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December 6, 2024Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
The Minnesota Vikings (11-2) extended their winning streak against the NFL odds to six games with a decisive 42-21 victory over the Atlanta Falcons (6-7) in Week 14 betting action. Sam Darnold, in a career-best performance, passed for 347 yards and five touchdowns, helping the Vikings remain one game behind NFC North-leading Detroit. The game was highlighted by standout performances from receivers Jordan Addison and Justin Jefferson with the former hauling in eight catches for 133 yards and three touchdowns, while the latter added seven receptions for 132 yards and two scores. This marked the first time in Vikings history two players each recorded 100+ yards and multiple touchdown catches in the same game.
Darnold, completing 22 of 28 passes, threw for 250 yards after halftime with the Vikings—much to our dismay—broke a 21-21 tie early in the fourth quarter by rattling off 21 straight points to cruise to the win and cover. Despite heavy first-half pressure, he avoided turnovers and orchestrated a 98-yard scoring drive to seal the game. Byron Murphy’s late interception, his sixth of the season, thwarted a Falcons comeback attempt and capped the Vikings’ defensive effort.
Kirk Cousins, facing his former team, struggled for the Falcons with two interceptions and no touchdowns, despite throwing for 344 yards. Atlanta’s offense totaled 496 yards, crossing midfield on every drive, but self-inflicted wounds—including costly turnovers and penalties—proved to be their demise. Bijan Robinson (92 yards, 1 TD) and Tyler Allgeier (63 yards, 1 TD) led a strong rushing attack against Minnesota’s top-ranked run defense. With this win, the Vikings delivered their first 40-point game under coach Kevin O’Connell, showcasing offensive growth to help solidify their playoff positioning that currently finds them owners of the 5th seed in the NFC pecking order.
This was a tough one to swallow watching both the side and total get cooked in the fourth quarter. While our under position was iffy of cashing in at BetMGM Sportsbook, I certainly had much more confidence of the Falcons getting there with the game tied heading into the final 15. Then unfortunately, everything went to you know what. It’s crazy, Atlanta still won the yardage battle by 60+ yards and went for nearly five spins worth of offense yet still lost the game by three tuddies—thanks for nothing Kirk Cousins!!
Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
The Minnesota Vikings will gun for a sixth straight win in Week 14 betting action when they welcome the Atlanta Falcons into the Twin Cities for the second meeting between the teams in as many seasons after Kevin O’Connell’s troops went into “Hotlanta” and scored the 31-28 outright win as 3.5-point underdogs last year. The Falcons enter this tilt losers of three straight both straight up and against the NFL odds after four Kirk Cousins interceptions allowed the Chargers to secure the 17-13 win. As for the Vikings, they staged a huge fourth quarter comeback to defeat the Cardinals 23-22 but failed to cover the closing 3.5-point NFL spread. BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the host Vikings installed 5.5-point favorites with the O/U lined 46. Current action reports only find 52 percent of the money siding with Minnesota and 56 percent of the booked handle riding the over.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Same Game Parlay:
The Falcons started the year off slowly dropping two of its first three games against the Steelers and Chiefs, but did come away with a miraculous road win over the Eagles. Raheem Morris’ troops then went on to win five of its next six games, which included a season sweep of the Buccaneers, to take a stranglehold of the division. Since then, Atlanta has dropped three straight to the Saints (17-20), Broncos (6-38), and Chargers (13-17). Because of it, the Falcons allowed Tampa Bay to tie them atop the NFC South standings.
Sitting 6-6 straight up and 5-7 against the spread, Atlanta knows it must win out, or come darn near close to doing it, to have any shot of winning the division like it was expected to at the season’s outset with the Bucs sporting what can only be considered a laughable remaining schedule. As big a struggle it’s been for Kirk Cousins throughout the losing streak, the coaching staff came out and gave their QB1 a vote of confidence with him set to return to a memorable playing surface after navigating the Vikings offense the previous six seasons.
Minnesota entered the season +240 dogs to make the playoffs with a 6.5-game win total. They won their seventh game in Week 10 and currently hold down the NFC’s fifth seed with an outside shot to win the division should the Lions slip up down the home stretch. O’Connell and his staff have done a phenomenal job putting the team in a position to laugh in the face of linemakers to this point, but there is still much to be decided.
At 10-2 SU and 7-4-1 ATS, the team certainly looks to be on more solid ground than this week’s opponent, but just how much will it have left in the tank after putting forth a max effort to pull out the comeback win against a game Cardinals outfit last week? And it’s not like the offense has been lighting it up either with the unit benefitting immensely from the defense coming up with huge second half turnovers that allowed them to change the tide of last week’s game. The Falcons defense rates out below average with most of the damage done against it coming through the air (#22). Will this be the week Justin Jefferson reintroduces himself to the player prop community?
I recommended fading the Vikings and hitting the over in last week’s matchup against Arizona. We ended up 1-0-1 with the same-game parlay, but would’ve swept both recommendations had Kyler Murray and Co. not pissed down their collective leg in the red zone (1/6). As much as I want to believe the Falcons have the weaponry to take advantage of the Achilles heel of the Vikings’ defense that comes in defending the pass, Atlanta’s yard per point average clocks in at 29.0 over the last three weeks and Minnesota excels in defending the run (#1). That tells me Bijan Robinson won’t be lighting things up on the ground, but he could catching passes out of the backfield.
Either way, I foresee Atlanta being forced to earn every point it puts on the board. I also expect the Falcons defense to show up in this one as well. It completely shut Justin Herbert and Co. down last week holding the Bolts to 187 combined yards, and the Vikings running game has been running on fumes over the last three weeks in averaging 91.3 yards per game. I’m not sold on Sam Darnold going HAM either. He hasn’t thrown a pick since throwing three at Jacksonville back in Week 10—he’s overdue! Either way, this game will have a playoff feel to it throughout with points tougher to come by.
- ATLANTA FALCONS +5.5
- ATLANTA/MINNESOTA UNDER 46
- SAM DARNOLD OVER 0.5 INTERCEPTIONS THROWN