Broncos at Chargers Same Game Parlay
December 17, 2024
On Saturday night, what is arguably the best matchup of the first College Football Playoff weekend will take place when the Ohio State Buckeyes host the Tennessee Volunteers at the famed Horseshoe. Ohio State and head coach Ryan Day have been hurting mentally since their home loss to the hated rival Michigan Wolverines, who were heavy underdogs entering the game. Ohio State had better have all of that misery flushed out of its system as it will face a dangerous Tennessee team that is eager and confident while getting a highly attractive underdog price.
Let’s take a look at our Betmaker CFP Saturday Night College Football Parlay.
Saturday, December 21, 2024, CFP Friday Night College Football Parlay
Tennessee Volunteers +7.5 at Ohio State Buckeyes
Tennessee Volunteers and Ohio State Buckeyes Over 47
Two Leg Sides Parlay Pays 2.6/1, which equals $100 for $360
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On Saturday, December 21, 2024, the Ohio State Buckeyes will host the Tennessee Volunteers at Ohio Stadium in Columbus, OH. Kickoff time is set for 8 p.m. ET, and television coverage will be on ABC and ESPN.
Last game, the Ohio State Buckeyes lost 13-10 against the Michigan Wolverines as 19.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 41.5. Ohio State has a record of 10-2 straight up, 6-6 against the spread, and 5-7 over/under the total. Ohio State ranks 38th for total offense, 38th for passing, 60th for rushing, and 17th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 1st overall, 1st against the pass, 6th against the rush, and 1st for points allowed. Also, Ohio State ranks 29th for fewest turnovers lost and 76th for takeaways.
Last game, the Tennessee Volunteers won 36-23 against the Vanderbilt Commodores as 10-point road favorites. The game went over the total of 47. Tennessee has a record of 10-2 straight up, 7-5 against the spread, and 7-5 over/under the total. Tennessee ranks 10th for total offense, 63rd for passing, 9th for rushing, and 10th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 5th overall, 16th against the pass, 9th against the rush, and 4th for points allowed. Also, Tennessee ranks 45th for fewest turnovers lost and 48th for takeaways.
Tennessee obliterated their first three non-conference opponents by a combined score of 191-13. That is not a misprint. Their first misstep occurred in Week 4 when Arkansas backup QB Malachi Singleton ran for an 11-yard touchdown with 1:11 remaining in the game to 19-14.
They churned out a pair of one-score wins over Florida and CFP Playoff snub Alabama, which has unquestionably been UT’s biggest win thus far. Tennessee’s once dominant offense is sustaining drives effectively with a 48.2% success rate, but they aren’t hitting big plays that often, ranking 115th in yards per successful play and 108th in marginal explosiveness.
The vaunted Vols defense ranks 4th overall in SP+ while boasting arguably the best run defense in the nation. It averages a 26.2% stuff rate (4th) and leads the nation in both yards per rush (3.5) and EPA/rush.
Ohio State’s powerful offense ranks Top 10 on each side of the ball in success rate, EPA/play and Red Zone touchdown rate. The main area of weakness on offense is the Ohio State O-line’s ability to handle extra rushers, ranking 76th with a 9.3% blitz down sack rate and 55th in overall sacks per pressure (17.3%). Defensively, OSU is elite, ranking 1st in FBS according to SP+.
The Buckeyes are facing the seventh-fewest number of deep passes in the country, with just 9.9% of passes defended coming 20+ yards downfield. Of course, their ferocious defensive line ranks 5th nationally with a 43.4% pressure rate and 2nd with a crisp 10% sack rate. The Buckeyes are allowing a somewhat elevated 60.3% completion rate (62nd) but still rank 3rd overall in EPA/dropback, so the short completions have not hurt them.
Tennessee matches up well offensively with Ohio State as they struggle to stop the run. Dylan Sampson is an elite running back who led the SEC in rushing yards this season. Tennessee will be asking a lot out of red-shirt freshman Nico Iamaleava, who will be tasked with his biggest game of the season. But Ohio State looks overrated and overpriced.
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