Mobile Sports Betting in New York Continues to Rise
October 12, 2023Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Giants vs. Bills
October 13, 2023Last week proved to be an excellent case study on how important market timing penetration is when making NFL player prop bets over at Caesars Sportsbook. If you got in late, last week’s recommendations ended up 1-5 with the only ticket cash proving to be Tank Dell who smashed his receiving yards prop well before getting knocked out of the game due to a concussion. If you got in early, the card ended up 3-3 and produced a modest profit. Though we failed to cash any of the anytime and passing touchdown props, Zach Wilson and Patrick Mahomes each barely went over their initial passing yards props but failed to do so after each impost was dramatically steamed by the player prop market. Again, timing is key when it comes to attacking any sports betting market. So, let’s get our Week 6 player prop best bets in early and see if we all can’t bang out some winners – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
Bet Week 6 Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook
Lamar Jackson Over 270.5 Passing + Rushing Yards -115 + Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes +150
Let’s kick the slate off bright and early! The Ravens offense is yet to find traction through the first five weeks of the NFL betting season. Many NFL bettors expected it to take it to a new level under the watch of new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, but it hasn’t come to pass. The unit ranks No. 13 overall and No. 18 in scoring. Most disappointing has been the passing attack which ranks No. 26 overall! I have this spot against the Titans pass funnel defense circled as the one that lights a fire under Lamer Jackson and Co. and fully expect the passing game to flourish. Tennessee is serving up 240+ passing yards per game (No. 23) and while it’s only served up 27 total rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks, it’s yet to run up against a specimen quite like LJ. On top of that, it’s conceding a near 81 percent catch rate to opposing tight ends (No. 29) which means his favorite target – Mark Andrews – will be heavily involved in the offensive game plan. Coming off a brutal late-game loss to the Steelers, look for Baltimore to take the wood to the Titz across the pond and for Jackson and Andrews to be two of the main reasons why the offense finally erupts!
Rachaad White Under 52.5 Rushing Yards -115 + Under 15.5 Rushing Attempts -110
I’m not at all bullish on the fraud that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers making a game of it against a Detroit Lions team I deem to be by far the better of the two teams. Tampa sitting at the top of the NFC South standings with a 3-1 record in tow hardly impresses when taking into account the fact that its three wins have come against the Vikings, Bears, and Saints – teams with a combined 5-10 record entering Week 6 NFL betting. Believe it or not, but Dan Campbell marches a pretty damn good defense onto the gridiron with it owners of the No. 3 ranked DVOA that’s completely shut opposing ground games down to the tune of 68.4 yards per game (No. 3) and 3.3 yards per carry (No. 3). The Lions have conceded 35 yards on nine carries, 18 on five, 33 on 10, 43 on 17, and 23 on eight to the five primary ball carries its run up against to date. I firmly expect Tampa to be trailing in this matchup throughout – possibly by two scores – which will force the Bucs to look to the air. Rachaad White turned his 14 carries into 38 yards against a similarly ranked Eagles run defense in which game script forced Baker Mayfield to air it out one fewer than his season-high 26 times. I expect Detroit to force the issue even more taking the Buccaneers rushing game completely out of the equation. The White fade is on in Week 6 and I expect nothing short of a RB3 finish for the Bucs primary rock toter!
Tutu Atwell Over 39.5 Receiving Yards -115 + Anytime Touchdown +215
Coming off a tough 23-14 loss and non-cover to the Eagles and finding itself in a position to claim the No. 2 seed in the NFC West with Seattle in Cincinnati, I want exposure to the Rams passing attack in this Week 6 home clash against division rival Arizona. The Cardinals pass defense has sprung leaks over the last two weeks having been gotten by Brock Purdy for 283 yards and a touchdown, and allowing Joe Burrow to rip them for a season-high 317 yards and 3 TD last week. Zona is serving up a near 75 percent catch rate (No. 30) and sixth highest fantasy output to opposing wide receivers. Most of the damage has come in the slot where Tutu Atwell has done most of his damage en route to hauling in 15 passes for 154 yards and a couple of scores with a team-high ADOT of 12.4 yards. So instead of betting into the inflated offerings of Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, we’ll take the value route here and hope the former Louisville standout can get in back of the leaky coverage and take one to the house to possibly cash both of these tickets in one fell swoop. I think it’ll have to happen early with LA likely to cruise to the win and cover, so here’s to hoping Atwell pays off big due to a limited opportunity share!
Bet NFL Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook