Division Round Same Game Parlay Picks – Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions

Division Round betting action continues Saturday night in Motown where the top-seeded Detroit Lions will attempt to take one step closer towards securing the franchise’s first-ever Super Bowl title against an upstart Washington Commanders squad that would love nothing more than to upset another division winner. Dan Quinn’s squad pulled a mild upset in the wild-card round after logging a 23-20 win at the gun to shock the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. As for Dan Campbell’s troops, they got to sit back and enjoy Wild Card Weekend from the comfort of their own beds after locking down the NFC’s top seed in the regular season finale against the Minnesota Vikings.

Caesars Sportsbook initially lined the Lions 10.5-point favorites on the NFL odds to win this NFC pairing with a total of 56. Though Detroit has been aligned with nearly 70 percent of the bets, the handle is nearly 50/50 which forced a market correction down to -9.5. While the match boasts the highest Over/Under of all four division round matchups, total bettors evidently believe it to be a bit rich evidenced by 50+ percent of the tickets and money forcing a market correction down to 55.5.

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Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions NFL Same Game Parlay:

Jayden Daniels delivered a poised, clutch performance under pressure, showcasing his ability to make precise throws and critical plays with his legs, leading the Washington Commanders to a thrilling walk-off road victory against the Bucs. While a more efficient red-zone showing (2-for-5) would have benefited over bettors, like me, the final outcome was well-deserved. Washington outgained Tampa Bay 350-284 and controlled time of possession, especially in the second half, demonstrating dominance on both sides of the ball.  

The win propels the Commanders into a tougher challenge in the divisional round, where they’ll visit the top-seeded Detroit Lions with a spot in the NFC Championship on the line. The six times it was installed road dogs this season, Washington went 3-3 SU and ATS, with the over cashing in four times. However recently, the Commanders’ last four away games averaged just 42 total points. For that streak to remain intact and to possibly advance, Frankie Luvu and his mates will need to overcome both the Lions’ firepower and a challenging road environment.

Detroit wrapped up a historic regular season in Week 18, defeating division rival Minnesota to secure the NFC’s No. 1 seed for the first time ever. The Lions earned their spot atop the conference with resilience, overcoming key defensive injuries to finish with an NFC-best 15 wins and backed it up with a rock solid 11-6 record against the closing NFL spread. On average, Jared Goff and company went off the board favored by 5.8 points per game. Fueled by the NFL’s second-ranked total offense and a league-best scoring offense that dented boards for 33+ PPG, Detroit’s explosive unit has drawn comparisons to “The Greatest Show on Turf.”  

Their playoff journey begins against a determined Washington Commanders squad making their first divisional-round appearance since 2005. Despite their dominance, Detroit showed vulnerability at times at home in going 7-2 SU and 5-4 ATS, with five games soaring over the total and an average of 57.2 combined points. Both losses came against playoff entrants—Tampa Bay and Buffalo—with those contests averaging 63 points. If Detroit is to hold serve, DC Aaron Glenn is going to have to figure out how to come up with a few stops.

It’s a ton of points, but I’m having a tough time buying into this vastly improved Washington team hanging with a Lions outfit that appears hell-bent on making franchise history over the next month. The last thing a porous run D like Washington’s wants to see is a finely tuned, and unforgiving ground assault that Detroit will throw at them, repeatedly. Regardless of whether David Montgomery gets a full allotment of carries or not, the visitors will still have their hands full attempting to fend off Jahmyr Gibbs who made the most of his bell cow debut with No. 5 nursing a sore knee the tail end of the NFL betting season.

As impressive Daniels was leading the Commanders to a road win in his first playoff start last week, facing Detroit in Motown is an entirely different animal. Even if Daniels throws for 300 yards and rushes for 100, the Commanders could still lose by 20. That’s how efficient and cutthroat Detroit’s offense has been! I don’t anticipate many punts in this matchup. On the flip side, expect both teams to be aggressive on fourth down. Detroit will go for it simply because it’s their style, while Washington will be forced into desperation mode trying to keep pace from the outset. 

This dynamic should create plenty of short fields and quick scoring opportunities, helping the Lions easily surpass their lofty team total. The reality is, Washington isn’t prepared for this level of competition. They haven’t suffered the battle scars that the Lions endured the last couple seasons. Detroit’s offense is too polished, too powerful, and too relentless. While the Commanders deserve credit for reaching this stage, they’ll likely find themselves overwhelmed by a team playing with a locked in purpose. This contest will be a showcase of offensive dominance, with Detroit controlling the tempo and the scoreboard from start to finish. 

• DETROIT LIONS (-9.5)
• WASHINGTON/DETROIT OVER 55.5
• DETROIT LIONS OVER 33.5 TOTAL POINTS

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