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December 13, 2024The rubber will meet the road in the Week 15 installment of Sunday Night Football when the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks square off in front of the 12th Man with playoff ramifications in the air. Matt LaFleur’s squad will attempt to get back on the winning track in a tough spot after dropping a tough 34-31 decision at the gun in Detroit to kick off Week 14, while Mike Macdonald’s troops went into the desert and swept the season rivalry from Arizona to grab hold of the NFC West lead. PROLINE+ opened the NFL odds for this week’s SNF matchup with the Packers laying 2.5-points and the total lined 47. The NFL spread is yet to move off the opener with Seattle taking in 56 percent of the bets and Green Bay 52 percent of the money, but the totals market has corrected with the under down to 45.5 and 60+ percent of the written tickets and booked handle aligning itself with the under.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Same Game Parlay:
While the Seahawks have shown significant improvement since their Week 10 bye, I believe oddsmakers got it right by installing the Packers as slight favorites in this matchup, particularly given how Green Bay has performed on the road this year. After losing their season opener to Philadelphia in Brazil, the Packers rattled off four straight road wins before falling short in Detroit last week. Despite the loss, Jordan Love and company still managed to cover the closing betting line, moving to 4-2 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS) on the road. That said, the Packers’ road success comes with an asterisk. Their lone victory against a team with a winning record was against the Rams, who were without both Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua at the time they met up in SoFi. With that in mind, it’s fair to question whether Green Bay has truly proven its ability to beat a legitimate playoff contender away from the “Frozen Tundra.”
Still, the Packers are a formidable bunch. There’s no denying that when healthy, Jordan Love rates out as one of the best quarterbacks in the league. The overseer of the league’s sixth ranked offense, No. 10 commandeers a potent aerial attack (#10) that’s been complemented by Josh Jacobs and his ability to make hay on the ground. The former Raider has proven to be a valuable addition to the backfield in attaining the fourth 1000+ yard rushing season of his career and matching a career-high 12 scored touchdowns through only 13 played games. He’ll however have his work cut out for him tonight running up against a Seahawks run defense (#20) that’s been vastly improved in allowing fewer than 87 yards per game over the last three weeks.
Adding to the Packers challenge of living up to being favored in this contest is the fact that Seattle’s defense finally looks to be coming into its own as a whole. Since dropping that brutal 26-20 decision to the Rams in overtime, Macdonald’s troops have conceded a grand total of 62 points which equates to a little over 15 points per game over the last month. On top of that, it’s been getting after the quarterback (#10) and forcing turnovers (#6) over the last three weeks. Leonard Williams has been playing with his hair on fire which has allowed the secondary (#10) to flex even more than it had previously with it picking off at least one pass in seven straight games.
Along with the defense finally turning a corner under the new coaching staff, the offense has done the same with the unit getting huge contributions from second-year stud Jaxon Smith-Njigba whose averaged 105 receiving yards and scored a total of 4 TD over his last five games. Geno Smith has even held up his end of the bargain amassing 90+ QB ratings in four of his last five starts. He didn’t throw a pick in either of the last two but will be tested in this one against a Packers defense that’s come up with 12 interceptions. While not enamored with either side, it’s Seattle of pass for me in this one. I was extremely bullish of the team at the NFL betting season’s outset, and put my money where my mouth was by hitting the over of their 8.5-game season win total. I didn’t expect it to take till Week 14 however—better late than never!
- SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +125
- JAXON SMITH-NJIGBA OVER 65.5 RECEIVING YARDS