Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

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Published by Mike Rose on December 13, 2024

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Another potential Super Bowl LIX preview goes in the late afternoon of the Week 15 betting slate that has Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills invading Motown to run with the scorching hot Detroit Lions. Personally, I think this pairing has more of a shot than Steelers/Eagles, but I digress. Buffalo closes the road trip off dropping a hard-fought and high-scoring 44-42 decision to the Los Angeles Rams which halted the team’s seven-game win streak. By converting 4 of 5 fourth down tries, the Detroit Lions ran their win streak to 11 after defeating the Green Bay Packers 34-31 at the gun. Both teams enter this matchup failing to cover the closing NFL odds. As it is, BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the host Lions installed 2.5-point favorites with the O/U lined 54.5. Action reports have nearly 70 percent of the money siding with the Bills and nearly 80 percent of the booked handle riding the over.

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Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions NFL Same Game Parlay:

The Bills looked to be dead in the water entering the fourth quarter of last week’s tilt in SoFi trailing the Rams 38-21. Hopefully NFL bettors hammered Buffalo on the live betting lines at that point considering how dramatic a comeback Josh Allen and Co. pulled off to just come up short. We took the points and the over in that game last week, and figured we’d go on to cash in both legs of the same-game parlay with ease. It proved to be far from the case after the Bills scored two touchdowns 5+ minutes apart to cut the deficit to three. Thankfully, LA put the game to bed by hitting paydirt with a little under two minutes remaining. Buffalo still made us sweat however after answering the score with a minute left before ultimately going down by a deuce.

Even in defeat, the Bills showed just how potent their offense is even down players with Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid not dressed. The pair will be back in the huddle this week, and each will need to bring their “A” game to the field if in fact they’re to snap the win streak and hand the Lions only their second defeat in front of their rabid fan base. Even with all the losses on the defensive side of the ball, Detroit continues to get the job done against the run in allowing fewer than 95 yards per game (#5) and 4.3 yards per carry (#14). The unit has been susceptible through the air however (#23) with some walking wounded still trying to give it a go. With that, Khalil Shakir and his mates must take advantage since I don’t foresee much success for James Cook and Co. on the ground.

That being said, will Detroit even give the Bills an opportunity to run the ball before taking it completely out of the equation? With Dan Campbell no stranger to playing the ball control card when available, I think this matchup offers him up an opportunity to pull it out of the deck once again. Though the Rams just lit Sean McDermott’s pass D up for 320 yards and a couple scores, it’s the Rams’ running game that ultimately allowed for LA to hold on for the win with Kyren Williams gashing the unit for 87 yards and a couple scores. Buffalo’s run defense serves up 120+ yards per game (#19) and 4.7 yards per carry (#26). If only the Lions had a stable of running backs that can run roughshod upon the best and worst stop units in the league…

Oh wait, they do! The tandem of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs is set to thrive in this matchup, keeping the ball out of the MVP frontrunner’s hands and giving the home team a chance to control the clock and close the game out. We’ve already seen this approach succeed multiple times this season. Just look back at the Week 12 game in Indianapolis, where the Lions dominated time of possession (37+ minutes) by handing the ball to “Sonic and Knuckles” 29 times for 127 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Coming off a high-scoring shootout against the Packers, and with the Bills likely still feeling the aftereffects of last week’s intense clash with the Rams, I expect Dan Campbell to lean into a ball-control strategy. This approach should give the Lions the best chance to secure the win and lead to fewer points being scored than the betting market anticipates.