Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay – Eagles at Seahawks
December 15, 2023Week 15 NFL Player Prop Best Bets
December 15, 2023The Dallas Cowboys ended up smashing the Philadelphia Eagles as expected. Unfortunately, the Eagles failed to keep pace mostly due to a number of red zone turnovers that allowed for the home team to take their foot off the gas and cruise to the 33-13 win and cover as 3.5-point favorites per the closing NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook
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Things are likely to get real interesting in the Week 15 installment of Sunday Night Football with the Baltimore Ravens set to square off against the Jacksonville Jaguars in a matchup of division leaders. Lamar Jackson and his mates just took over the catbird seat of the AFC by winning a third straight (2-1 ATS) against the Rams in overtime. The Jags on the other hand dropped a second straight against an AFC North opponent after losing a tough 31-27 decision to the Browns. In doing so, it stayed within reach for either the Colts or Texans to overtake them in the divisional standings and prevent Doug Pederson’s squad from taking home bragging rights a second straight year. Initially 5.5-point favorites to win this game on the lookahead lines when it was thought Trevor Lawrence wouldn’t be available, the Ravens now find themselves installed 3-point road chalk with it taking in 55 percent of the bets but only 25 percent of the money per mid-week wager reports from Caesars Sportsbook. The O/U hit the board 39.5 but has since been bet up to 42.5 with 84 percent of the bets and 55 percent of the money aligned with the over.
I can’t stress enough how important a game this is for the home standing Jaguars. Though its playoff stock has yet to be affected by dropping two straight, a loss tonight at home in front of another nationally televised audience would put the team in jeopardy of relinquishing breathing room atop the division standings with Indianapolis and Houston each partaking in winnable games; especially the former. That leads me to believe a “circle the wagons” type effort is coming down the pipeline with the Jaguars’ collective back against the wall. Baltimore will play the part of a division leader and come ready to play, but it too has been pestered by the injury bug of late and could enter this game a bit fatigued coming off that overtime shootout with the Los Angeles Rams that they were fortunate to win. On top of that, they’re on a Christmas night collision course with the San Francisco 49ers which could possibly have John Harbaugh’s troops looking ahead. Screw the points – gimme Jacksonville on the moneyline!!
Having said that, they’re going to have to earn it with the Ravens passing game really starting to take shape in recent weeks. Surprisingly, the increase in production has come with Mark Andrews out of the mix. Though Baltimore currently clocks in with the 19th ranked season long passing attack, it clocks in at No. 10 over the last three weeks in averaging 240.7 yards per game while averaging 7.5 yards per attempt during that stretch. It’s amounted to 2.0 passing touchdowns per game which is much improved from the 1.3 averaged for the year. Jacksonville’s defense had been a stonewall against the run (No. 4) up until the last three weeks with the unit serving up nearly 110 yards per game (No. 16). While bothersome, I still expect the Ravens to look to the air more knowing how susceptible the Jaguars have been to opposing passing attacks all season (No. 31) with the secondary battling injury concerns of its own. Though rookie Zay Flowers has upped his game the last few weeks, it’s the LJ to Odell Beckham Jr. stack we’ll be targeting in this SNF same game parlay with the veteran ripping off at least one explosive play per week.
I still can’t believe Trevor Lawrence took the field against the Cincinnati Bengals less than a week removed from what I thought would be a multiple week recovery period for the ankle injury incurred that saw him go down in a heap. Sure, he threw a trio of picks but also threw for 257 yards and 3 TD while looking no worse for the wear even after getting sacked four times. His resiliency was impressive, and I thoroughly expect the Jags QB1 to show out in this one against a Ravens defense that was dragged over the coals by Matthew Stafford to the tune of 294 passing yards and 3 TD without a single interception thrown. While Baltimore owns the league’s No. 4 ranked pass defense, it’s been had for nearly 204 yards per game over the last three weeks (No. 12) and served up a surprising 2.0 passing touchdowns per game during that stretch (No. 25). With Christian Kirk now out of the mix, Zay Jones was targeted a team-high 14 times. It only amounted to five catches for a paltry 29 yards. With Baltimore only conceding 8.8 yards per reception (No. 3) and 41.1 yards on average to opposing tight ends (No. 8), T-Law’s recent security blanket – otherwise known as Evan Engram – will have a rough go of it allowing one of the Jags other pass catchers to rise to the occasion. I’m hitching my wagon to Zay!
Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline
Lamar Jackson 275+ Passing Yards
Trevor Lawrence 275+ Passing Yards Passing Yards
Odell Beckham Jr. 750+ Receiving Yards
Zay Jones 50+ Receiving Yards
Bet $100 to Win $8500 on this SNF Same Game Parlay at Caesars Sportsbook