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November 8, 2024A pivotal matchup is set to go down in the SEC Saturday afternoon when Kirby Smart and the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs venture into Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to lock horns with Lane Kiffin’s No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels. The Dawgs invade Oxford winners of four straight coming off a 34-20 win and non-cover against the Florida Gators, while the Rebs banked back-to-back wins by taking the wood to Arkansas 63-31 to log their seventh win of the CFB betting season. With the winner of this match likely to improve their College Football Playoff hopes intact, linemakers at Caesars Sportsbook opened the visiting Bulldogs up 3-point road favorites and set the O/U at 54.5. The NCAAF odds are yet to move off the openers regardless of UGA being aligned with 80+ percent of the bets and money with total bettors slamming the under with nearly 70 percent of the handle. The home team will be out for some retribution in this one after absorbing a 52-17 beat down as 11.5-point underdogs “Between the Hedges” a season ago. The win pushed the Bulldogs to 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the under cashing eight times.
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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels CFB Same Game Parlay:
The last time we saw the Bulldogs hit the true road, they went into Austin and took the bull by the horns handing the Longhorns a shocking 30-15 defeat as 4-point dogs. With two weeks off to prepare for the Gators in this year’s installment of the “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party,” the team was forced to battle back from a 13-6 halftime deficit and score successive touchdowns with 4+ minutes remaining in the fourth quarter to pull out the 34-20 triumph; a final margin that saw Georgia fail to cover the closing 14.5-point spread. Carson Beck threw for another 309 yards and 2 TD, but also tossed a trio of errant passes upping his overall ante to an eye-opening 11. If not for his first half antics against Alabama, the Dawgs would be the SEC’s only undefeated to this point of the college football betting season. Georgia is coughing possession of the pigskin up an average of 1.7 times per game (#103)!
With two conference losses already in the kitty, the Rebs can’t afford anymore slip-ups if its preseason CFP hopes are to become a reality. The loss to Kentucky was unacceptable, but the selection committee would be more lenient about the 29-26 overtime loss to LSU considering it occurred in “Death Valley.” Ole Miss has taken the field well aware of that these last two weeks against Oklahoma and Arkansas, so I firmly expect the team to churn out one of its best performances of the year on Saturday afternoon. But will it be enough? Jaxson Dart can bomb away with the best of them evidenced by the Rebels being owners of the nation’s No. 12 ranked passing attack that’s shredded the opposition for nearly 300 yards per game while limiting errant passes having only thrown three interceptions.
Can the home team get into the 30s here? If they can, it’ll have a realistic shot to avenge the five-touchdown loss it absorbed in Sanford Stadium last season. Georgia’s gone for 30+ in five straight games. Even so, the Dawgs have still kept the door open to get upset against lesser opposition. Mississippi State didn’t have the firepower to see it all the way through before falling 41-31, and Florida has nobody but itself to blame for letting the Dawgs off the hook last week. UGA hasn’t been able to run the ball all season (#97), and I don’t foresee it occurring here today with a banged up Trevor Etienne running up against the Rebels No. 2 ranked run defense. Ole Miss has undoubtedly had this game circled and I expect its ability to keep Beck and Co. one dimensional paired with its ability to procure numerous explosive plays on the reg to be the ultimate decider. Rebs win outright and turn the CFP race into an even bigger crapshoot than it already is!
- OLE MISS REBELS +126
- GEORGIA/OLE MISS OVER 54.5 POINTS