Week 6 NFL Player Prop Best Bets
October 13, 2023Thursday Night NFL Betting Odds & Lines Parlay – Jaguars at Saints
October 16, 2023My Sunday Night Football same-game parlay proved to be nothing short of an unmitigated disaster in Week 5 after the Dallas Cowboys got their teeth kicked in by the San Francisco 49ers. I thought the match would play out to one of those quintessential “Instant Classics.” Instead, Big D folded like a cheap suit and lost a third straight to the Niners – this time in a humiliating fashion falling by a 42-10 final count and never once being in a position to pull the upset let alone cover the closing NFL odds at BetRivers Sportsbook. I knew we had no shot immediately following Tony Pollard’s fumble on the sideline My Sunday Night Football same-game parlay proved to be nothing short of an unmitigated disaster in Week 5 that San Fran miraculously recovered inbounds. All I can do now is roll up my sleeves and try to bang out a SGP winner in the Empire State showdown between the New York Giants and Buffalo Bills – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
Bet on the National Football League at BetRivers Sportsbook
NFL bettors have been forced to take in some horrendous primetime games over the last few weeks. There was that awful 24-3 beat down the Seahawks laid upon the Giants on MNF in a game Daniel Jones was sacked 11 times. I already spoke of the debacle that turned out to be Dallas/San Francisco. Then there was that gross 17-13 win the Raiders had over the Packers to close out Week 5 with Jordan Love getting picked off three times. Week 6 NFL betting kicked off on TNF with another stinker after Kansas City beat Denver for the gazillionth time in a row and landed a body blow to Broncos supporters by covering the closing 10.5-point spread with less than two minutes remaining. Bottom line, we’re owed a good game!
Unfortunately, linemakers at BetRivers don’t expect this to be the one with the Bills currently lined the biggest favorites of the week. Due to a plethora of injuries littered up and down NY’s roster, the GMEN are currently taking back 14.5-points and clock in enormous 6-1 underdogs to win the game. Saquon Barkley is saying all the right things, but it doesn’t look like he’ll be able to give it a go. Same for Daniel Jones who suffered a neck injury in last week’s loss to the Dolphins after getting thrown to the turf seven more times. Making matters all the more worse is the copious amount of injuries that remain along the offensive line. New York has sorely missed Andrew Thomas’s services with the front wall serving up a league-worst 30 sacks through five played games. He and a couple other hogs aren’t likely to give it a go in the Sunday nighter ether.
That being said, the Bills are dealing with some major injury issues of their own after Matt Milano broke his leg a week after Tre’Davious White was lost for the season after shredding his Achilles. Both of Buffalo’s tight ends are banged up with a wrist injury and concussion respectively, while a number of other Bills defensive starters are all listed as questionable. Even so, the NFL betting market has hammered Buffalo with 66 percent of the bets and 75 percent of the money ultimately forcing linemakers to bump the number to beat up 2.5-points to where it currently sits. Total bettors got into the act as well hammering the under to force a 3.5-point southward move to 44.5. Evidently, Josh Allen and Co. are going to win this game going way and hold New York in the teens for the third time in the last four weeks.
I don’t know man, there’s something about Brian Daboll coming back home that leads me to believe this game plays out a lot closer than the masses expect. I get that the GMEN are yet to score a touchdown in the first half, but it’s possible the insertion of Tyrod Taylor under center allows for some successful deep shots that directly result in a score or put NY in a position to punch it in. Though the work has been limited, Taylor has actually fared much better than Jones when under pressure. Jones played to a 45.5 pressure rating while Taylor clocks in at 91.0. His EPA per play when under duress is also much more respectable (-0.12 to -0.58). With Buffalo dealing with some major defensive injuries and the team not likely looking to embarrass a beloved assistant coach, I think New York finds a way to stick within the point spread and hang a crooked number on the board in the process. I don’t think they ultimately have it in them to win the game, but this one should play out much closer than many expect.
New York Giants +14.5
New York Giants Over 14.5 Points
Over 46
Over 5.5 Touchdowns
Bills to Win by 7-12 Points
Bet $100 to Win $1500 On This SNF Same Game Parlay at BetRivers Sportsbook