MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

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July 3, 2024

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July 3, 2024

Published by Mike Rose on July 3, 2024

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A solid week of taking in profits at BetMGM Sportsbook was put on the backburner with last Friday’s MLB parlay picks after suffering through a 1-5 showing. The Astros/Mets game was painful to watch unfold. Jose Quintana gave up one more hit while Ronel Blanco allowed one more earned run than we would’ve liked hooking us on both pitcher’s player props. Then to add insult to injury, Francisco Lindor pushed the combined score over the closing 8.5-run total with a meaningless run scoring double in the bottom of the eighth inning to make the final score 7-2. Though runs were scored in the night cap as expected, it was Oakland that did most of it in the 9-4 triumph and us needing the D’backs to go for five to exceed their team total. Here’s to getting those units back with a larger Friday installment of parlay legs in honor of my Pop’s 74^th birthday – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Same Game Parlay:

While each division race in the National League looks to be an uphill climb for those not currently perched atop the standings, the wild-card race is an entirely different story with ten teams all within 8.5-games of one another. That makes this three-game set in PNC all the more important for both the Mets and Pirates with the former just 2.0 games out and the latter 3.0 out at the time of this writing. Pittsburgh gets the benefit of having NL Rookie of the Year Award hopeful Paul Skenes taking the bump for the opener, but it’s New York’s Luis Severino that I’m backing with the Mets possessing the better of the two offenses and bullpens.

Severino had helped lead NY to five straight wins until the Astros snapped that streak his last time out, while Pittsburgh has failed to get in the win column in each of Skenes last two trips to the bump regardless of offering up quality starts with 17 K combined. The Mets have been one of the tougher offenses to send down via the strikeout this baseball betting season, and they’ve also done a solid of taking walks (#9). I expect an inflated pitch count to get the best of the ROY hopeful, and for New York’s bats to take over once the Buccos’ 27^th ranked bullpen gets the call.

METS MONEYLINE
SKENES UNDER OUTS
SKENES UNDER STRIKEOUTS

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Same Game Parlay:

It’s unfathomable to comprehend, but this will be the first series meeting since both the Phillies and Braves kicked off their respective 2024 campaigns against one another at the end of March. Hey schedule makers, do better! Anyway, I’m forecasting a bit of a pitcher’s duel taking shape early on in Friday night’s opener with right-hander Aaron Nola set to throw at the Braves with rival Max Fried set to take the bump for host Atlanta.

Regardless of going at least six innings in each of his last three starts, Philly’s right-hander got smacked around a bit throughout June in allowing 29 hits (3 HR) over 30.1 total innings. It equated to a 2-2 record and 4.45 ERA. He’s had all kinds of issues with Atlanta’s lineup who’s ripped him for a .265 batting average and launched 17 home runs with Marcell Ozuna and Austin Riley being his arch nemeses. Atlanta’s southpaw has been otherworldly to date leading the Braves to ticket cashes against the closing MLB odds in 12 of 16 overall starts. He’s also conceded just 9 ER over his last 29.1 innings. Each of these hurlers was peppered in their season debuts against relatively the same offenses they’ll stare back at today. I’ve been much more impressed with Fried than I have been Nola overall, and expect him to come out the last man standing allowing Atlanta to eat into its multiple game deficit in the standings.

BRAVES MONEYLINE
NOLA UNDER OUTS
FRIED UNDER EARNED RUNS

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Same Game Parlay:

A battle of staff aces goes down in Tinseltown to close Friday’s MLB betting slate when the Milwaukee Brewers send Freddy Peralta to the hill to square off against Tyler Glasnow and the Los Angeles Dodgers from beautiful Chavez Ravine – get your popcorn ready! The Brew Crew’s alpha is currently in a groove having allowed just nine hits (1 HR) and 3 ER with a 22:6 K/BB ratio over his last 18.0 innings spanning a trio of starts. Milwaukee came out on top in all but one of his six June starts of which he pitched to a 4.26 ERA mostly due to an unforeseen blowup against the Reds back on June 14. He’s been his best on the road (3.49 ERA) and at night (3.43 ERA), and gets the benefit of running up against a Dodgers lineup without Mookie Betts and Max Muncy.

Glasnow has gotten his bell rung in half his last four starts, but the two poor outings occurred on the road while the two dominant showings came in front of the hometown faithful against the Angels and Royals whom he held to a combined five hits (1 HR) and 1 ER while racking up an absurd 19:1 K/BB ratio. The righty has been nasty in his home digs where he’s 6-3 with a 3.21 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and .196 batting average against over 56 total innings. After failing to make it into the fourth last time out against the Giants, I fully expect the right-hander to bring his “A” game to the ball yard and take it to a Milwaukee batting lineup that’s gone down on strikes at a 22.4% clip when digging in away from Miller Park.