Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

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Published by Mike Rose on January 3, 2025

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The Denver Broncos find themselves in a win or go home scenario in Week 18 betting action when they welcome the Kansas City Chiefs into the Mile High City with the full intent of fending off the Dolphins and Bengals for the AFC’s seventh and final playoff seed. Sean Payton’s troops are in this predicament due to dropping a tough 30-24 overtime decision in Cincinnati last week. As for the defending champs, they went into the Steel City and logged their 15^th win of the NFL betting season cruising to the 29-10 win and cover as what proved to be laughable 1.5-point favorites.

BetMGM Sportsbook opened the NFL odds for this division rematch with the Broncos installed 6.5-point favorites with it expected KC would be resting a number of regulars on both sides of the ball. The total hit the board 39.5. Linemakers have received nothing but one-way action on both Denver and the over since. The Broncos have swelled to 10.5-point favorites due to taking in 70+ percent of the bets and money, while the total has only moved a half-point to 40 regardless of total bettors pounding the high side with 90+ percent of the booked handle.

Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Same Game Parlay:

The Kansas City Chiefs solidified their dominance in Week 17, marching into Pittsburgh and dismantling the Steelers with a commanding 19 point victory that easily covered the closing NFL spread. The win marked their 15th of the season and secured the top seed in the AFC, ensuring the road to Super Bowl LIX once again goes through Arrowhead Stadium. Patrick Mahomes was in elite form, posting a stellar 127.1 quarterback rating with 320 passing yards and flawless 3:0 touchdown-to-interception ratio. However, it was the performance of the defense—despite missing Chris Jones—that truly stood out. Steve Spagnuolo’s unit allowed Pittsburgh to gain 364 yards and convert 50% of their third downs but came up clutch by forcing two turnovers and only allowed the Steelers to convert 25% of their red-zone scoring opportunities. Having accomplished their regular-season goal, the defending champions now head into a meaningless Week 18 matchup against a Denver Broncos it squeaked by 16-14 as touchdown favs back in Week 10. With their postseason position locked in, the Chiefs will likely focus on staying healthy while aiming to spoil the Broncos’ season finale with second and third stringers.

For the second consecutive week, the Denver Broncos let a winnable game slip away, leaving them in a must-win situation in their home finale to secure a playoff spot. Despite an unexpected breakout performance from Marvin Mims Jr., who caught all eight targets for 103 yards and two touchdowns—his second tying the game with just eight seconds left to force overtime—the Broncos fell short in their road matchup against Cincinnati. Bo Nix delivered a solid outing with a 114.8 QB rating, 219 passing yards, and three touchdown passes, but a critical interception proved costly. The Broncos’ offensive struggles were evident in a 4-for-12 third-down conversion rate and lackluster 1-for-2 showing in the red zone. Defensively, while Denver effectively limited Ja’Marr Chase, they had no answer for Tee Higgins, who posted a career-best performance. Adding to their woes was the absence of a productive ground game, which allowed Joe Burrow and the Bengals to dominate time of possession by over 14 minutes. The loss places Denver in a do-or-die scenario as they prepare for a crucial Week 18 rematch against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Fortunately for Sean Payton’s squad, Patrick Mahomes is expected to sit this one out, giving the Broncos a better shot at keeping their playoff hopes alive. With that, it comes with little surprise to see NFL bettors flocking to the home team knowing full well that Denver has only been able to topple the Chiefs one of the 14 times No. 15 lined up under center against them. Even so, the number to beat has gotten a bit rich for my blood. All the pressure is on the Broncos to go above and beyond, while the Chiefs are playing with house money. You know darn well Andy Reid would love nothing more than to keep his ownership of the rivalry intact, but at the same time not open the door for Joe Burrow and the Bengals to make a return visit to Arrowhead. With that, I don’t foresee Kansas City winning this matchup, but also don’t foresee them going down by multiple scores.