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October 4, 2024Dallas Cowboys vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
We went all-in on Justin Fields as he led the Pittsburgh Steelers up against the Dallas Cowboys in the Week 5 installment of Sunday Night Football. We backed the over of Fields’ rushing yards, longest rush, rushing attempts, and to score a touchdown, heavily investing in him at PROLINE+. The Cowboys came in with one of the NFL’s worst run D’s in the game and were missing key players Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence taking two prominent defensive pieces out of Big D’s equation. With bad weather expected to slow down the passing games, I anticipated a run-heavy approach to be administered by Pittsburgh in hopes of bouncing back from the prior week’s loss in Indianapolis.
The Steelers first possession saw a designed run for Fields of which he turned into eight yards off the right side. Two plays later, he scampered five more yards off the left. So, the Steelers QB1 had amassed 13 rushing yards, with a long of eight, in Pittsburgh’s first four plays from scrimmage. Surely this was going to be a cakewalk, right? WRONG! Would you even believe it if I told you Fields didn’t tuck it and run again until the seven minute mark of the second quarter with the Steelers having possessed the ball three times beforehand? I wasn’t able to watch a single second of this game, but came away shocked—that for the remainder of the game—Fields only got his number called three more times and was only able to gain 14 more yards with those carries. Dallas ended up running the ball 31 times compared to Pittsburgh’s 26, and ended up winning the game at the death due to possessing the pigskin for nearly five more minutes.
I’m baffled by how Mike Tomlin allowed this to happen. How can NFL coaches, paid millions to put their teams in winning positions, fail to utilize their star QB in a favorable smash spot like this? As I pen this recap, I’m still in disbelief that none of Fields’ props cashed on the NFL odds!
Dallas Cowboys vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
The Week 5 installment of Sunday Night Football takes NFL bettors to Acrisure Stadium where Mike Tomlin’s Pittsburgh Steelers will attempt to get back on the winning track against the injury-riddled Dallas Cowboys. Mike McCarthy’s troops scored what proved to be a costly divisional win on the road last week against the Giants that saw defensive standouts Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence pull up lame forcing them off the field for the foreseeable future. The Steelers fell from the ranks of the unbeaten after falling into a big early hole against the Colts that they were never able to fully dig out of before losing 27-24.
The lookahead NFL odds for this non-conference bout hit the board with the Cowboys lined short 1-point favorites and the Over/Under (O/U) set at 42.5. Due to the enormous bites the injury bug took out of Dallas’ defense, the Steelers are now installed 2.5-point favorites with the Cowboys taking in nearly 60% of the bets but only 51% of the money. With two key defensive cogs out of the equation, total bettors have gravitated to the over with 80% of the bets and nearly 70% of the money per current action reports forcing a market correction up to 43.5 at PROLINE+.
Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Same Game Parlay:
Where do you even begin to cap this train wreck of a game? Dallas has been a tough watch through four games. Even when the defense was healthy, it struggled mightily against the run, allowing nearly 146 yards per game (#27) and 4.6 yards per carry (#21). Though the secondary has averaged 1.0 interceptions per game (#4), the defense has yet to recover a fumble, while giving up nearly 210 passing yards per game (#20). In short, the Mike Zimmer-coached defense looks nothing like the one Dan Quinn oversaw since joining McCarthy’s staff in 2021. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, hasn’t been great from a scoring perspective (#24), but the offense hasn’t been terrible either (#17 overall), with the ground game being its strength (#10).
That being said, Najee Harris is severely banged up right now—as evidenced by last week’s horrid showing against the horrific run D of the Colts—and Jaylen Warren hasn’t been able to get on the field due to a knee injury. Making matters all the more worse in the backfield, Cordarrelle Patterson exited last week’s game at Indianapolis with an ankle injury and it’s unknown as to whether he’ll be able to give it a go on Sunday night. With that the case, this just might be the game Justin Fields is asked to be the offense’s primary ball carrier, and it’s certainly within the realm of possibility that he has his breakout game on the ground after turning his 10 carries into 55 yards and 2 TD last week. Dallas has conceded 130 rushing yards, 2 TD and 5.4 yards per carry to opposing quarterbacks on the ground to date. And now, it’ll be forced to deal with Fields’ dual-threat abilities without its two most important defenders.
It seems to me that PROLINE+ isn’t adjusting accordingly, as Fields’ rushing yards prop remains consistent with previous releases from Pittsburgh’s first four games. His rushing yardage props have been set at 44.5, 45.5, 43.5, and 45.5. In the two games where the Steelers’ QB1 exceeded the mark, he ran at least 10 times. In the two games where he fell short, he had eight or fewer opportunities to take off. With Pittsburgh facing significant issues in its backfield, I expect Arthur Smith to lean heavily on Fields’ rushing ability. Weather could also be a factor, with rain and 15+ mph wind gusts expected. We’ve seen Fields thrive on sloppy fields before, so that’s another angle I’ll bank on. As long as Dallas doesn’t pull too far ahead on the scoreboard and force Pittsburgh to abandon the run, I’m confident Fields will exceed his rushing props across the board on Sunday night.
- JUSTIN FIELDS OVER 47.5 RUSHING YARDS
- JUSTIN FIELDS OVER 8.5 RUSHING ATTEMPTS
- JUSTIN FIELDS LONGEST RUSH OVER 13.5 YARDS
- JUSTIN FIELDS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER