Saturday, January 20 College Basketball Parlay
January 18, 2024
NFL Betting Parlays – Divisional Playoff Round
January 19, 2024
Never in my wet and wildest did I envision the Green Bay Packers taking the wood to the Cowboys in Big D the way they did to kick-off Sunday’s Wild Card festivities. Though Tony Pollard barely exceeded his combo yardage prop, game script prevented him the rushing workload necessitated to get it done for us on the ground. Matthew Stafford made up for it though by squashing his passing yards prop and cashed his alt in as well allowing us to cash another huge +400 ticket. Unfortunately, he came a touchdown short of the trio preventing us from busting out the broom. It would’ve been nice considering the stinker Mike Evans put forth forcing us to take the bagel in a game Baker Mayfield threw for 337 yards and 3 TD. All in all, it was another plus-money showing for my player prop best bets over at Caesars Sportsbook! Here’s to six straight weeks of sticking in the black with some Division Round player prop best bets – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
Bet Division Round Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook
C.J. Stroud Over 34.5 Pass Attempts -131 | Under 36.5 Longest Pass Completion -121 | Over 0.5 Interceptions -169
The Texans are on their way towards bookend losses in Baltimore with Houston catching 9.5-points in the division round rematch with the Ravens. While the soon to be named Offensive Rookie of the year Award winner showed out in last week’s stomping of the Cleveland Browns, the AFC’s top seed is an entirely different animal that will have DeMeco Ryan’s troops playing catchup a majority of the match. Because of that, I firmly expect C.J. Stroud’s right arm to get a workout much like it did in the Texans 25-9 loss back in Week 1 in a game the Texans trailed 22-6 entering the fourth quarter.
The rook went on to sling the pigskin 44 times in his NFL debut with mediocre results. While he didn’t throw an interception with his longest completion topping out at 26 yards, I firmly expect there to be some prime garbage time in this match at some point. Before that situation comes to pass, I also expect the rookie to have turned it over at least once against a Ravens ball-hawking defense that forced 31 takeaways with 18 coming by way of the interception (#2). Now rested with a few weeks to prepare and knowing the deep strike has aided the Texans to get to this point, I fully expect DC Mike Macdonald to have his secondary locked in to make life a living hell for the rookie making his first playoff start in hostile territory. If Stroud beats me, he is him!
Brock Purdy Under 21.5 Pass Attempts -148 | Christian McCaffrey Over 92.5 Rushing Yards -123 | Christian McCaffrey 150+ Rushing Yards +500
When taking a gander at how I’m attacking this division round betting clash between the Packers and 49ers, you’ll see I’m bullish on San Francisco protecting its house to advance to the NFC title game a third straight time. I targeted Green Bay’s porous run defense last week with little success. Due to the Packers getting out to such a commanding first half lead, Dallas was all but forced to scrap the running game trailing 7-0 before the “Jerry World” crowd was able to get comfortable in their seats.
It would come as an enormous shock is if Jordan Love and his mates found a way to do it again in Silicon Valley Saturday night. I’ll pay up to see if it comes to fruition. With the Packers getting ripped for 128 rushing yards per game (#28) at a healthy 4.4 yards per carry (#24) and San Fran lined 9.5-point favorites to win this game, the NFC’s top seed couldn’t have asked for a juicier matchup to flex its muscles against. Christian McCaffrey is bound to get a ton of burn in this one, and I fully expect him to deliver. As for Brock Purdy, he’ll work up a lather but won’t be needed to sling the pigskin around the ball yard with the 49ers likely holding a comfy lead throughout. San Francisco will get whatever it wants on the ground, so why put him in harm’s way? Rest that arm for next week’s showdown against the Lions beatable secondary!
Baker Mayfield 350+ Passing Yards +625 | Chris Godwin 100+ Receiving Yards +310 | Mike Evans 125+ Receiving Yards +475
We’ll close things out in Motown late Sunday afternoon when the Buccaneers and Lions square off in a revenge bout with a trip to the NFC title game on the line. These former division rivals squared off way back in Week 6 at Raymond James where Detroit allowed me to take a care free stroll back to the betting window to cash a big ticket in after dominating the Bucs 20-6 to log the margin win as field goal road chalk. I think they’re inflated favorites in the rematch, and it has everything to do with that piss-poor secondary that just allowed Stafford to go HAM. Baker Mayfield only completed 19-of-37 passes for 206 yards and 0:1 TD/INT ratio in the first go-round leading the Bucs to horrendous 2-of-12 and 0-of-2 showings on third down and in the red zone respectively.
However, the stat line would’ve been made to look much better had he connected on a number of deep shots that were just missed. While it was the Cade Otton show at home last week against the Eagles, it likely won’t be this time around with Detroit greatly improved against opposing tight ends since Week 15. However, no defense has been worse against wide receivers during that timeframe per The Edge from the 33rdTeam with the Lions serving up 1,303 receiving yards and 15.7 yards per reception (#30). With Rachaad White not likely to be a factor against Detroit’s tough nosed run D (#2), the Bucs will need the trio of Mayfield, Chris Godwin, and Mike Evans to go HAM to have any shot of advancing to the NFC Championship Game. Against this pass defense, I’m not putting it past them in this win or go home bout!
Bet NFL Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook
