Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

The top seed in the AFC will be on the line in Week 11 betting action when the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills cross paths for the eighth time dating back to the 2020-21 season. Unless you live under a rock, you’ll know that Andy Reid’s squad enters this matchup undefeated at 9-0 after stealing a NFL odds win from the jaws of defeat by blocking Denver’s game-winning field goal attempt at the gun of last week’s exhilarating 16-14 win. Sean McDermott has pushed all the right buttons to this point resulting in the Bills returning home winners of five straight games to grab hold of the AFC’s No. 2 seed following a win and cover at Indianapolis. BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the homebased Bills installed 2.5-point favorites regardless of only being backed with 45 percent of the betting handle. The total hit the board 46.5 and has since been bet down to 46 with 71 percent of the O/U money expecting points to be tougher to come by.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Same Game Parlay:

The Chiefs continue to dig deep down into their bag of tricks to remain unscathed. A week removed from outlasting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in overtime, it pulled out a huge comeback win over their division rivals last week by holding the Broncos scoreless over the game’s final 37+ minutes to pull out the 16-14 win and non-cover as touchdown favorites. The failure to cover the closing NFL spread moved Patrick Mahomes and his mates to 5-4 ATS after starting the year with point spread covers in five of their first six games. Whether it’s the added pressure of churning out an undefeated season or the team simply not up to snuff to meet inflated expectations, Kansas City is currently having issues taking care of its wagering supporters at this point in time. That being said, they’re catching points in this one and we all know how that story plays out with the combination of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes—the duo stands 13-5 SU and 14-3-1 ATS the 18 times they’ve taken back points since No. 15 took over the reins in 2018. KC’s won outright each of the last seven times!

Since absorbing back-to-back road defeats to the Texans and Ravens, Buffalo has come out victorious each of the last five times it took to the gridiron and produced a moneymaking 4-1 record against the NFL spread during that stretch. Following outlasting the division rival Dolphins in a hotly contested 30-27 final, the Bills had no issues going on the road last week and taking it to the Colts severely undermanned. The defense pick-sixed Joe Flacco on his first pass of the game, and once Indy fought back to take a 13-10 second quarter lead, it didn’t allow another point to hit the board until two seconds remained in the fourth quarter. Chalk it up to a sterling defensive effort against a non-playoff caliber opponent. But can McDermott’s stop unit rise up in this spot knowing full well the brunt of the team’s success will ultimately fall into its collective lap with the offense marching a skeleton crew onto the gridiron. It sucks that the injury bug has sunk its teeth into the Bills roster for this game with Keon Coleman out, and both Amari Cooper and Dalton Kincaid listed as questionable with the latter likely unable to give it a go.

Can NFL bettors bank on the Bills running game spearheaded by the trio of Josh Allen, James Cook, and Ray Davis be enough to allow the home team to live up to expectations with it lined the favorite to win this game? I’m not banking on it—not with it set to run into the teeth of a Kansas City defense that excels against the run in serving up 83 rushing yards per game (#3) and just 3.7 yards per carry (#2). Buffalo simply just doesn’t have the weapons at its disposal right now to take advantage of the problem area in the Chiefs back seven that comes with defending the pass (#14). With the bye upcoming and the likelihood of fending off the Chiefs for the conference’s top seed unlikely due to running up against a much tougher end of season schedule, I simply just can’t envision Buffalo having enough in the tank to hand the defending champs their first defeat of the year. With that, bet the Chiefs and add the under to your same-game parlay. Hopefully the Bills are healthier should these teams meet again in the second season.

• KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +2.5
• KANSAS CITY/BUFFALO UNDER 46

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