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November 15, 2024The Week 11 installment of Sunday Night Football takes NFL bettors to SoFi Stadium where the Cincinnati Bengals will attempt to take their campaign off life support in a must-win showdown against the resurgent Los Angeles Chargers. Zac Taylor’s troops invade the west coast off a brutal loss in Baltimore where it let another one get away en route to falling to 4-6 SU and 6-4 against the closing NFL odds. LA however sticks at home looking to tally a fourth straight scalp after taking care of business against Tennessee pushing Jim Harbaugh’s squad to 6-3 both SU and ATS which finds the team firmly entrenched in the AFC playoffs chase. PROLINE+ opened this flexed-in SNF matchup with the Bolts laying 1.5-points and the total lined 43. Though the visitors have received a heavy percentage of interest from NFL bettors, the market remains unchanged. That however isn’t the case with the Over/Under that’s swelled to 47.5 with 80 percent of the booked handle expecting points to dent the scoreboard.
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Same Game Parlay:
Once again, the Bengals find themselves fighting tooth and nail at the midway point of the season after getting out to another wretched start to their respective campaign. Had it not lost four of five to start the year to the Patriots, Chiefs, Commanders, and Ravens, Cincinnati too would be comfortably in the AFC playoff mix heading into Week 11 betting action. But alas, that’s exactly what occurred with the pair of defeats to the Ravens being the toughest to swallow. Even if their two-point try was successfully converted, the odds of the defense preventing the Ravens from going right up the field for the game-winning field goal attempt were slim as easily a go Baltimore had of it in the fourth quarter. That right there lies the issue with the team. The offense can score with the best of them with it ranked 12th overall and scoring an average of 27 points per game (#6). Unfortunately for Joe Burrow and his offensive mates, the defense hasn’t a clue how to prevent the opposition from doing the same with it serving up 348 yards (#23) and 26.2 points (#26) per game. Because of it, the over has cashed at a 7-3 clip with an average of 53.2 points scored per game.
That should be music to the ears of Justin Herbert and Co. with the offense starting to flex its muscles in recent weeks. Since kicking his respective campaign off throwing the ball an average of 21.3 times per game, Jim Harbaugh has given the green light for the Bolts QB1 to let it fly. Since losing 20-10 at Pittsburgh in a game he only stepped back to pass 18 times, Herbert has averaged 29.5 pass attempts in the last six games. The output would be even larger had he only needed to throw 18 passes in a commanding win over the Titans last week. As great LA’s defense has been to this point of the NFL betting season, Khalil Mack and Co. have logged their gaudy stats against a highly questionable cast of opponents that includes the aforementioned Titz, Browns, Saints, Broncos, Panthers, and Raiders. If it’s to defend its turf Sunday night, Los Angeles must churn out one of its highest scoring outputs of the year with Chase Brown, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins highly likely to inflate its defensive averages against.
The NFL was wise to flex this game into Sunday night and spare the NFL betting public another glimpse of Aaron Rodgers and the Jets under the primetime lights. As big a moneymaker LA has been for under bettors to this point with it paying out at a 7-2 clip and Chargers’ games averaging just 33.8 points per game, I expect it to play to a second straight high scorer once this one’s said and done—not one of a cheap variety like last week when Tennessee scored a window dressing touchdown with a minute left to make the final score a bit more respectable. Cincinnati will take to the SoFi turf with an axe to grind knowing its backs are already against the wall to make the playoffs and needing to stockpile wins to get back in the chase. With that, I’m expecting an offensive clinic to play out with the team last holding possession of the pigskin in a position to win the game outright.
- CINCINNATI/LOS ANGELES OVER 47.5
- JOE BURROW OVER 266.5 PASSING YARDS
- JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 30.5 PASS ATTEMPTS