NFL: Week 1 Market Movers
September 9, 2022Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds & Picks
September 9, 2022So who’s ready to partake in some Week 1 player prop betting goodness over at PointsBet Sportsbook? I fully expect each and every one of your hands to be raised right now! That’s right folks, a full 16-game slate has already commenced with the Bills and Rams going at one another Thursday night.
That means another 15 games remain for you to squeeze as much profit out of as possible. That’s what I’m here for. While I didn’t have the greatest of showings in the point spread and total departments a season ago, I killed it in the props arena and plan on doing so once again throughout the 2022-23 NFL betting season.
Be sure to check back regularly to get an inside look at what I’m investing in every passing week. Let’s git ‘er done!
Bet Week 1 Player Props at PointsBet Sportsbook
Justin Fields Over 35.5 Rushing Yards +100
Something crazy is going down in Chicago right now. The offense – called by new OC Luke Getsy – is actually devising plays to utilize the actual talent at hand. That’s not something Bears fans were witness to during the prior regime. Though Justin Fields is still going to have issues with San Francisco defenders breathing down his neck due to a very poor offensive line, he looked much more confident running this new offense throughout the exhibition season.
Getsy called his number on official running plays devised for him a number of times. San Fran conceded an average of 5.7 yards per carry to opposing quarterbacks last season with Fields adding to that output by rumbling for 103 yards on 10 carries when the teams met in Week 8. Look for the Bears QB to play a large role in Chicago not getting laughed off the field by keeping a number of drives alive with his legs.
Justin Herbert to Throw for 350+ Passing Yards +450
A good one is set to go down in SoFi late Sunday afternoon when the division rival Raiders and Chargers square off in the first of two scheduled regular season meetings. The last time these teams squared off, the silver and black prevented the Bolts from going to the playoffs by logging the 35-32 overtime win.
Justin Herbert would go on to throw for 383 yards and 3 TD in that one. The first meeting only saw him throw for 222 yards and another 3 TD, but LA got out to a commanding 21-0 second-quarter lead and didn’t need to push the issue the rest of the way. That likely won’t be the case this time around. Vegas has a much more imposing pass-catching corps now with Davante Adams in tow, and the Chargers will be without free agent acquisition J.C. Jackson on Sunday.
The Raiders will put points on the board and it’ll be up to Herbert and Co. to keep pace. I fully expect him to do just that and put on a show in the process.
Mitchell Trubisky Under 225.5 Passing Yards -115
I personally have no clue what the heck is going on in Steel City right now. It’s eerily reminiscent of what went down in Chicago when Mitchell Trubisky was selected with the No. 2 pick in the NFL Draft shortly after the Bears inked Mike Glennon to be their starting quarterback.
Pittsburgh inked Trubisky and then went ahead and selected Kenny Pickett with the 20th pick in this past year’s draft. I don’t get it! What I do know however is that I’ll be fading Mitch right out of the chute against a Bengals squad that just swept the season rivalry from the Steelers for the first time since 2009. Trubisky is currently the odds-on favorite to be the first quarterback benched this season. I’ll bank on the oddsmakers being right about that and expect him to struggle right out of the chute.
Travis Etienne Over 70.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
Did you happen to catch any of the Jaguars preseason games? Especially the ones against Cleveland and Pittsburgh? Travis Etienne combined for 17 carries and three targets in those matchups and turned them into 62 overall yards.
Keep in mind that output was accrued in limited work. He was on the same page with Trevor Lawrence right from the outset and looked extremely comfortable being the bell cow. I’m extremely bullish on Jacksonville’s offense making huge strides this season, and for Etienne to play an enormous role in changing the tides.
Washington still has a dominant defensive front seven, even without Chase Young, but is susceptible to giving up chunk plays to RBs catching passes out of the backfield. Let’s test to see if that “MO” immediately carries over into 2022.