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November 3, 2022The Tennessee Titans visit the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football on NBC. The Titans are 5-2 SU and 5-2 ATS, while the Chiefs are 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS. Both teams are leading their divisions, as the Titans are atop the AFC South, while the Chiefs lead the AFC West. Despite the fact that Tennessee is the hottest team in the AFC, having won five straight games, the Titans are double-digit road underdogs on Sunday night. The Chiefs have a potent offense led by Patrick Mahomes and head coach Andy Reid’s teams have done well coming off a bye, so bettors are backing Kansas City. Let’s look at Sunday Night Football picks.
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs
Date and Time: Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 8:15 PM EST
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
TV Coverage: NBC
BetMaker previews the upcoming matchup and gives a prediction for Sunday night.
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Picks
The Titans are getting absolutely no respect from the oddsmakers, as they are a big road underdog in this game. Tennessee isn’t flashy but they find ways to win games. The Titans rely heavily on running back Derrick Henry and a defense that is solid. The Titans did not have starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill last week, but Tannehill has returned to practice in a limited way this week. He told reporters that he is hoping to return this week from the ankle injury that kept him out of last week’s game. Rookie Malik Willis started last week’s game for the Titans and didn’t do much, but Henry ran for over 200 yards in the win over the Texans.
The Titans are averaging only 18.9 points per game which is 24th in the league and they are last in total yards per game at 285.6. They are next to last in the league in passing yards per game. The Titans are 9th in the league in fewest points allowed at 19.7 and they are 15th in yards allowed at 343.9. Henry leads the team with 755 rushing yards, Tannehill has thrown for 1,097 yards, while Robert Woods leads the team in receiving with 256 yards.
The Chiefs are all about offense, as they lead the league in points per game at 31.9 and they are 2nd in total yards at 403.3. The defense for Kansas City has struggled for the most part as they are just 23rd in fewest points allowed at 24.6 and they are 26th in total yards allowed at 369 per game. The good news for the Chiefs is that they are 3rd in the NFL against the run, giving up just 92 yards per game. Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads the team in rushing with 288 yards, Mahomes has thrown for 2,159 yards, while Travis Kelce leads the team with 553 receiving yards.
NFL Week 9 Betting Odds
Find all updated NFL betting odds at BetRivers.
Tennessee Titans +12
Kansas City Chiefs -12
Over/Under: 46
The line on this game has been moving toward the Chiefs since it opened. The NFL odds opened at 10.5 for this game and money has moved the line up to Kansas City a 12-point choice. There has been slight movement on the total from the opening NFL odds of 46.5 to the current 46.
The Titans have done well in this series against Kansas City going 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Six of those ten games went over the total. Tennessee has also done well at Kansas City, winning 6 of the last 10 SU and going 7-3 ATS with five games going over the total and five going under.
The Chiefs are 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS in their last eight games coming off their bye week.
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Free Pick
I absolutely despise going with the public in NFL games and the public is all over the Chiefs in this game. The problem I have with taking Tennessee is that they simply aren’t as good as their record. They have a great running back in Henry but the Chiefs are very good against the run. Tannehill isn’t that good when healthy and right now he has an ankle injury and Willis doesn’t seem ready for the NFL yet. This is a bad matchup for the Titans so I would lean toward the Chiefs, but as I said earlier, I don’t like going with the public. I’ll instead look for a lower scoring game and take the under.
The Pick: Under 46
Check out the latest NFL betting odds at BetRivers.