Texas vs. Texas A&M Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

Emotions will be at a fever pitch Saturday night in College Station when the No. 3 Texas Longhorns and No. 20 Texas A&M Aggies rekindle their hated rivalry for the first time since 2011 when the Longhorns went into Kyle Field and scored the 27-25 outright win as 7.5-point underdogs. Steve Sarkisian’s kids rattled off a fourth straight win last weekend after scoring the 31-14 win and non-cover against Kentucky at home. Mike Elko’s troops dropped a heartbreaker at Auburn where it lost 43-41 in triple overtime to suffer its third loss of the year. BetMGM Sportsbook opened the NCAAF odds up for this heated rivalry with Texas installed 6-point favorites and the total lined 48.5. The number to beat has since dropped a half-point to 5.5 with the homebased Aggies aligned with nearly 70 percent of the bets and 65 percent of the money. Total bettors anticipate a high-scoring affair with the market rising a full point to 49.5, and action reports showing overwhelming support for the over.

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Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies CFB Same Game Parlay:

Since getting manhandled by Georgia in its own house back in Week 8, the Longhorns have rattled off four straight wins against Vanderbilt (27-24), Florida (49-17), Arkansas (20-10), and Kentucky (31-14). They only managed to cover one of those matchups, with it coming in the 32 point pounding of the Gators that saw them close 23-point home favorites. Texas did however fail to cover the 18 against Kentucky last week back in their own house. Digging even deeper, you have to go all the way back to Week 2 to find the last time the Longhorns covered on the true road after going into the “Big House” and skunking the Michigan Wolverines 31-12 as what turned out to be laughable 6.5-point favorites. Since then, it’s failed to cover its only other true road tests at Vandy and Arkansas. Let us not forget however how easily the team disposed of Oklahoma in the Red River Shootout at a neutral venue. The team is either incapable of flexing its muscles on the road or is due a heavy dose of positive regression for its CFB betting supporters.

When you break what happened down last week, I guess it was kind of obvious. Like its neighbors to the west, the Aggies have simply been unable to get the job done on the road this season. Only for Texas A&M, it dealt with outright defeats instead of point spread losses. Texas A&M got the benefit of running up against Florida early on in Gainesville before the Gators started playing a higher caliber brand of ball, and then surprisingly got pushed by Hail State a month-plus later winning 34-24 but grossly failing to cover as decided 21-point favorites. It then got its clocked cleaned at South Carolina 44-20 as field goal favorites before taking a catastrophic “L” against Auburn last week. None of that truly means anything this week with Texas paying the 12^th Man a visit where A&M has been rock solid ever since dropping the season opener to Notre Dame as field goal home dogs. The two beat downs of Mizzou and LSU will no doubt have the Marcel Reed led Aggies confident in their attempt to throw a wrench in the Horns title hopes.

I get the intrigue of taking the points with Texas A&M. They’re at home in a venue its rattled off five straight wins in, and stands 3-2 SU and 3-1-1 ATS the last five times it went off the board dogged. That being said, I still truly feel Texas—regardless of its recent inability to cover the CFB odds (1-4 L/5)—is leaps and bounds the better overall team in this matchup. CFB bettors have been waiting for Quinn Ewers to let it fly all season. Sure, he’s thrown for 2000+ yards and owns a 23:6 TD/INT ratio, but he’s yet to have one of those HAM moments like he has in the past. I’m talking 400+ yards passing to go along with 5 TD! It could happen here tonight with the Aggies owners of one of the worst pass defenses in the SEC (#80) that just allowed Auburn’s average attack get it for 300+ yards and a couple scores. As rock solid A&M’s defense has been in the comforts of its own house, Texas is an animal it’s yet to run up against to this point of the CFB betting season. I fully expect Sarkisian to unleash the passing game early and often, and even after building a sizable lead, continue to keep the pressure on. Ewers shines leading to Gig ‘Em getting Hooked!

• TEXAS LONGHORNS -5.5
• TEXAS/TEXAS A&M OVER 49.5

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