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December 6, 2024Georgia vs. Texas Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
The Georgia Bulldogs overcame a sluggish start and a major injury to their starting quarterback to secure a dramatic 22-19 NCAAF odds victory in overtime against the Texas Longhorns in the SEC Championship Game to take home league bragging rights for the second time in the last three seasons. Georgia (11-2) clinched its third SEC title under coach Kirby Smart and earned the No. 2 seed in the College Football Playoff, advancing directly to the Sugar Bowl quarterfinals on New Year’s Day. As for Texas, it fell to the No. 5 seed and will host the No. 12 Clemson Tigers in the First Round back home in Austin on December 21.
The game took a pivotal turn when starting quarterback Carson Beck suffered an arm injury on the final play of the first half. Backup Gunner Stockton, a third-year sophomore with limited playing experience, stepped in and delivered a gutsy performance. Stockton led the Bulldogs to a touchdown and two field goals, finishing 6-of-9 for 85 yards before being sidelined in overtime after a hard hit. Beck returned for a single play, handing off to Trevor Etienne for the game-winning touchdown.
Georgia’s defense played a crucial role, sacking Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers six times and intercepting him twice, both by MVP Daylen Everette. Despite being outgained 260-54 in the first half, Georgia only trailed 6-3 at halftime due to Texas’ 11 penalties that went for 94 yards, including a costly false start that negated a field goal. Key moments included a daring fake punt by Drew Bobo, who completed a pass to extend a critical fourth-quarter drive. Kicker Peyton Woodring contributed three field goals to Georgia’s resilient effort, cementing their path to the CFP with a gritty team performance.
I swung and missed on a number of levels in this one regardless of the Horns being ahead of the number for the entirety of the first half and having numerous opportunities to win and cover throughout the second half and overtime. Caesars Sportsbook took my money largely due to Texas simply being unable to get anything done on the ground (1.1 YPC) or take care of business when in the red zone. Once again, self-inflicted damage cost the Horns against the Dawgs with the former winning the yardage battle 389-277 with the three costly turnovers proving vital.
Georgia vs. Texas Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
College football bettors will get to sink their teeth into a marquee rematch on Saturday afternoon in “Hotlanta,” where the No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs will face off against the No. 3 Texas Longhorns in the SEC Championship Game from Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Kirby Smart’s Bulldogs come into this showdown fresh off a thrilling 44-42 victory over Georgia Tech in an 8-overtime epic, clawing back from a 17-point halftime deficit to force the marathon session. Meanwhile, Texas secured its fifth consecutive win, covering the NCAAF odds in a gritty 17-7 triumph over Texas A&M in a defensive battle at Kyle Field. Caesars Sportsbook opened the betting lines with Texas installed 2-point favorites and the total set at 48.5. Heavy action on the Longhorns has pushed the spread to -3, with over 70% of bets and money backing Steve Sarkisian’s squad. Total bettors anticipate a higher scoring matchup than the market initially suggested with the O/U up to 49.5 and 65 percent of the booked handle in support of the line move.
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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns CFB Same Game Parlay:
The Bulldogs find themselves in familiar territory with this being the program’s seventh appearance in the SEC title game since Smart took over the reins in Athens back in 2016. Georgia stands 2-5 straight up in those matchups having last come out on the short end of a 27-24 defeat to Alabama last year, costing it a third straight invite to the College Football Playoff. Since suffering a lopsided 28-10 loss at Ole Miss, Carson Beck and the Bulldogs have bounced back with three consecutive wins over Tennessee, UMass, and Georgia Tech, carrying momentum into this matchup.
However, Georgia covered the spread in only one of those matchups—a 31-17 comeback win over Tennessee. The Bulldogs overcame an early 10-0 deficit and held the Vols scoreless in the second half to secure the win and miracle cover as 7.5-point home chalk. It then failed to cover the 42.5-points against the Minutemen and never once stood a chance of covering the 17 against the Ramblin’ Wreck. In all, the Dawgs enter this tilt winners of 10 games, but killed its wagering supporters along the way managing just three covers against the closing CFB spread.
This will be the Longhorns first appearance in the SEC title game. Makes sense considering the football program only became a member of the conference this season. Quinn Ewers does however have some championship game experience under his belt after leading Texas to the dominant 49-21 win and cover against Oklahoma State in last year’s Big 12 title game resulting in the program’s first CFP appearance.
Since falling to the Dawgs at home back in Week 8, UT has rattled off five straight wins against Vanderbilt, Florida, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Texas A&M. Like their opponent, they also had some issues hooking CFB bettors up in amassing a losing 2-3 record against the closing CFB betting lines. Texas enters this revenge bout with the Dawgs winners of 11 games that saw them produce a winning 7-5 record against the spread. It also went an unblemished 5-0 away from Texas Memorial Stadium (3-2 ATS).
I personally laid the points in the first go-round in Austin and still haven’t fully accepted what went down that night. Georgia bolted out to an unforeseen 23-0 lead due to a number of Texas giveaways and cruised to the carefree 30-15 outright win and cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Bulldogs didn’t excel in any particular area to secure the lopsided win. The outcome had more to do with the Longhorns’ self-inflicted mistakes more than anything else evidenced by Georgia combining for only 285 yards and 110 of them flukily coming on the ground.
Since that defeat, Sarkisian has made it a point to look to the ground game much more in order to limit potential miscues from Ewers whose 2.3 interception percentage is the highest of his collegiate career. He was responsible for all three giveaways against the Dawgs in the first meeting! With that, I’m expecting a heavy dose of Tre Wisner and the Horns running game to shred a Georgia run D that’s been ripped for 210+ yards per game over the last three weeks. I wouldn’t come off the least bit shocked if Arch Manning was called upon to utilize his legs a multitude of times as well. If you can find an anytime touchdown prop for him, slam it! Expect the Texas defense to make a statement this time around, overcoming the challenges it faced in the first meeting and driving the Longhorns to a decisive revenge victory. Feel free to take advantage of some alt lines at Caesars. I’m throwing some beer money at -10 (+215)!
- TEXAS LONGHORNS -2.5
- TEXAS LONGHORNS OVER 24.5 TOTAL TEAM POINTS
- TRE WISNER OVER 79.5 RUSHING YARDS
- ARCH MANNING ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
- CARSON BECK OVER 0.5 TOTAL INTERCEPTIONS