MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Sunday, July 9

We ended up going 1-2 with last Sunday’s MLB Same Game Parlays at PointsBet Sportsbook. The Atlanta Braves proved to be the common denominator of a forgetful week of betting same game parlays as they killed yet another by plating a trio of runs in the bottom of the 5

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Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays

I can’t think of a better pitching matchup to close the first half of the season for both the Braves and Rays than this one between Bryce Elder and Zach Eflin. Neither figured to be centerpieces of successful rosters in fantasy baseball circles heading into the MLB betting season, but that’s exactly the case heading into All-Star Weekend. Elder enters his 18th start 7-1 with a ridiculous 2.45 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits and 0.7 home runs per nine innings. Atlanta has come out on top in five of his last six starts! Though he’s been his absolute best away from Truist where the ERA clocks in at 1.62, he’ll have his work cut out for him against a Tampa offense that’s raked RHP to the tune of a .787 OPS (No. 3) and averaged 5.5 runs per game (No. 4). On top of that, Randy Arozarena and his mates have raked against the sinker/slider combo per Baseball Savant, and that’s the desired combo Elder will employ in this matchup. I faded Eflin earlier in the week against Philadelphia and came out victorious, but to my chagrin the veteran right-hander had enough staying power to hit the over of his pitching outs prop. In doing so, a whopping 62 percent of his starts have been of the quality start variety! If able to tame Atlanta who destroys curveballs, Eflin just might end up being on a large percentage of rosters that win fantasy baseball titles!

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: RAYS MONEYLINE + RAYS OVER TEAM TOTAL + ELDER UNDER PITCHING OUTS

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

Though Aaron Nola just hooked us up on the 4th of July by spinning 7.1 innings of 1 ER ball with 12 K at Tampa Bay, I’m fading the right-hander in this crucial first half finale against the division rival Marlins. Nola has had issues following starts that saw him go deep in a game the last few months. After going seven innings against the Cubs back on May 20, he gave up 5 ER through six innings in a loss to the Braves. After going seven versus Detroit at home on June 5, he gave up 6 ER through 6.1 innings against the Dodgers. While Miami hardly possesses the offensive arsenal Atlanta and LA bring to the table, the team has simply been something else at home where it’s won 27 of 43 games against the MLB odds to put a cool $498 in their supporter’s pockets. Also standing in the way of the Phillies will be Jesus Luzardo who currently ranks just in back of Nola on The List over at Pitcher List. We’ve banked a number of ticket cashes supporting the southpaw in this his renaissance season, and I won’t stop backing him here knowing full well he’s led Miami to two straight wins and hasn’t allowed a single earned run in his last 19.1 innings of work. Current Philly bats are hitting .246 against him with a pathetic .665 OPS while striking out 21 times while only taking three walks – YUM!

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: MARLINS MONEYLINE + MARLINS OVER TEAM TOTAL + NOLA UNDER PITCHING OUTS

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

Blake Snell owning a 3.03 ERA while serving up 4.5 BB/9 makes about as much sense as the Padres sitting six-games under .500 with the gazillion dollars upper management is ponying up in salary this season! Regardless, the southpaw continues to get the job done and it looks to be legit with his FIP clocking in at 3.78! That 11.8 K/9 and 6.8 hits allowed per nine innings have made all the difference in the world, and he’ll be in line to shine in his final start of the first half against a Mets offense that’s had all kinds of issues against left-handed pitching evidenced by a poor .717 OPS (No. 20) that’s equated to just 3.6 runs scored per game (No. 27). Snell has allowed one or fewer earned runs in seven of his last eight starts, and he only gave up a pair the time he didn’t. Though Max Scherzer hasn’t lost a game since Early May, the veteran right-hander has allowed at least one home run in each of his last six starts while serving up 2+ ER in five of his last six. If unable to get it done with the 4-seamer, Mad Max will run into some issues against a hot Padres offense that’s teed off on the slider and changeup all season long. I don’t foresee him long for this one, but do expect Snell to get the job done and claw one game closer to .500.

MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: PADRES MONEYLINE + PADRES OVER TEAM TOTAL + SCHERZER UNDER PITCHING OUTS

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