Week 3 NFL Totals Best Bets
September 22, 2023Week 3 NFL Player Prop Best Bets
September 22, 2023It was a good start to the season with my Week 2 NFL parlay paying out. It isn’t easy hitting multiple winners on a single ticket against the NFL betting line, which is why the payout is so nice. The house is in business for a reason and it’s not to give out money on a weekly basis. So knowing that losses will happen is a big step in the betting process. Because I had such a good time last week I’ll go ahead with another three-wager NFL parlay in Week 3 with hopes of keeping the good times rolling.
My two Sunday picks at BetRivers sportsbook were winners with the Seahawks at +5 beating Detroit outright. I also played the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs laying 3-points on the road against Jacksonville. With Travis Kelce’s return bolstering the offense and Chris Jones back on the D line, I was confident KC would cover. Offensively the Chiefs still look out of sync, but they did enough in their 17-9 win to cover leaving me anxiously awaiting the Monday Night Football matchup between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. Backing the OVER of 38, the teams crossed that threshold early in the third quarter allowing me to enjoy the remainder of the contest.
NFL Week 3 Parlay Best Bets
Ravens -9
Bears +13
Raiders / Steelers UNDER 43
$100 bet to win $634 at BetRivers sportsbook
I seriously thought about backing the OVER in the game between Baltimore and Indianapolis before settling on the Ravens as my NFL pick against the spread. There’s a chance Anthony Richardson doesn’t play leaving Gardner Minshew III in charge of the Indy offense. Minshew is more than capable as a backup but he’s not as dynamic as AR and I don’t think the Colts can keep up with Baltimore’s attack. Led by Lamar Jackson the Ravens have one of the most balanced outfits in the NFL.
Jackson was 24 of 33 for 237 yards and two touchdowns with an additional 54 yards on 12 rush attempts in last week’s 27-24 upset of Cincinnati. The offense produced 415 total yards and 26 first downs while controlling the football for over 33 minutes. That approach will allow Baltimore to control the game wearing down the Colts defense that lacks depth and surrendered 384 passing yards to C.J. Stroud last week.
With their defensive coordinator resigning earlier in the week and Justin Fields criticizing the coaching staff for his lack of production, the Chicago Bears are a hot mess. Sometimes, however, those issues can bring a team closer together. It’s early in the season and I don’t think the Bears have totally given up. They may not beat the Chiefs but catching 13 points on the NFL latest line is a big advantage. And it’s not like KC has been a sure NFL bet when laying double digits.
The Chiefs are unbeaten in their last 13 contests when favored by 10 or more points, but covering the NFL betting line has been a completely different story. They are just 4-8 against the spread in their past 12 games when closing as a double-digit favorite. And it’s not like KC is clicking on all cylinders losing at home to Detroit in the opener and squeaking by the Jags last week while producing just 37 points.
The Sunday night game is tricky in that the Pittsburgh Steelers and Las Vegas Raiders haven’t shown much offensively this season. It would be trendy to back the UNDER given that both teams have struggled. Pittsburgh’s opportunistic defense allowed them to cash the OVER last week scoring a pair of touchdowns on an interception and fumble return. The Steelers have as many defensive scores as the offense has through two games.
The Raiders were blown out last week in a game Buffalo coach Sean McDermott said was one of the best performances by his club. That leads me to believe that Vegas will have more success this week since Kenny Pickett isn’t Josh Allen. Pickett has struggled completing just over 60 percent of his passes with three picks while taking seven sacks and we saw the teams play below the total on the NFL betting line in each of the last three meetings.
Check out the latest NFL betting odds at BetRivers.