MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Monday, April 29
April 26, 2024MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Sunday, April 28
April 26, 2024We came up with a handful of winning parlay legs with last Saturday’s predictions. It all started in St. Louis where Miles Mikolas got rocked, but the Cardinals still exceeded their team total and bounced DL Hall after just 3.2 innings. That was followed up with a clean sweep of all four selections in the City of Brotherly love where the Phillies covered the run-line and exceeded their team total versus the White Sox, while Wheeler overcame his K prop and Soroka only went 4.2 innings. I tweeted out a reverse course in the Orioles/Royals matchup and stated Baltimore was the side to back. However, the F5 under got blown up and Burnes failed to exceed his total outs recorded prop. Follow me on X (@MikeRose77) for all game day adjustments the remainder of the baseball betting season. Let’s see if we can’t mimic more of the same success with this Saturday’s installment of parlay picks at Caesars Sportsbook – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
We backed the Blue Jays with Yusei Kikuchi on the bump earlier this week and came out victors after Toronto scored the 5-3 win. However, the BJs southpaw grossly failed to exceed his K prop. This afternoon’s opponent won’t be easy either with the Dodgers 6-3 and averaging 4.3 runs per game against left-handed pitching while ranking 10th in OPS and 12th in slugging percentage. Per Baseball Savant, LA’s big bats are having huge success against his pitching arsenal that includes the 4-seamer, curve, and slider. The Dodgers K rate clocks in at just 11.5% of its last three games, and will have all hands on deck for this tilt making things extremely tough for the lefty.
Only sitting a single game over .500 heading into Thursday’s finale of the extended series with the Royals, Toronto’s bats are the main reason why. Vlad Guerrero Jr. and co. are averaging 3.8 runs per game (#22) and batting just .232 as a team (#21). Things won’t get any easier Saturday afternoon when the lineup is forced to stare back at Tyler Glasnow and his miniscule 2.92 ERA over six starts. He’s averaging 4.89 K/BB and only conceding 6.3 hits per nine innings. The righty will be hell-bent on exorcising the demons against Toronto who used to tee off on his stuff while throwing for the Rays. He’s locked in right now while the Blue Jays offense is not – advantage Glasnow!
MLB SAME GAME PARLAY LEGS: DODGERS MONEYLINE + GLASNOW UNDER TOTAL EARNED RUNS ALLOWED
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers
I recommended backing Eovaldi and the ‘Gers in last night’s series opener, and I’m coming right back with Texas in the second game of this series that pits Michael Lorenzen up against Hunter Greene. As enamored I’ve been with Greene’s stuff through the years, his propensity to issue walks and serve up long balls has prevented the phenom from living up to his top billing. While serving up a career-best 0.7 HR per nine innings through five made starts, he’s still putting an average of 3.6 runners on base via the walk. Texas has been middle of the road in the taking walks department overall (8.8%), but their output shoots all the way up to 11.4% when in the confines of their own ballpark.
Texas has also proven to possess a batting lineup that’s tough to send down via the strikeout evidenced by its collective 19.7% K rate (#6). The Rangers make contact and have no issues getting on base via the walk which isn’t a good combination for Greene in this spot. Michael Lorenzen has seemingly picked right back up where he left off last season winning his first two starts for the Rangers in allowing six hits (1 HR) and 3 ER with an 11:8 K/BB ratio through 11 total innings. So long as he doesn’t allow Cincy to kill him with walks (#4), he should be in line for successive high strikeout tallies with the Reds proving to be a free-swinging bunch (#25).
MLB SAME GAME PARLAY LEGS: RANGERS MONEYLINE + LORENZEN OVER K PROP + GREENE UNDER PITCHING OUTS PROP
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
It’s official, Ranger Suarez sold his soul to the devil in the offseason! Formerly regarded as a reliable arm suitable for occasional starts and relief appearances, the southpaw now boasts an impressive 4-0 record with a remarkable 1.36 ERA, ranking among the lowest in the league. He’s gone up against the Braves and Reds and lived to tell about it. Mixed in also were dominant showings against the Nats, Pirates, and Rockies. Pitchers that MLB bettors have grown to know as being mid-level come out of nowhere seemingly every season to change perspectives. I’m not 100 percent sold just yet, and will pay up to see if his early season dominance carries over in Petco.
Dylan Cease took care of business for us to kick off the week in Coors where he tossed seven dominant innings of 1 ER ball with 8 K. Thirty of his 59 thrown strikes were of both the looking and swinging varieties. Over his last four starts against the Giants, Cubs, Brewers, and Rockies, the righty has only conceded nine hits (1 HR) and 4 ER while racking up a 29:9 K/BB ratio over 25.0 combined innings. Philly’s offense averages a paltry 3.6 runs per game away from CBP (#24), while San Diego has won five of six at home when staring back at a left-hander. I expect this one to be hotly contested and low scoring early, but for the home team to pull away late once the bullpens get involved.
MLB SAME GAME PARLAY LEGS: PADRES MONEYLINE + FIRST FIVE INNINGS UNDER
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[…] past weekend wasn’t kind to my MLB parlay picks and it all started on Saturday. The day did however start out in the green after the Dodgers took […]