Division Round Same Game Parlay Picks – Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills
January 17, 2025Another slate of Division Round NFL betting action picks back up Sunday afternoon when the Los Angeles Rams and Philadelphia Eagles lock horns in the City of Brotherly Love with the former looking to avenge an ugly 37-20 home loss absorbed to the latter back in Week 12. Sean McVay’s squad unleashed arguably the most impressive assault of Wild-Card Weekend when its defense clamped down on Sam Darnold and the Minnesota Vikings to procure the one-sided 27-9 outright win. As for Nick Sirianni’s Eagles, they held serve at home against the Packers to attain the 22-10 win and cover largely due to Green Bay shooting itself in the foot throughout.
PROLINE+ initially set the Eagles as 5-point home favorites on the NFL odds with a total of 45.5 for this division round matchup. NFL bettors have since pushed the number to beat up to -6.5 with 55+ percent of the money aligned with the Eagles laying the home chalk. Though nearly 70 percent of the written tickets and 65+ percent of the booked handle is currently aligned with the over, reverse line movement has pushed the O/U down to 43.5 letting it be known the opener was a bit rich for more respected sharp money.
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Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Same Game Parlay:
I made mention of the Rams possibly waving the white flag in their Week 18 matchup against Seattle to fall down to the No. 4 seed and set up another run-in with the Vikings in last week’s same-game parlay breakdown of the wild-card matchup. The foresight in doing so saw LA dominate and punch a ticket to the division round despite going off the board 2-point neutral site underdogs.
The Rams’ defense made a powerful statement tying a playoff record with nine sacks, forcing two turnovers, and completely shutting down Minnesota’s potent aerial attack. Offensively, Matthew Stafford looked sharp, recording a 117.7 passer rating. However, more will be needed from receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp with LA in line to face a formidable Eagles outfit that rolled to a 37-20 win at SoFi Stadium. The Rams started the season poorly on the highway, going 0-3 SU and ATS but finished strong posting perfect 5-0 SU and ATS records against non-playoff teams. Under McVay, LA stands 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS when installed road underdogs in the postseason.
With Jalen Hurts returning from injury, the Philadelphia Eagles’ offense showed signs of rust but managed to overcome early struggles to secure a 22-10 wild-card victory over the Packers. The win marked the Eagles’ third straight triumph over Green Bay, covering the NFL spread and advancing to the divisional round after last season’s early playoffs exit. The key to Philadelphia’s success was once again Vic Fangio’s dominant defense. Since allowing 33 points to Tampa in Week 4, the Eagles’ second-ranked unit has been a consistent force, holding opponents to fewer than 20 points 11 times.
Despite being outgained 302-290 and trailing 17-16 in first downs, the Eagles never faced serious danger. Green Bay made a final push late in the game, reaching Philadelphia’s 40-yard line with a chance to cover, but rookie Quinyon Mitchell secured the victory with his first NFL interception, capping a four-takeaway performance by the defense. Philly’s stop unit has been the cornerstone of its success, continuing to deliver in critical moments. Since a surprising Week 1 home loss to Atlanta, the Eagles have won eight straight at Lincoln Financial Field, improving to 8-1 SU and 5-4 ATS. With Sirianni at the helm, the team boasts a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS playoff home record with the under cashing in all three tilts (38.3 PPG).
Though the Rams just hooked our bottom line up tremendously in their win over the Vikings, I can’t think of a worse opponent for McVay’s squad to run up against than that of the Philadelphia Eagles. Los Angeles would need its offense to fire on all cylinders to have any shot of winning let alone covering what I deem to be an NFL spread that comes in a bit short. This scenario puts Philly in a buy low position in my book. Keep in mind, seven of the 27 points the Rams scored last week came from the defense. Throwing the 20 points scored last week into the mix, LA will enter this tilt having averaged just 16 offensive points over their last four games. Fittingly, PROLINE+ has set their team total for this rematch at 19.5 after going for 20 in the first meeting.
As impressive LA’s defense has been over the past month, I believe its young, promising pass rush will face a serious challenge against Jalen Hurts and the Eagles—especially if they fail to generate consistent pressure against Philly’s excellent front wall. Braden Fiske and Co. only managed to get their hands on him once in Week 12—at home no less! Spearheaded by Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia’s superior ground game will control the tempo, allowing the Eagles to dominate time of possession and dictate the final outcome of which I expect being of a lopsided variety. Bottom line, this will be too big of an ask for a Rams team entering one of the NFL’s most hostile environments, on short rest, and traveling across time zones.
- PHILADELPHA EAGLES -6.5
- SAQUON BARKLEY OVER 124.5 SCRIMMAGE YARDS
- LOS ANGELES RAMS UNDER 19.5 TOTAL POINTS