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October 5, 2023Week 5 NFL Player Prop Best Bets
October 5, 2023We are now entering the second month of the college football betting cycle. Lines are getting tighter as teams take part in conference play, and that will make for a challenging month. Case in point, our CFB betting plays last week went 1-2 with James Madison covering the number for our sole win. Unfortunately, no one else was able to get the cover, and the other two plays lost bigly.
Virginia Tech nearly pushed its game with Pittsburgh over the total itself. The Hokies hammered the Panthers 38-21 in a game where we were on Under 39.5, resulting in a loss against the football betting line. Additionally, Georgia nearly lost on the road against Auburn in a game where the Bulldogs were favored by more than two touchdowns. We’re looking to do better this week in order to get back to .500.
College Football Week 6 Betting Odds at BetRivers Sportsbook
There has been a decent amount of action on both Missouri and the Over in this game. LSU opened as a seven-point favorite and the total in this game was initially 62.5, but the performance from the Bayou Bengals last week has led to concern about Brian Kelly’s team. This defense gave up over 700 total yards to Ole Miss, and the front seven is not nearly as good as was expected with two blue-chip talents.
Missouri is already one win away from bowl eligibility. The Tigers are 5-0, and they scored a big win over Kansas State last month. Brady Cook is having a fantastic junior season, throwing for 1,468 yards and 11 touchdowns with no interceptions, as Luther Burden III and Theo Wease Jr. are both receivers that will end up playing on Sundays.
We’re not quite ready to back Missouri as this team has not looked dominant, but we are ready to take the Over. This number has already moved two points, and it should move more prior to kickoff.
Play: Over 64.5
Maryland’s performance in September compared to the rest of the season has become a meme at this point. The Terrapins start off red hot only to collapse over the final two months of the season, and they usually finish with six or seven wins. They are hoping this time is different with Taulia Tagovailoa in his final year, but there’s a reason the Terps don’t have a number next to their name. They might be 5-0, but their three best wins are against teams that are going to finish the season with losing records (Virginia, Michigan State, and India).
That’s the reason why the college football betting odds have moved against Maryland in this game. Originally, the Terrapins were favored by 17 points, but this line might move past 21 within the next 24 hours. Additionally, the total has jumped from 55.5 to 57.5 as bettors are expecting a higher-scoring game.
The Over feels like the right bet in this game too. Tagovailoa is talented enough to make things happen on his own, while Ohio State may have finally turned a corner on offense. This ground game is starting to do some work, and Kyle McCord should fare much better after a bye week.
Plays: Over 57.5
It would have been great to get Texas A&M +3 at home on Saturday given how the Aggies have looked this season. They are 4-1 with their lone loss coming against Miami, but they have been strong on both sides of the ball over the last few weeks despite the injury to their starting quarterback. Backup Max Johnson has played very well, and that gives the Aggies a real chance to beat the Crimson Tide for the second time in three years.
Alabama’s offense is not nearly as dynamic as it was in previous years. This is still a solid team on defense, but the Crimson Tide don’t have much of a passing game. Nick Saban may finally be losing his touch, and the offense needs a real playcaller to give it a shot in the arm.
Play: Texas A&M +1.5