Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap

The Buffalo Bills secured a vital 30-21 NFL odds victory over the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 11 betting action, snapping the Chiefs’ undefeated season and boosting Buffalo’s AFC top-seed aspirations. Josh Allen starred, completing 27 of 40 passes for 262 yards, a touchdown pass, and a rushing score, despite playing through a sore throwing hand. His 26-yard touchdown run on fourth-and-2 with 2:17 remaining sealed the win—costing us both the side and total SGP in the blink of an eye. Allen’s 58th career rushing touchdown moved him to second on Buffalo’s all-time list, while his total touchdowns (244) tied him with Jim Kelly for the most in franchise history. Congrats, my bankroll doesn’t thank you!

The Bills absorbed the defending champs’ heaviest blows in the first half, answering with James Cook sauntering into the end zone for a pair of short rushing touchdowns and a Tyler Bass chip shot to take a 16-14 lead into the break. Curtis Samuel added a 12-yard TD reception at the outset of the fourth quarter to get the Bills ahead of the spread for the second time in the game. Buffalo’s defense held the Chiefs’ high-powered offense to a season-low 259 yards. Terrel Bernard’s interception of Patrick Mahomes ended Kansas City’s final drive—and out hopes of kicking in the backdoor, to secure the win. Mahomes went 23 of 33 for 196 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. Noah Gray caught two touchdowns, and Xavier Worthy added another for Kansas City. The Chiefs, previously unbeaten through nine games, struggled with consistency and turnovers. Buffalo enters a well-deserved bye week winners of six straight with it only a matter of time until it locks down a fifth straight AFC East title.

With 7:53 remaining and Kansas City narrowing the deficit to a potential 23-21 final, it was clear the odds of cashing either leg of the same-game parlay were slim. Not with No. 17, visibly determined and fired up, seemingly poised to march the Bills down the field for the game clinching score. While it took a remarkable effort on 4^th and 2 from KC’s 26 yard line to get the job done, the soon to be named MVP did just that to ram yet another dagger in our collective hearts. His mad dash to the end zone cost us both the side and total in one fell swoop turning the game from a big loser to a huge winner for BetMGM Sportsbook—Hooray, the rich get richer!!

• KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +2.5 (L)
• KANSAS CITY/BUFFALO UNDER 46 (L)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

The top seed in the AFC will be on the line in Week 11 betting action when the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills cross paths for the eighth time dating back to the 2020-21 season. Unless you live under a rock, you’ll know that Andy Reid’s squad enters this matchup undefeated at 9-0 after stealing a NFL odds win from the jaws of defeat by blocking Denver’s game-winning field goal attempt at the gun of last week’s exhilarating 16-14 win. Sean McDermott has pushed all the right buttons to this point resulting in the Bills returning home winners of five straight games to grab hold of the AFC’s No. 2 seed following a win and cover at Indianapolis. BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the homebased Bills installed 2.5-point favorites regardless of only being backed with 45 percent of the betting handle. The total hit the board 46.5 and has since been bet down to 46 with 71 percent of the O/U money expecting points to be tougher to come by.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Same Game Parlay:

The Chiefs continue to dig deep down into their bag of tricks to remain unscathed. A week removed from outlasting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in overtime, it pulled out a huge comeback win over their division rivals last week by holding the Broncos scoreless over the game’s final 37+ minutes to pull out the 16-14 win and non-cover as touchdown favorites. The failure to cover the closing NFL spread moved Patrick Mahomes and his mates to 5-4 ATS after starting the year with point spread covers in five of their first six games. Whether it’s the added pressure of churning out an undefeated season or the team simply not up to snuff to meet inflated expectations, Kansas City is currently having issues taking care of its wagering supporters at this point in time. That being said, they’re catching points in this one and we all know how that story plays out with the combination of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes—the duo stands 13-5 SU and 14-3-1 ATS the 18 times they’ve taken back points since No. 15 took over the reins in 2018. KC’s won outright each of the last seven times!

Since absorbing back-to-back road defeats to the Texans and Ravens, Buffalo has come out victorious each of the last five times it took to the gridiron and produced a moneymaking 4-1 record against the NFL spread during that stretch. Following outlasting the division rival Dolphins in a hotly contested 30-27 final, the Bills had no issues going on the road last week and taking it to the Colts severely undermanned. The defense pick-sixed Joe Flacco on his first pass of the game, and once Indy fought back to take a 13-10 second quarter lead, it didn’t allow another point to hit the board until two seconds remained in the fourth quarter. Chalk it up to a sterling defensive effort against a non-playoff caliber opponent. But can McDermott’s stop unit rise up in this spot knowing full well the brunt of the team’s success will ultimately fall into its collective lap with the offense marching a skeleton crew onto the gridiron. It sucks that the injury bug has sunk its teeth into the Bills roster for this game with Keon Coleman out, and both Amari Cooper and Dalton Kincaid listed as questionable with the latter likely unable to give it a go.

Can NFL bettors bank on the Bills running game spearheaded by the trio of Josh Allen, James Cook, and Ray Davis be enough to allow the home team to live up to expectations with it lined the favorite to win this game? I’m not banking on it—not with it set to run into the teeth of a Kansas City defense that excels against the run in serving up 83 rushing yards per game (#3) and just 3.7 yards per carry (#2). Buffalo simply just doesn’t have the weapons at its disposal right now to take advantage of the problem area in the Chiefs back seven that comes with defending the pass (#14). With the bye upcoming and the likelihood of fending off the Chiefs for the conference’s top seed unlikely due to running up against a much tougher end of season schedule, I simply just can’t envision Buffalo having enough in the tank to hand the defending champs their first defeat of the year. With that, bet the Chiefs and add the under to your same-game parlay. Hopefully the Bills are healthier should these teams meet again in the second season.

• KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +2.5
• KANSAS CITY/BUFFALO UNDER 46

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