Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

The Week 3 installment of Sunday Night Football takes NFL bettors to Mercedes-Benz Stadium where Kirk Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons will welcome in the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. Andy Reid’s squad remained perfect last week after scoring a controversial win after Harrison Butker’s 51-yard try split the uprights propelling KC to the 26-25 non-covering win against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dirty Birds got into the win column for the first time in miraculous fashion staging a comeback for the ages against the Philadelphia Eagles under the Monday night lights. We only cashed one of three recommended NFL same game parlay legs last Sunday night with the Bears sneaking in to cover the number. Here’s to a better showing this time around – SLAM YOUR MAN!!!

The NFL odds for this non-conference bout hit the board with the Chiefs lined 4.5-point road favorites and the Over/Under (O/U) set at 47. Though Kansas City has been backed with 67% of the bets and 63% of the money per action reports at the time of this writing, the number to beat has moved in the direction of the Falcons which finds them listed as 3.5-point home dogs at BetMGM Sportsbook. The O/U has also undergone reverse line movement with it down a half-point to 46.5 even though 50+ percent of the tickets and handle are situated on the over.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Same Game Parlay:

I have no issue with the Chiefs’ ability to win games or how they go about it. Should a flag have been thrown on the game-deciding pass interference penalty in the final minutes? Absolutely. Daijahn Anthony was early—accept it and move on. That said, I don’t believe the Chiefs are as good as their 2-0 record suggests. If Isaiah Likely’s shoe size had been a bit smaller, they might not have covered the spread or even won outright against Baltimore in the season opener, depending on the Ravens’ two-point attempt. Kansas City was outgained by 99 yards in that game, and the same trend followed against the Bengals, being outgained 320-286. To make matters worse, the Chiefs lost Isiah Pacheco for the foreseeable future, leaving them dependent on Carson Steele, Samaje Perine, and Keontay Ingram in the run game. Without Pacheco, the offense risks becoming too one-dimensional, further complicating their path ahead.

If Kansas City is unable to move the ball on the ground against the Falcons 27^th ranked run defense, Patrick Mahomes is going to have a hell of a time throwing the ball into a secondary that just held Jalen Hurts and Co. to fewer than 180 passing yards. While I get that A.J. Brown wasn’t in the huddle, Jessie Bates III and A.J. Terrell did a heck of a job locking things down. Rashee Rice is likely to get the shadow treatment with the second-year wide receiver proving to be the biggest threat in KC’s huddle. That leaves Travis Kelce, who looks semiretired, as well as Justin Watson and rookie Xavier Worthy to pick up the slack. Atlanta’s D has been most susceptible to opposing tight ends, so this could be the spot Kelce prop and fantasy supporters have been waiting for.

The absence of L’Jarius Sneed in Steve Spagnuolo’s secondary has been glaring. After boasting a top-five pass D last season, Kansas City has plummeted to No. 31, allowing 256.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns (#24) per game. Compounding the issue is the lack of a consistent pass rush, with Chris Jones and the defense averaging just 2.0 sacks per game (#18). Kirk Cousins looked like his vintage self during his game-winning drive last Monday night, and Atlanta’s solid pass protection (#6) should give him plenty of time to find his receivers downfield. Kansas City’s vulnerability to tight ends has also been evident—after allowing 125 yards and a touchdown to tight ends in Week 1, they gave up another 151 yards to Bengals tight ends last week. Given that track record, Kyle Pitts could play a huge role in the Falcons pulling off this upset. Kansas City has been walking a fine line the first two weeks, and I expect tonight to be the night they pay for it.

• ATLANTA FALCONS (+3.5)
• TRAVIS KELCE OVER 48.5 RECEIVING YARDS
• KYLE PITTS OVER 38.5 RECEIVING YARDS

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