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September 13, 2024Georgia vs. Kentucky Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
We failed to cash either leg of the recommended same game parlay in the college football betting matchup between the then No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs and Kentucky Wildcats. Due to Kirby Smart’s kids barely escaping Lexington with the 13-12 win in tow, it allowed Texas to leapfrog them in the AP Top 25. I recommended laying the 13.5-points with the Dawgs in the first half and paired it with Kentucky failing to topple its 10.5-point team total. Not only did Georgia grossly fail to cover the first half spread, it didn’t even score 14 points throughout the game’s entirety! Though the Bulldogs’ defense limited the home team to a field goal in all four quarters, the 12 points proved to be just enough to exceed the number and hand us the second of two losses on the NCAAF odds. I won’t shy away from it—this SGP pairing clocks in as my two worst call of the young college football betting season. Neither had any true shot of getting us to the window.
I expected the game to be competitive and hard-hitting, with points hard to come by, but I never imagined Carson Beck would struggle as much as he did, completing just 15 of 24 passes for a mere 160 yards and no touchdowns. His Heisman Trophy odds ballooned from +950 to +1500 at Caesars Sportsbook after this forgettable performance. Credit goes to Brett Vandagriff, who did well protecting the ball, avoiding interceptions, and using his legs to keep drives alive. However, his costly fumble deep in Kentucky territory ultimately allowed Georgia to escape Kroger Field with a win. If UGA is truly one of the best teams in the land like its No. 2 ranking and +350 odds to win the national championship suggest, it’s going to need to be much better on the road with upcoming road treks to Alabama, Texas, and Ole Miss remaining on the docket. I expect CFB bettors see a much different team hit the field in Tuscaloosa come September 28!
Georgia vs. Kentucky Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
All eyes will be on Kirby Smart and the Georgia Bulldogs as the No. 1 team in the nation heads to Lexington for their first true road test of the season against Mark Stoops and the upset-minded Kentucky Wildcats in Week 3 college football betting action. The Dawgs enter this tilt fresh off a carefree 48-3 pounding of Tennessee Tech in a game Georgia simply just went through the motions emptying the bench late allowing the backups to get some burn. As for Kentucky, it enters this matchup off a brutal 31-6 defeat in its SEC home opener against a South Carolina squad it went off the board as near 10-point favorites to defeat. To say this recent rivalry has been uncompetitive would be putting it lightly with the Bulldogs coming out on top ten straight times (6-4 ATS). You have to go back to 2009 to find the last time the Wildcats came out on the right side of the scoreboard. Linemakers don’t expect the home team to put up much of a fight in this one either.
This SEC skirmish hit the board at Caesars Sportsbook with the Bulldogs installed 23.5-point favorites and the total lined 46.5 on the NCAAF odds. The number to beat has since jumped up a half-point to -24 with Georgia commanding 70+ percent of the bets and money. The Dawgs ended a four-game coverless streak in this rivalry last season after skunking Kentucky 51-13 as 14.5-point favorites “Between the Hedges.” The Over/Under has seen upwards of 60% of the bets hit the over, but it’s the under that’s attracted nearly 90% of the handle forcing a market correction down to 45. Last year’s meeting in Athens snapped a four-game under streak with the 64 combined points going on to smash the 47-point impost.
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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcats CFB Same Game Parlay:
Armed with the nation’s No. 32 ranked offense that’s averaged 41.0 points per game (#31), the Bulldogs offense has been much better than average, but yet to show what it truly has to offer with it more or less sleepwalking through its first two assignments. Though the season opener against Clemson was nip and tuck for a half, Georgia completely took the game over in the final 30 minutes and never truly needed to flex its muscles. Then last week, it basically just punched in and did the bare minimum before clocking out with a 45 point win in tow. College football bettors are yet to witness what this offense has at its disposal. Even so, Carson Beck has thrown for 520 yards and 7:0 TD/INT ratio and remains a bonafide threat to take home the Heisman Trophy currently offering up a +950 rate of return at Caesars. Trevor Etienne received his first five carries of the year last week, and he turned them into 78 yards with a long of 45. It’s only a matter of time until this unit starts firing on all cylinders!
It’s been a completely different story in Lexington with the Wildcats’ offense seemingly unable to get off the ground through two played games. Against Southern Miss and South Carolina, Kentucky has only been able to muster 245.0 yards per game (#122) and fewer than 18 points (#112). Former Bulldog Brock Vandagriff has gotten out to a rough start evidenced by the Wildcats passing offense averaging a measly 106.5 yards per game (#124). The junior has only completed 53.6% of his 28 overall passes for fewer than 100 yards per game. He’s also tallied a poor 3:2 TD/INT ratio. That simply won’t get the job done with the ground game only managing 143.5 yards per game (#77). The other side of the ball has held up well with the defense holding the opposition to fewer than 192.0 yards (#4) and 15+ points per game (#43), but the caliber of opposition faced hasn’t been the greatest—that changes tonight!
I don’t foresee this game playing out much differently than the one that played out in Athens last season. Georgia racked up 608 yards of combined offense with Beck shredding the Wildcats secondary for 389 yards and 4 TD. His passing yards prop hit the board around 240 and has already been bet up to 253.5. I’d still look to the high side of that impost, but his ability to exceed it ultimately comes down to how competitive Kentucky will be. With Vandagriff under center, I don’t have high hopes for the home team. That being said, I’m attacking the point spread from an early perspective only with Georgia likely looking to get in, get out, and set its sights on the huge tussle with Alabama in a few weeks. Since Smart took over the reins of the program back 2016, his defenses have held the Wildcats to an average of 11.1 points per game. That output craters to just 7.0 points per game in the last five—this one will be no different!
- GEORGIA BULLDOGS (-13.5) FIRST HALF
- KENTUCKY WILDCATS UNDER 10.5 TEAM TOTAL
Bet Georgia vs. Kentucky Same Game Parlay at Caesars Sportsbook