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August 23, 2024MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Sunday, August 25
August 23, 2024Last Saturday’s MLB parlay picks took a skosh from the bankroll at Caesars Sportsbook after we ended up splitting the six leg recommendations. The matchup between the D’backs and Rays played to the low scorer as expected with Springs only allowing 1 ER through his 5 IP with 7 K, but Gallen struggled through his 5 IP giving up nine hits and 4 ER which saw him come up short of toppling his 18.5-outs prop. We came one out away from cashing the under of Peralta’s outs prop, but didn’t deserve it as poorly capped the game proved to be. I expected the offenses to flourish with Bibee his opponent, and while he only logged 15 outs to cash the under, we never sniffed the over with a grand total of eight hits combined. Let’s do better with another Saturday installment of MLB parlay leg suggestions – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Same Game Parlay:
Is it just me, or are the baseball gods doing everything they can to put Blake Snell in a position to defend his NL Cy Young Award? I get that Caesars has Chris Sale listed the decided favorite heading into the back half of August, but the stars are aligning perfectly for the left-hander who currently offers up a 100-1 return on the MLB odds if he were to pull off the incredible feat. Of his last five starts, the Nats were the only opponent that didn’t sport a season-long K percentage of at least 24.5%! He still went on to fan eight Washington batters to eke over his 7.5 K prop. In the other matchups, he totaled 47 strikeouts through 28.1 innings. Next up is a Mariners lineup that owns a year-long 27.7% K rate that’s gone down via the strikeout versus LHP at a nauseating 30.4% clip over the last two weeks. They’re also batting .271 against south paws during that stretch (#29).
Whatever bothered George Kirby heading into that showdown with Tarik Skubal and the Detroit Tigers back on August 13 looks to have been rectified. He followed that disastrous start up by tossing six innings of four hit (1 HR) and 2 ER ball at PNC Park to help lead the M’s to the commanding 10-3 win over the Buccos. The right-hander has been his absolute best in the comforts of T-Mobile Park (2.74 ERA) where he’s only conceded 56 hits (3 HR) and 20 ER with a 74:8 K/BB ratio in nearly 66 logged innings. San Francisco’s only taken walks at a 7.5% rate (#18) and logged a .291 on-base percentage (#23) against RHP over the last 14 days. Kirby will be in line for the quality start in a matchup I expect will be low scoring early on.
- FIRST FIVE INNINGS UNDER
- SNELL OVER TOTAL STRIKEOUTS
- KIRBY UNDER TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Same Game Parlay:
We faded Sonny Gray in his most recent turn at home against the Dodgers. We backed Kershaw and the Dodgers as short road chalk with the belief that the right-hander would struggle throwing against an LA outfit getting its pieces back in place. Though he handled himself well only allowing 2 ER through 5 IP, he still allowed seven hits (1 HR) and issued a trio of free passes to fall three outs short of toppling his 17.5-run outs prop. That had us thrilled considering we backed the under. Regardless, I’m of the belief the downward trend continues in this spot on the road (5.43 ERA) and at night (4.05 ERA) against his former team in the Twin Cities where Minnesota has been its most dominant toppling the baseball betting odds on 36 of 60 occasions ($106).
Pablo Lopez enters his 26th start 11-8 with a 4.47 ERA and 4.75 K/BB. His 3.84 FIP lets it be known his record deserves better. He should’ve logged win No. 12 last time out in Texas where he departed with a 4-0 lead after six innings, but the bullpen decided to serve up five runs in the seventh before ultimately losing the game in extras. St. Louis has been middle of the road against RHP over the last few weeks (#16), and sits five-games under .500 on the road where its cost its wagering supporters upwards of $300. I get that Gray’s adrenaline will be pumping throwing at his former team, but the injury riddled Twinkies lineup has been raking RHP the last two weeks (#8) and is currently fighting tooth and nail to hold onto its wild-card placement while the Redbirds five games out in the NL. with that, I’m backing the home team and am hopeful Lopez comes through after he stunk the last time we supported the righty against the Cubs in Wrigley.
- LOPEZ PITCHER WIN
- GRAY OVER TOTAL EARNED RUNS ALLOWED