYHAWKS +125
- COLORADO/KANSAS OVER 59.5 POINTS