Super Bowl LIX Same Game Parlay Picks – Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs

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February 4, 2025

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Published by Phil Simon on February 4, 2025

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My Super Bowl LIX same game parlay picks take us to the Caesars Superdome where the Kansas City Chiefs will attempt to make NFL history in a second go-round against the Philadelphia Eagles with the Lombardi Trophy on the line. Nick Sirianni’s troops mauled their way into the big game by way of disposing of the division rival Washington Commanders 55-23, while Andy Reid’s troops punched a third straight ticket outlasting the Buffalo Bills 32-29 in a final score that came with all sorts of criticism of both the referees and league itself.

The NFL odds for LIX hit the board at Caesars with the two-time defending champs installed 2-point favorites and the total set at 49.5. Believe it or not, but it’s the Eagles that’ve been the favored side by NFL bettors forcing a half-point market correction to +1.5 due to Philly being supported with nearly 60% of the bets and 80% of the money. Expect those percentages to change now that Super Bowl week is upon us with more public money set to infiltrate the market. Though these teams combined for a high scorer in LVII a few years back, it’s the under that total bettors have clamored for with nearly 70 percent of the written tickets and 65+ percent of the booked handle forcing a half-point move to 49.

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Bet Super Bowl LIX at Caesars Sportsbook

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl LIX Same Game Parlay:

The Eagles boast the dominant rushing attack when it comes to this matchup. With Saquon Barkley joining the backfield alongside Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia rolled out the league’s second-best rushing offense, averaging just under 180 yards per game at an impressive 5.1 yards per carry (#4). Their ground game was even more dominant in the postseason, surging to a staggering 6.6 yards per carry across playoff wins against the Packers, Rams, and Commanders—the highest mark among all 14 playoff teams.

Defensively, the Philadelphia Eagles enter this contest with the NFL’s top-ranked total defense, allowing just 278.4 yards per game during the regular season. Their secondary was a major strength, leading the league in pass defense by limiting opponents to just 174.2 yards per game. The run defense was solid as well, holding opponents to under 175 yards per game (#10) at 4.3 yards per carry (#11). However, their pass defense showed signs of vulnerability in the playoffs, surrendering 245.7 passing yards per game to Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford, and Jayden Daniels.

The Chiefs didn’t put up eye-popping numbers this season. Their offense ranked 16th overall, averaging 327.6 yards per game, with both the passing (#16) and rushing (#14) attacks landing in the middle of the pack. Steve Spagnuolo’s defense remained solid but wasn’t as dominant as the previous year’s top-five unit. This time, Kansas City ranked ninth overall, allowing 101.2 rushing yards per game (#8), while the pass defense gave up just under 219 yards per game (#18). Despite those modest rankings, the Chiefs still finished 15-2 in the regular season and enter this matchup having covered the spread at Caesars Sportsbook in both playoff games.

With that, it’s hard to believe history isn’t in the making on Sunday. Philadelphia’s defense will undoubtedly challenge Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, but the duo always finds a way. As much as I hesitate to buy into that narrative, it feels inevitable. The fact that bookmakers have taken heavy Eagles action while only adjusting the spread by half a point speaks volumes. I’d back the Chiefs now, knowing public money could push the line higher before kickoff. It’s also possible the over gets even more action until then, so I’d hold off there to see if we can’t squeeze out some more line value. Either way, look for the Chiefs to win it a third straight time with the duo mentioned earlier likely to take home Super Bowl LIX MVP honors. Either way, expect the Chiefs to secure their third straight title, with Mahomes and Kelce representing the prime candidates to take home Super Bowl LIX MVP honors.