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July 20, 20232023 Big Ten Championship Odds and Picks
July 20, 2023Last Friday’s MLB Same Game Parlays ended up splitting over at PointsBet Sportsbook. We took the collar in the matchup between the Brew Crew and Reds, but got it all back and some by sweeping the 3-leg SGP at Citi Field where Julio Urias shined and the Dodgers opened up a can on Justin Verlander. Mother Nature pushed Tyler Glasnow’s start against the Royals to Saturday.
Here’s to kicking the weekend off right with some winning parlay picks – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
Don’t look now, but the Cardinals are playing some of their best ball of the MLB betting season having rattled off four straight wins after Nolan Arenado helped the team walk it off against the Marlins on Tuesday night. Regardless of what goes down in Hump Day’s finale against the Fish, St. Louis has come out on top in seven of its last nine games and is attempting to chisel off the double-digit deficits in both the NL Central and wild card races. Since the calendar turned to July, Jack Flaherty has been a steadying force within the starting rotation. Though his ERA still chimes in at a robust 4.29, it was much worse before allowing just 16 hits and 3 ER over his last 18.2 innings of work. St. Louis has won each of his last three road starts. Justin Steele has been the Cubs most consistent starter since day one. Chicago had won each of his prior four starts before getting shellacked for 10 hits (2 HR) and 6 ER by the Red Sox last time out. This should be a nice bounceback spot for the right-hander after already tossing six innings of 1 ER ball at the Redbirds in London. I firmly expect the arms to dominate this one early and for both starters to be in line for quality starts.
MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: FIRST FIVE INNINGS UNDER + FLAHERTY OVER PITCHING OUTS + STEELE OVER PITCHING OUTS
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins
The Marlins need to regroup in a big way! Regardless of what goes down in Wednesday’s finale at Busch Stadium, Miami will either be staring at an 0-6 or 1-5 start to the second half of the baseball betting season. In tanking out of the break, Skip Schumaker’s club now finds itself 10-games out in the NL East pennant race and on the outside looking into the wild card picture. With ten of their next 12 games to be played in the comforts of LoanDepot Park, it’s time for the Fish to get back on track and start playing like the team that was once one of the most lucrative teams in the league for MLB bettors to back. They’ll get a cushy matchup in the opener running up against Rockies right-hander Connor Seabold who has done nothing but toss batting practice since being thrust into the starting rotation due to injuries. He’ll toe the bump for start No. 14 the owner of a 1-7 record and bloated 7.18 ERA. His three July starts that lasted 11.0 total innings have seen him get wrecked for 20 hits (5 HR) and 17 ER! The negative regression monster has pinpointed Braxton Garrett in the month of July with the righty getting blasted by the Cardinals, Phillies, and Orioles for 19 hits (2 HR) and 10 ER through 15.1 innings. To put that into perspective, Garrett only gave up 7 ER for the entirety of June! The Rox will prove to be the perfect elixir.
MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: MARLINS MONEYLINE + MARLINS OVER TEAM TOTAL + GARRETT OVER K PROP
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Texas Rangers
I can’t believe I’m doing this as much as we’ve faded Andrew Heaney this MLB betting season, but the Rangers are the side to back in the opener of this series with the Dodgers. Each team enters this heavyweight interleague matchup smoking hot with LA coming out on top in all but one of its last eight games and the Rangers yet to drop a game out of the All-Star break. The platoon advantage goes the way of the homebased Rangers in the opener with Tony Gonsolin set to run up against Marcus Semien and co. who’ve raked RHP to the tune of a .793 OPS (No. 2) and averaged a healthy 5.6 runs per game (No. 3). Though LA has been even better against RHP (No. 1), it’s had its fair share of issues against southpaws with the team ranked No. 5 in OPS (.783), but only averaging 4.8 runs per game (No. 13). It’s also just 11-14 against the MLB odds in those matchups (-$1170). Heaney has been noticeably better in July than June with a blowup outing at Washington nestled in between a pair of 5+ inning shutouts. J.D. Martinez is the only current Dodger bat that’s hit him hard in the past, so I’ll take a shot here with the slight home favs and look for them to hold serve in the opener.
MLB SAME GAME PARLAY: RANGERS MONEYLINE + GONSOLIN OVER EARNED RUNS + HEANEY OVER K PROP
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